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Forli vs Fortitudo Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 67-58
11-11 16-19 24-17 16-11
Position#6
Record21-14
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game76.1
Forli 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#7
Record20-15
FormLWWLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game73.8
ItalySerie A2Round 36· PalaGalassi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Forli v Fortitudo Bologna
20 Dec 2026
FORL v FBO
upcoming
26 Apr 2026
FORL65
FBO96
13 Apr 2025
FORL67
FBO58
10 Dec 2023
FORL77
FBO74
18 Dec 2022
FORL88
FBO66
07 Apr 2019
FORL88
FBO77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fortitudo Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Udine
#1
W
82-76
82
76
+6
81avg 71
H09/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
61-57
61
57
+4
54avg 71
A16/02
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
L
69-82
69
82
-13
58avg 71
H26/02
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
78-76
78
76
+2
73avg 71
A02/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
83-82
83
82
+1
80avg 71
H09/03
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
71-84
71
84
-13
56avg 71
A15/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
100-82
100
82
+18
94avg 71
A22/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
86-85
86
85
+1
81avg 71
H26/03
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
94-74
94
74
+20
93avg 71
H30/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
68-79
68
79
-11
55avg 71
A06/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
24-24
21-17
19-20
13-14
14-18
14-18
20-7
19-25
10-19
16-20
24-18
17-12
11-24
29-14
21-26
23-21
18-16
18-24
24-21
16-26
14-22
13-14
28-22
33-19
15-17
26-20
26-26
27-24
21-14
21-25
17-22
27-21
31-14
23-22
13-17
9-21
14-27
17-7
28-24
156.9Avg total
79.2Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)78.076.1154.1+1.960%
Season at home (17)79.975.0154.9+4.971%
Season away (18)76.177.1153.2-1.050%
Last 10 (10)79.277.7156.9+1.570%
Last 5 (5)83.880.8164.6+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.580.0158.5-1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (22)76.875.5152.3+1.355%
vs Weaker (6)85.381.3166.7+4.083%
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#13
L
69-73
69
73
-4
63avg 71
A09/02
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
70-71
70
71
-1
65avg 71
H16/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
64-82
64
82
-18
57avg 71
A19/02
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
78-72
78
72
+6
70avg 71
A26/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
81-75
81
75
+6
80avg 71
H02/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
73-79
73
79
-6
60avg 71
A09/03
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
75-66
75
66
+9
70avg 71
H19/03
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
87-77
87
77
+10
90avg 71
H23/03
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
72-81
72
81
-9
60avg 71
A30/03
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
79-86
79
86
-7
75avg 71
H06/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
11-18
16-17
21-19
16-19
18-21
21-15
15-16
15-16
16-24
13-28
20-14
23-18
10-22
19-10
26-22
25-15
17-12
14-24
25-24
22-16
9-20
15-23
27-20
21-20
18-25
20-16
16-5
24-23
20-19
24-27
19-8
24-19
20-22
11-28
17-12
20-21
17-23
31-17
11-25
151.0Avg total
74.8Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)76.073.8149.8+2.257%
Season at home (18)80.070.6150.6+9.483%
Season away (17)71.877.3149.1-5.529%
Last 10 (10)74.876.2151.0-1.440%
Last 5 (5)77.277.8155.0-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.277.0150.2-3.850%
vs Similar ◀ (19)75.472.9148.3+2.453%
vs Weaker (7)77.972.9150.7+5.071%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +3.2+3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +3.2+3.2
ForliFortitudo Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Udine
#1
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H09/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A16/02
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H26/02
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A02/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H09/03
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A15/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A22/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H26/03
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
58-35
58
35
+23
H30/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
23-48
23
48
-25
A06/04
Serie A2
76.7Avg total
37.4Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.237.376.5+1.963%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.335.976.2+4.479%-
