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Trier vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 88-78
25-24 17-6 20-28 26-20
Position#12
Record-
FormWWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Trier 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#8
Record-
FormLLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
GermanyBBLRound 1· Arena Trier
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Trier v Rostock
20 Dec 2026
TRI v ROS
upcoming
14 May 2026
TRI76
ROS69
28 Sep 2025
TRI88
ROS78
14 Jan 2022
TRI80
ROS88
01 Apr 2021
TRI79
ROS84
09 Nov 2019
TRI68
ROS73
09 Mar 2019
TRI82
ROS74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trier winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrierGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrier
Date
Competition
Tubingen
#7
W
105-86
105
86
+19
no box
H30/04
Pro A
Tubingen
#7
L
95-106
95
106
-11
no box
A03/05
Pro A
Tubingen
#7
W
94-75
94
75
+19
no box
H06/05
Pro A
Tubingen
#7
W
100-95
100
95
+5
no box
A08/05
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#8
W
87-74
87
74
+13
no box
H15/05
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#8
W
99-87
99
87
+12
no box
A17/05
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#8
W
87-69
87
69
+18
no box
H20/05
Pro A
Jena
#1
W
85-82
85
82
+3
no box
H29/05
Pro A
Jena
#1
W
90-75
90
75
+15
no box
A31/05
Pro A
Tubingen
#20
W
87-67
87
67
+20
82avg 82
A23/09
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
25-30
31-24
21-14
25-26
20-25
25-26
25-29
25-18
34-15
17-30
18-12
20-25
19-16
26-33
35-21
18-20
22-19
28-20
19-15
24-15
25-24
26-21
24-27
20-23
23-17
24-19
20-10
24-16
19-15
17-22
25-29
19-15
25-24
33-17
13-19
25-19
23-16
19-23
20-9
174.5Avg total
92.9Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)92.981.6174.5+11.390%
Last 5 (5)89.676.0165.6+13.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (4)90.579.5170.0+11.075%
vs Weaker (25)96.484.6181.0+11.784%
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
94-89
94
89
+5
89avg 73
H05/04
BBL
Vechta
#10
W
84-68
84
68
+16
72avg 73
A12/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
77-72 OT
77
72
+5
65avg 73
A17/04
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
98-74
98
74
+24
95avg 73
H20/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
L
79-92
79
92
-13
68avg 73
A26/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
L
102-108 OT
102
108
-6
87avg 73
A04/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
48-67
48
67
-19
34avg 73
H08/05
BBL
Gottingen
#17
L
85-88
85
88
-3
77avg 73
A11/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
L
83-95
83
95
-12
66avg 73
A13/05
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#19
W
101-82
101
82
+19
102avg 73
A23/09
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
25-19
22-27
28-25
18-15
31-13
18-23
17-17
18-16
9-16
17-10
18-20
26-11
35-22
21-18
16-23
21-25
17-20
18-25
23-22
21-18
25-29
16-23
32-24
18-8
9-22
8-22
13-15
26-30
19-23
14-8
26-27
27-21
18-24
13-23
25-27
27-18
26-20
24-25
24-19
168.6Avg total
85.1Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.183.5168.6+1.650%
Last 5 (5)83.888.0171.8-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.780.5157.2-3.833%
vs Similar (20)83.283.1166.3+0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)81.775.3157.0+6.367%
This opponent (Trier) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +0.3+0.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +0.3+0.3
TrierRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tubingen
#7
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H30/04
Pro A
Tubingen
#7
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A03/05
Pro A
Tubingen
#7
W
59-33
59
33
+26
H06/05
Pro A
Tubingen
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A08/05
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#8
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H15/05
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#8
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A17/05
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H20/05
Pro A
Jena
#1
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H29/05
Pro A
Jena
#1
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A31/05
Pro A
Tubingen
#20
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A23/09
German Cup
85.9Avg total
46.3Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.541.690.1+6.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.441.392.7+10.187%-
Last 30 away (15)45.542.087.5+3.553%-
Last 10 (10)46.339.685.9+6.780%-
Last 5 (5)45.436.882.2+8.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (4)43.838.081.8+5.875%-
vs Weaker (25)49.242.591.7+6.868%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H05/04
BBL
Vechta
#10
W
49-28
49
28
+21
A12/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A17/04
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
61-33
61
33
+28
H20/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A26/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A04/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H08/05
BBL
Gottingen
#17
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A11/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A13/05
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#19
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A23/09
German Cup
82.3Avg total
43.5Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.939.380.3+1.660%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.935.978.8+6.986%-
Last 30 away (16)39.242.381.6-3.138%-
Last 10 (10)43.538.882.3+4.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.242.685.8+0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.241.078.2-3.850%-
vs Similar (20)41.838.580.2+3.265%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)39.042.081.0-3.033%-
This opponent (Trier) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trier: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.520.5
80.4%
53.8%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.06.5
26.0%
34.0%19.5
🏀 Free throws20.014.0
70.0%
73.5%14.0
They take 50.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.616.7
46.9%
53.8%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.9
35.6%
34.0%32.7
🏀 Free throws24.717.6
71.3%
73.5%17.6
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/10 games with a box score before 28 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trier
WWWWWWWWLW
Rostock
WLLLLLWWWW
#12
League position
#8
+11.8
Net rating
+0.8
125.7
Offensive rating
107.9
113.9
Defensive rating
107.1
59.9%
Effective FG%
49.9%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
14.7%
Turnover %
15.2%
37.7%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.37
26.0%
3-point %
35.6%
42.6%
Assist %
54.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence125.7 · 107.9Defence113.9 · 107.1Shooting59.9% · 49.9%3-point %26.0% · 35.6%Ball care14.7% · 15.2%Off. rebounds37.7% · 28.6%Free throws0.40 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Trier   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Trier wins
5
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
14/01/22Trier v Rostock80-88
12/12/21Rostock v Trier91-81
01/04/21Trier v Rostock79-84
16/12/20Rostock v Trier93-82
09/11/19Trier v Rostock68-73
09/03/19Trier v Rostock82-74
21/09/18Rostock v Trier79-85
Trierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/25ATubingen87-67
31/05/25AJena90-75
29/05/25HJena85-82
20/05/25HPhoenix Hagen87-69
17/05/25APhoenix Hagen99-87
15/05/25HPhoenix Hagen87-74
08/05/25ATubingen100-95
06/05/25HTubingen94-75
03/05/25ATubingen95-106
30/04/25HTubingen105-86
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/25APhoenix Hagen101-82
13/05/25AOldenburg83-95
11/05/25AGottingen85-88
08/05/25HBasketball Braunschweig48-67
04/05/25AChemnitz102-108 OT
26/04/25AOldenburg79-92
20/04/25HBamberg98-74
17/04/25AFrankfurt77-72 OT
12/04/25AVechta84-68
05/04/25HLudwigsburg94-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trier
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Rostock
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bamberg110100%98.075.0+23.0
2 Bayern110100%93.077.0+16.0
3 Wurzburg110100%72.061.0+11.0
4 Vechta110100%86.076.0+10.0
5 Heidelberg1010%76.086.0-10.0
6 Bonn1010%61.072.0-11.0
7 Jena1010%77.093.0-16.0
8 Basketball Braunschweig1010%75.098.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trier2517202688
Rostock246282078
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