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Chemnitz vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 May 2025
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 108-102 (OT)
18-21 29-25 23-16 24-32 14-8
Position#7
Record16-13
FormWLLLW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Position#12
Record16-13
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game80.4
GermanyBBLRound 32· Messe Chemnitz
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Chemnitz v Rostock
05 Dec 2026
CHE v ROS
upcoming
20 Dec 2025
CHE97
ROS92
04 May 2025
CHE108
ROS102
17 Nov 2023
CHE85
ROS75
02 Apr 2023
CHE69
ROS71
15 Feb 2020
CHE109
ROS82
22 Dec 2018
CHE68
ROS88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
72-94
72
94
-22
62avg 73
H02/03
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
94-90
94
90
+4
67avg 73
A08/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
90-83
90
83
+7
82avg 73
A16/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
70-65
70
65
+5
60avg 73
A30/03
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
87-117
87
117
-30
81avg 73
A06/04
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
99-98 OT
99
98
+1
94avg 73
H13/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
66-81
66
81
-15
60avg 73
A16/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
95-97
95
97
-2
86avg 73
A19/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
L
81-103
81
103
-22
71avg 73
H27/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
104-100 OT
104
100
+4
102avg 73
H01/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
25-30
14-29
16-23
18-20
26-29
16-24
34-17
19-14
21-22
22-21
28-26
17-14
18-21
10-14
25-16
8-34
28-22
24-26
27-35
25-25
25-22
22-20
15-20
22-23
28-19
9-15
7-24
32-17
20-32
20-29
23-19
23-27
4-35
28-21
26-20
19-21
13-25
26-25
32-19
178.6Avg total
85.8Scored
92.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)81.183.8164.9-2.755%
Season at home (15)84.985.7170.6-0.967%
Season away (14)77.181.8158.9-4.743%
Last 10 (10)85.892.8178.6-7.050%
Last 5 (5)89.095.8184.8-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)78.990.4169.3-11.421%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.783.6163.2-3.950%
vs Weaker (4)86.277.2163.5+9.0100%
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Bonn
#14
L
72-83
72
83
-11
62avg 71
A01/03
BBL
Hamburg
#13
L
77-78
77
78
-1
68avg 71
A08/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
84-76
84
76
+8
77avg 71
H15/03
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
66-91
66
91
-25
52avg 71
A22/03
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
85-67
85
67
+18
81avg 71
H29/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
94-89
94
89
+5
89avg 71
H05/04
BBL
Vechta
#10
W
84-68
84
68
+16
72avg 71
A12/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
77-72 OT
77
72
+5
65avg 71
A17/04
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
98-74
98
74
+24
95avg 71
H20/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
L
79-92
79
92
-13
68avg 71
A26/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
16-23
16-18
23-22
13-19
28-15
12-22
24-22
17-21
27-16
12-14
28-25
13-29
14-27
13-18
26-17
21-10
19-11
26-24
19-22
19-18
25-19
22-27
28-25
18-15
31-13
18-23
17-17
18-16
9-16
17-10
18-20
26-11
35-22
21-18
16-23
21-25
17-20
18-25
23-22
160.6Avg total
81.6Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)81.780.4162.1+1.255%
Season at home (15)84.379.6163.9+4.767%
Season away (14)78.981.4160.2-2.543%
Last 10 (10)81.679.0160.6+2.660%
Last 5 (5)86.479.0165.4+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.780.5157.2-3.833%
vs Similar ◀ (20)82.381.9164.2+0.455%
vs Weaker (3)87.370.7158.0+16.7100%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.7+0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.7+0.7
ChemnitzRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H02/03
BBL
Gottingen
#17
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A08/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A16/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A30/03
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A06/04
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H13/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A16/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A19/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
L
27-62
27
62
-35
H27/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H01/05
BBL
87.2Avg total
40.8Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.142.181.2-3.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.141.780.8-2.650%-
Last 30 away (14)39.142.681.6-3.543%-
Last 10 (10)40.846.487.2-5.640%-
Last 5 (5)42.249.291.4-7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.943.178.9-7.229%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.242.383.5-1.267%-
