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Roseto W vs Brixia W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 76-65
18-19 25-14 17-17 16-15
Position#6
Record7-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game76.3
Roseto W 🏆
Italy
vs
Brixia W
Italy
Position#10
Record3-16
FormWLLLL
Points / game59.1
Allowed / game79.5
ItalySerie A1 WRound 22· PalaMaggetti
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Roseto W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brixia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Roseto WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Brixia W
#10
W
75-64
75
64
+11
72avg 63
A13/12
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
62-91
62
91
-29
53avg 63
H20/12
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
50-72
50
72
-22
37avg 63
A28/12
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
67-85
67
85
-18
61avg 63
H10/01
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
W
73-67
73
67
+6
74avg 63
H25/01
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
78-74
78
74
+4
81avg 63
A01/02
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
81-84
81
84
-3
73avg 63
H08/02
Serie A1 W
Derthona Basket W
#4
L
73-85
73
85
-12
69avg 63
H15/02
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
L
63-75
63
75
-12
56avg 63
A22/02
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
W
88-75
88
75
+13
85avg 63
A28/02
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-9
19-19
18-21
25-15
11-29
25-19
6-21
20-22
12-22
19-12
10-19
9-19
22-32
10-13
17-23
18-17
19-27
14-12
20-18
20-10
16-19
27-17
14-22
21-16
19-21
19-21
17-18
26-24
18-27
10-22
31-14
14-22
20-20
10-21
19-17
14-17
26-21
19-15
25-18
18-21
148.2Avg total
71.0Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)70.876.3147.1-5.537%
Season at home (9)74.375.7150.0-1.344%
Season away (10)67.676.8144.4-9.230%
Last 10 (10)71.077.2148.2-6.240%
Last 5 (5)76.678.6155.2-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)65.580.7146.2-15.210%
vs Similar (4)81.271.2152.5+10.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)73.071.4144.4+1.660%
This opponent (Brixia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brixia WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Roseto W
#6
L
64-75
64
75
-11
45avg 51
H13/12
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
63-77
63
77
-14
48avg 51
A21/12
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
L
60-87
60
87
-27
52avg 51
A11/01
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
50-110
50
110
-60
no box
H17/01
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
43-81
43
81
-38
28avg 51
A25/01
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
W
78-73
78
73
+5
81avg 51
H01/02
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
L
64-70
64
70
-6
49avg 51
A08/02
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
64-71
64
71
-7
53avg 51
H15/02
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
L
66-85
66
85
-19
48avg 51
A22/02
Serie A1 W
Derthona Basket W
#4
L
55-93
55
93
-38
37avg 51
H01/03
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-13
19-19
21-18
15-25
15-27
10-19
18-13
20-18
18-14
7-22
21-27
14-24
18-23
13-36
10-29
9-22
9-24
10-18
10-21
14-18
24-20
20-15
14-14
20-24
20-21
19-19
10-21
15-9
19-18
19-22
13-20
13-11
12-22
12-25
12-21
30-17
21-34
8-21
11-17
15-21
142.9Avg total
60.7Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)59.179.5138.6-20.416%
Season at home (10)63.580.3143.8-16.830%
Season away (9)54.278.6132.8-24.30%
Last 10 (10)60.782.2142.9-21.510%
Last 5 (5)65.478.4143.8-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)59.778.9138.5-19.217%
vs Similar (5)73.271.4144.6+1.880%
vs Weaker (2)71.080.0151.0-9.050%
This opponent (Roseto W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -7.9-7.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -2.4-2.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -7.9-7.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -2.4-2.4
Roseto WBrixia W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Roseto WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brixia W
#10
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A13/12
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H20/12
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A28/12
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H10/01
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H25/01
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A01/02
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H08/02
Serie A1 W
Derthona Basket W
#4
L
28-49
28
49
-21
H15/02
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A22/02
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A28/02
Serie A1 W
74.6Avg total
34.8Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)35.638.974.5-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (9)37.840.077.8-2.244%-
Last 30 away (10)33.637.971.5-4.330%-