Last 30 away (16)38.238.476.7-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)37.439.376.7-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)41.441.082.4+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.044.582.5-6.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)39.236.075.2+3.168%-
vs Weaker (6)39.739.379.0+0.350%-
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#13
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A09/02
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H16/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A19/02
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A26/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H02/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A09/03
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H19/03
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H23/03
Serie A2
Udine
#1
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A30/03
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H06/04
Serie A2
75.9Avg total
36.7Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.837.575.3+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.635.775.2+3.956%-
Last 30 away (14)35.839.575.3-3.736%-
Last 10 (10)36.739.275.9-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.041.680.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.042.079.0-5.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)37.036.173.1+0.942%-
vs Weaker (7)40.438.679.0+1.957%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.717.4
45.0%
50.1%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.2
34.7%
34.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.915.8
79.4%
74.4%15.8
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.116.8
46.5%
50.1%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.810.1
37.7%
34.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws13.69.7
71.3%
74.4%9.7
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
LWWWLWWLWW
Fortitudo Bologna
LLWWLWWLLL
#6
League position
#7
+2.0
Net rating
-2.6
106.8
Offensive rating
105.5
104.7
Defensive rating
108.1
47.9%
Effective FG%
50.8%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
16.1%
Turnover %
14.9%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.22
34.7%
3-point %
37.7%
63.9%
Assist %
66.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 105.5Defence104.7 · 108.1Shooting47.9% · 50.8%3-point %34.7% · 37.7%Ball care16.1% · 14.9%Off. rebounds32.6% · 26.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Forli   ■ Fortitudo Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Forli wins
4
Fortitudo Bologna wins
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25ASebastiani Rieti68-79
30/03/25HUrania Milano94-74
26/03/25HAvellino Basket86-85
22/03/25AAssigeco Piacenza100-82
15/03/25APesaro71-84
09/03/25HJuVi Cremona83-82
02/03/25AVigevano78-76
26/02/25HNardo69-82
16/02/25AOrzinuovi61-57
09/02/25HUdine82-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25HCividale79-86
30/03/25AUdine72-81
23/03/25HNardo87-77
19/03/25HUrania Milano75-66
09/03/25AAvellino Basket73-79
02/03/25HSebastiani Rieti81-75
26/02/25ACento78-72
19/02/25ABasket Torino64-82
16/02/25HPesaro70-71
09/02/25ABrindisi69-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %60%71%50%
Points / game78.079.976.1
Allowed / game76.175.077.1
Point differential+1.9+4.9-1.0
Avg total154.1154.9153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%24%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (15)56% (9)83% (6)
Overtime %9%12%6%
Fortitudo Bologna
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL57%
HomeLWWWL83%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %57%83%29%
Points / game76.080.071.8
Allowed / game73.870.677.3
Point differential+2.2+9.4-5.5
Avg total149.8150.6149.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)60% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine3628878%83.475.0+8.4
2 Rimini36251169%82.178.0+4.0
3 Cantu36231364%78.173.8+4.4
4 Forli35211460%78.076.1+1.9
5 Verona36211558%77.373.9+3.4
6 Cividale36211558%80.378.9+1.4
7 Sebastiani Rieti36211558%75.774.4+1.3
8 Fortitudo Bologna35201557%76.073.8+2.2
9 Urania Milano36201656%76.576.8-0.3
10 Pesaro36191753%82.080.3+1.7
11 Brindisi36191753%77.076.1+0.9
12 Basket Torino36191753%76.575.7+0.8
13 Avellino Basket36191753%79.479.9-0.4
14 Orzinuovi36162044%78.179.8-1.8
15 Cento36142239%73.577.4-3.9
16 JuVi Cremona36132336%81.283.2-2.0
17 Libertas Livorno36122433%75.577.7-2.2
18 Vigevano36112531%75.280.9-5.7
19 Nardo36102628%74.681.7-7.1
20 Assigeco Piacenza3672919%76.382.9-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forli1116241667
Fortitudo Bologna1119171158
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