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Sassari W vs Roseto W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 75-88
21-26 15-19 18-25 21-18
Position#7
Record7-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game67.5
Allowed / game74.0
Sassari W
Italy
vs
Roseto W 🏆
Italy
Position#6
Record6-12
FormWWLLL
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game76.3
ItalySerie A1 WRound 21· Palasport Roberta Serradimigni
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Roseto W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sassari WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Roseto W
#6
L
66-88
66
88
-22
54avg 59
A07/12
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
L
66-68
66
68
-2
58avg 59
A21/12
Serie A1 W
Derthona Basket W
#4
L
65-86
65
86
-21
57avg 59
H28/12
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#10
W
87-60
87
60
+27
81avg 59
H11/01
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
L
62-68
62
68
-6
no box
A18/01
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
63-85
63
85
-22
58avg 59
H25/01
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
53-76
53
76
-23
36avg 59
A01/02
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
73-89
73
89
-16
63avg 59
H08/02
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
71-60
71
60
+11
64avg 59
A15/02
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
57-59
57
59
-2
47avg 59
A22/02
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
19-30
17-15
16-27
19-14
9-19
13-15
25-20
22-24
21-21
10-17
12-24
14-18
22-7
27-21
24-14
15-19
15-17
17-19
15-13
16-18
20-21
12-19
15-27
15-27
14-19
16-21
8-9
18-20
15-27
15-22
25-20
26-13
14-20
20-15
11-12
20-14
11-12
14-18
12-15
140.2Avg total
66.3Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)67.574.0141.5-6.537%
Season at home (9)73.174.8147.9-1.744%
Season away (10)62.473.3135.7-10.930%
Last 10 (10)66.373.9140.2-7.620%
Last 5 (5)63.473.8137.2-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)59.176.1135.3-17.014%
vs Similar ◀ (3)69.373.3142.7-4.033%
vs Weaker (13)73.864.4138.2+9.477%
This opponent (Roseto W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Roseto WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sassari W
#7
W
88-66
88
66
+22
88avg 62
H07/12
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#10
W
75-64
75
64
+11
72avg 62
A13/12
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
62-91
62
91
-29
53avg 62
H20/12
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
50-72
50
72
-22
37avg 62
A28/12
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
67-85
67
85
-18
61avg 62
H10/01
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
W
73-67
73
67
+6
74avg 62
H25/01
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
78-74
78
74
+4
81avg 62
A01/02
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
81-84
81
84
-3
73avg 62
H08/02
Serie A1 W
Derthona Basket W
#4
L
73-85
73
85
-12
69avg 62
H15/02
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
L
63-75
63
75
-12
56avg 62
A22/02
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
30-19
15-17
27-16
13-9
19-19
18-21
25-15
11-29
25-19
6-21
20-22
12-22
19-12
10-19
9-19
22-32
10-13
17-23
18-17
19-27
14-12
20-18
20-10
16-19
27-17
14-22
21-16
19-21
19-21
17-18
26-24
18-27
10-22
31-14
14-22
20-20
10-21
19-17
14-17
147.3Avg total
71.0Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)69.876.3146.2-6.533%
Season at home (9)74.375.7150.0-1.344%
Season away (9)65.377.0142.3-11.722%
Last 10 (10)71.076.3147.3-5.340%
Last 5 (5)73.677.0150.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)65.580.7146.2-15.210%
vs Similar ◀ (3)79.070.0149.0+9.067%
vs Weaker (5)73.071.4144.4+1.660%
This opponent (Sassari W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.6+1.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.6+1.6
Sassari WRoseto W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sassari WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roseto W
#6
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A07/12
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A21/12
Serie A1 W
Derthona Basket W
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H28/12
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#10
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H11/01
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A18/01
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H25/01
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A01/02
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H08/02
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A15/02
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A22/02
Serie A1 W
71.5Avg total
33.9Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.035.971.9+0.145%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.633.673.3+6.057%-
Last 30 away (15)32.538.070.5-5.533%-