vs Weaker (4)44.038.082.0+6.050%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#14
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A01/03
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A08/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H15/03
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
27-56
27
56
-29
A22/03
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
40-21
40
21
+19
H29/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H05/04
BBL
Vechta
#10
W
49-28
49
28
+21
A12/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A17/04
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
61-33
61
33
+28
H20/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A26/04
BBL
77.0Avg total
40.4Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.939.078.8+0.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.937.180.0+5.987%-
Last 30 away (15)36.840.977.7-4.140%-
Last 10 (10)40.436.677.0+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)43.835.078.8+8.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.241.078.2-3.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)40.938.479.3+2.570%-
vs Weaker (3)38.736.375.0+2.367%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.917.0
51.7%
52.3%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.911.5
36.1%
33.6%34.5
🏀 Free throws22.216.1
72.5%
73.5%16.1
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.1
47.5%
52.3%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.9
35.5%
33.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.616.6
76.9%
73.5%16.6
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
WLLLWLWWWL
Rostock
LWWWWWLWLL
#7
League position
#12
-9.6
Net rating
+2.8
106.9
Offensive rating
107.4
116.5
Defensive rating
104.6
52.9%
Effective FG%
50.0%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
19.0%
Turnover %
18.0%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.1%
3-point %
35.5%
65.3%
Assist %
54.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 107.4Defence116.5 · 104.6Shooting52.9% · 50.0%3-point %36.1% · 35.5%Ball care19.0% · 18.0%Off. rebounds29.1% · 30.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Chemnitz wins
2
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
27/10/24Rostock v Chemnitz60-68
03/02/24Rostock v Chemnitz90-94
17/11/23Chemnitz v Rostock85-75
02/04/23Chemnitz v Rostock69-71
18/01/23Rostock v Chemnitz81-96
15/02/20Chemnitz v Rostock109-82
29/12/19Rostock v Chemnitz91-101
22/12/18Chemnitz v Rostock68-88
28/10/18Rostock v Chemnitz76-87
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/25HLudwigsburg104-100 OT
27/04/25HAlba Berlin81-103
19/04/25ASyntainics MBC95-97
16/04/25AHeidelberg66-81
13/04/25HBamberg99-98 OT
06/04/25AUlm87-117
30/03/25AFrankfurt70-65
16/03/25AWurzburg90-83
08/03/25AGottingen94-90
02/03/25HBayern72-94
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/25AOldenburg79-92
20/04/25HBamberg98-74
17/04/25AFrankfurt77-72 OT
12/04/25AVechta84-68
05/04/25HLudwigsburg94-89
29/03/25HUlm85-67
22/03/25ABayern66-91
15/03/25HSyntainics MBC84-76
08/03/25AHamburg77-78
01/03/25ABonn72-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW55%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayWWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %55%67%43%
Points / game81.184.977.1
Allowed / game83.885.781.8
Point differential-2.7-0.9-4.7
Avg total164.9170.6158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)75% (4)57% (7)
Overtime %7%13%0%
Rostock
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL55%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLLWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %55%67%43%
Points / game81.784.378.9
Allowed / game80.479.681.4
Point differential+1.2+4.7-2.5
Avg total162.1163.9160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%33%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)75% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %10%7%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern3022873%83.276.1+7.2
2 Ulm3021970%88.780.7+8.0
3 Wurzburg30181260%83.379.7+3.6
4 Basketball Braunschweig29171259%84.882.5+2.2
5 Rostock29161355%81.780.4+1.2
6 Chemnitz29161355%81.183.8-2.7
7 Alba Berlin31171455%86.680.1+6.5
8 Syntainics MBC30161453%84.985.1-0.2
9 Heidelberg30161453%79.480.9-1.5
10 Vechta31161552%80.181.5-1.5
11 Ludwigsburg30151550%76.174.6+1.5
12 Hamburg30151550%81.583.3-1.8
13 Oldenburg31151648%88.888.7+0.1
14 Bonn30141647%83.983.6+0.3
15 Bamberg30111937%83.986.3-2.4
16 Frankfurt3082227%75.782.6-6.9
17 Gottingen302287%81.295.0-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Chemnitz1829232414108
Rostock212516328102
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