Last 10 (10)34.839.874.6-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)36.840.877.6-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.040.972.9-8.910%-
vs Similar (4)42.535.878.2+6.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)37.237.474.6-0.260%-
This opponent (Brixia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brixia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roseto W
#6
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H13/12
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A21/12
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A11/01
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
31-59
31
59
-28
H17/01
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
19-42
19
42
-23
A25/01
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H01/02
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A08/02
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H15/02
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A22/02
Serie A1 W
Derthona Basket W
#4
L
29-55
29
55
-26
H01/03
Serie A1 W
73.4Avg total
30.2Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.940.672.5-8.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.540.974.4-7.333%-
Last 30 away (15)30.340.370.7-10.027%-
Last 10 (10)30.243.273.4-13.010%-
Last 5 (5)34.843.478.2-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)30.440.771.2-10.322%-
vs Similar (5)36.039.875.8-3.860%-
vs Weaker (2)39.041.080.0-2.050%-
This opponent (Roseto W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Roseto Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Roseto W: 70.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.9 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
30%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.618.9
47.7%
46.7%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.3
32.0%
30.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws11.17.9
71.2%
72.6%7.9
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brixia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brixia W: 59.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
30%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.216.5
43.2%
46.7%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.65.5
24.3%
30.9%16.5
🏀 Free throws12.59.6
76.8%
72.6%9.6
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Roseto W
WLLLWWLLLW
Brixia W
LLLLWLLLLL
#6
League position
#10
-7.4
Net rating
-25.3
84.8
Offensive rating
71.9
92.3
Defensive rating
97.2
47.9%
Effective FG%
40.7%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
19.6%
Turnover %
19.9%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
19.1%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.21
32.0%
3-point %
24.3%
73.9%
Assist %
44.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence84.8 · 71.9Defence92.3 · 97.2Shooting47.9% · 40.7%3-point %32.0% · 24.3%Ball care19.6% · 19.9%Off. rebounds29.9% · 19.1%Free throws0.17 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Roseto W   ■ Brixia W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Roseto W wins
0
Brixia W wins
DateGameScore
13/12/25Brixia W v Roseto W64-75
Roseto Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26ASassari W88-75
22/02/26ASan Martino W63-75
15/02/26HDerthona Basket W73-85
08/02/26HCampobasso W81-84
01/02/26ABattipaglia W78-74
25/01/26HBroni W73-67
10/01/26HVenezia W67-85
28/12/25ASan Giovanni W50-72
20/12/25HSchio W62-91
13/12/25ABrixia W75-64
Brixia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26HDerthona Basket W55-93
22/02/26ABattipaglia W66-85
15/02/26HVenezia W64-71
08/02/26ABroni W64-70
01/02/26HSan Martino W78-73
25/01/26ASan Giovanni W43-81
17/01/26HSchio W50-110
11/01/26ASassari W60-87
21/12/25ACampobasso W63-77
13/12/25HRoseto W64-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Roseto W
Serie A1 W 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW37%
HomeLLWLL44%
AwayWLWLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %37%44%30%
Points / game70.874.367.6
Allowed / game76.375.776.8
Point differential-5.5-1.3-9.2
Avg total147.1150.0144.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%22%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brixia W
Serie A1 W 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL16%
HomeLLWLL30%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %16%30%0%
Points / game59.163.554.2
Allowed / game79.580.378.6
Point differential-20.4-16.8-24.3
Avg total138.6143.8132.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Schio W20200100%82.055.3+26.8
2 Venezia W2016480%74.462.2+12.2
3 Campobasso W2015575%67.760.5+7.2
4 San Giovanni W2012860%65.260.6+4.5
5 Derthona Basket W1911858%72.967.0+5.9
6 San Martino W2081240%69.272.7-3.5
7 Roseto W1971237%70.876.3-5.5
8 Broni W1971237%62.571.4-8.9
9 Sassari W2071335%67.874.7-6.8
10 Brixia W1931616%59.179.5-20.4
11 Battipaglia W2021810%63.676.5-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Roseto W1825171676
Brixia W1914171565
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