Last 10 (10)33.937.671.5-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)33.838.272.0-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)34.241.175.3-6.823%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)35.334.770.0+0.733%-
vs Weaker (13)37.831.068.8+6.869%-
This opponent (Roseto W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Roseto WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari W
#7
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H07/12
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#10
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A13/12
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H20/12
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A28/12
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H10/01
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H25/01
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A01/02
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H08/02
Serie A1 W
Derthona Basket W
#4
L
28-49
28
49
-21
H15/02
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A22/02
Serie A1 W
74.4Avg total
34.9Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)35.139.174.1-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (9)37.840.077.8-2.244%-
Last 30 away (9)32.338.170.4-5.822%-
Last 10 (10)34.939.574.4-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)34.441.475.8-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.040.972.9-8.910%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)41.735.777.3+6.067%-
vs Weaker (5)37.237.474.6-0.260%-
This opponent (Sassari W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sassari Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari W: 66.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
30%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.517.4
46.4%
46.7%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.4
32.3%
30.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws13.69.6
70.6%
72.6%9.6
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Roseto Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Roseto W: 70.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.8 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
30%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.4
49.0%
46.7%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.0
30.5%
30.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws10.97.8
71.6%
72.6%7.8
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sassari W
LWLLLLWLLL
Roseto W
LLLWWLLLWW
#7
League position
#6
-0.9
Net rating
-6.5
85.2
Offensive rating
86.5
86.1
Defensive rating
92.9
47.2%
Effective FG%
47.7%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
19.2%
Turnover %
19.5%
21.6%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.17
32.3%
3-point %
30.5%
58.1%
Assist %
74.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence85.2 · 86.5Defence86.1 · 92.9Shooting47.2% · 47.7%3-point %32.3% · 30.5%Ball care19.2% · 19.5%Off. rebounds21.6% · 29.9%Free throws0.23 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Sassari W   ■ Roseto W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sassari W wins
1
Roseto W wins
DateGameScore
07/12/25Roseto W v Sassari W88-66
Sassari Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26ASan Giovanni W57-59
15/02/26ABattipaglia W71-60
08/02/26HSchio W73-89
01/02/26ACampobasso W53-76
25/01/26HVenezia W63-85
18/01/26ABroni W62-68
11/01/26HBrixia W87-60
28/12/25HDerthona Basket W65-86
21/12/25ASan Martino W66-68
07/12/25ARoseto W66-88
Roseto Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26ASan Martino W63-75
15/02/26HDerthona Basket W73-85
08/02/26HCampobasso W81-84
01/02/26ABattipaglia W78-74
25/01/26HBroni W73-67
10/01/26HVenezia W67-85
28/12/25ASan Giovanni W50-72
20/12/25HSchio W62-91
13/12/25ABrixia W75-64
07/12/25HSassari W88-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari W
Serie A1 W 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL37%
HomeWLWLL44%
AwayLLLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %37%44%30%
Points / game67.573.162.4
Allowed / game74.074.873.3
Point differential-6.5-1.7-10.9
Avg total141.5147.9135.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Roseto W
Serie A1 W 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL33%
HomeLLWLL44%
AwayLWLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %33%44%22%
Points / game69.874.365.3
Allowed / game76.375.777.0
Point differential-6.5-1.3-11.7
Avg total146.2150.0142.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%22%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Schio W19190100%82.255.4+26.8
2 Venezia W2016480%74.462.2+12.2
3 Campobasso W1814478%68.960.1+8.8
4 San Giovanni W1811761%65.560.2+5.3
5 Derthona Basket W1810856%71.867.7+4.2
6 Broni W1871139%62.771.3-8.6
7 San Martino W1971237%68.973.4-4.5
8 Sassari W1971237%67.574.0-6.5
9 Roseto W1861233%69.876.3-6.5
10 Brixia W1831517%59.378.7-19.4
11 Battipaglia W1921711%64.077.2-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sassari W2115182175
Roseto W2619251888
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