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Rostock vs Tartu Ulikool Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 100-82
28-19 20-19 22-26 30-18
Position#10
Record-
FormLWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Rostock 🏆
vs
Tartu Ulikool
Position#31
Record-
FormLWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 1· Stadthalle Rostock
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tartu Ulikool winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#15
W
98-74
98
74
+24
95avg 72
H20/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
L
79-92
79
92
-13
68avg 72
A26/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
L
102-108 OT
102
108
-6
87avg 72
A04/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
48-67
48
67
-19
34avg 72
H08/05
BBL
Gottingen
#17
L
85-88
85
88
-3
77avg 72
A11/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
L
83-95
83
95
-12
66avg 72
A13/05
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#19
W
101-82
101
82
+19
102avg 72
A23/09
German Cup
Trier
#12
L
78-88
78
88
-10
66avg 72
A28/09
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
80-87
80
87
-7
68avg 72
A04/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
90-79
90
79
+11
75avg 72
H12/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-11
35-22
21-18
16-23
21-25
17-20
18-25
23-22
21-18
25-29
16-23
32-24
18-8
9-22
8-22
13-15
26-30
19-23
14-8
26-27
27-21
18-24
13-23
25-27
27-18
26-20
24-25
24-19
24-25
6-17
28-20
20-26
10-18
23-18
28-21
19-30
21-20
19-20
18-20
32-19
170.4Avg total
84.4Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.486.0170.4-1.630%
Last 5 (5)86.486.2172.6+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.780.5157.2-3.833%
vs Similar (19)83.984.5168.5-0.647%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)82.581.8164.2+0.850%
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlikool
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#3
W
88-59
88
59
+29
85avg 76
H13/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
W
86-80
86
80
+6
79avg 76
A20/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
90-92
90
92
-2
79avg 76
H22/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
81-88
81
88
-7
67avg 76
A27/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
W
75-72
75
72
+3
61avg 76
H29/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
75-91
75
91
-16
57avg 76
A31/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
W
80-68
80
68
+12
71avg 76
A01/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
89-83
89
83
+6
90avg 76
H05/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
87-81
87
81
+6
83avg 76
A08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
W
85-75
85
75
+10
77avg 76
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
21-15
18-15
29-11
25-20
22-13
28-28
11-19
26-27
18-18
13-26
33-21
22-17
18-29
19-19
22-23
21-21
22-21
15-11
17-19
22-31
11-17
23-16
19-27
12-15
31-16
18-17
19-20
21-16
23-17
30-12
15-38
16-27
22-21
25-18
24-15
28-28
17-14
18-13
22-20
162.5Avg total
83.6Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.678.9162.5+4.770%
Last 5 (5)83.279.6162.8+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)77.681.5159.1-3.845%
vs Similar (4)83.286.2169.5-3.050%
vs Weaker (15)84.774.5159.2+10.373%
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.2-0.2
RostockTartu Ulikool
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#15
W
61-33
61
33
+28
H20/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A26/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A04/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H08/05
BBL
Gottingen
#17
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A11/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A13/05
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#19
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A23/09
German Cup
Trier
#12
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A28/09
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A04/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H12/10
BBL
82.7Avg total
41.8Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.579.8+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.935.978.8+7.077%-
Last 30 away (17)38.342.380.6-4.029%-
Last 10 (10)41.840.982.7+0.920%-
Last 5 (5)40.240.280.4+0.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.241.078.2-3.850%-
vs Similar (19)41.638.780.3+2.958%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)35.541.877.2-6.20%-
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#3
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H13/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A20/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H22/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A27/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H29/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A31/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A01/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H05/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
81.9Avg total
41.8Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.479.5+0.760%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.039.579.5+0.564%-
Last 30 away (16)40.239.379.6+0.956%-
Last 10 (10)41.840.181.9+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)40.640.481.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.440.079.4-0.645%-
vs Similar (4)43.549.893.2-6.250%-
vs Weaker (15)39.836.276.0+3.673%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.216.5
46.9%
52.0%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.911.2
35.1%
34.9%33.6
🏀 Free throws22.616.2
71.7%
73.4%16.2
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tartu Ulikooltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tartu Ulikool: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.718.4
47.5%
52.0%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.4
32.6%
34.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws25.517.6
69.0%
73.4%17.6
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
WLLWLLLLLW
Tartu Ulikool
WWWWLWLLWW
#10
League position
#31
-3.3
Net rating
+5.7
105.6
Offensive rating
109.0
108.9
Defensive rating
103.4
49.6%
Effective FG%
48.1%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
15.5%
Turnover %
14.7%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
33.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.38
35.1%
3-point %
32.6%
55.6%
Assist %
60.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 109.0Defence108.9 · 103.4Shooting49.6% · 48.1%3-point %35.1% · 32.6%Ball care15.5% · 14.7%Off. rebounds27.9% · 33.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Rostock   ■ Tartu Ulikool
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Rostock wins
0
Tartu Ulikool wins
No previous meetings.
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/25HHeidelberg90-79
04/10/25AUlm80-87
28/09/25ATrier78-88
23/09/25APhoenix Hagen101-82
13/05/25AOldenburg83-95
11/05/25AGottingen85-88
08/05/25HBasketball Braunschweig48-67
04/05/25AChemnitz102-108 OT
26/04/25AOldenburg79-92
20/04/25HBamberg98-74
Tartu Ulikoollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/25AVentspils85-75
08/10/25ABK Liepaja87-81
05/10/25HKeila KK89-83
01/10/25ABC Kalev/Cramo80-68
31/05/25ABC Kalev/Cramo75-91
29/05/25HBC Kalev/Cramo75-72
27/05/25ABC Kalev/Cramo81-88
22/05/25HBC Kalev/Cramo90-92
20/05/25ABC Kalev/Cramo86-80
13/05/25HTal Tech88-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Tartu Ulikool
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Corona Brasov220100%89.066.5+22.5
2 Vechta220100%82.571.0+11.5
3 Brno220100%82.072.0+10.0
4 KK Bosna21150%82.069.5+12.5
5 Anwil Wloclawek21150%84.075.5+8.5
6 Anorthosis21150%75.074.5+0.5
7 Cibona21150%92.592.0+0.5
8 Absheron Lions21150%74.575.0-0.5
9 BC Prievidza21150%92.092.5-0.5
10 Bashkimi21150%75.584.0-8.5
11 Parnu2020%72.082.0-10.0
12 Balkan2020%71.082.5-11.5
13 Mechelen2020%69.582.0-12.5
14 BC Dnipro2020%66.589.0-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock28202230100
Tartu Ulikool1919261882
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