Rostock vs Vechta Prediction & Stats

Rostock host Vechta in the BBL on 15 November 2026, with the model favouring the home side at 68% versus 32% for the visitors, and projecting a 89-83 win for the hosts. Rostock finish the season 5-3, averaging 89.8 points and allowing 82.4, while Vechta sit 3-5, scoring 86.2 and conceding 90.8; the league positions are 5th for Rostock and 13th for Vechta. At home Rostock are unbeaten 4-0, posting 92.2 points and 77.0 allowed, and in the last five games they have won three and lost two, with recent results including a 71-88 loss to Cedevita Olimpija at home, a 97-87 win over Ulm, and a 86-59 away victory over San Pablo Burgos. Vechta's road record is 1-2, with 84.0 points and 82.0 allowed, and their last five mirror Rostock's with three wins and two losses; recent outings feature a 90-85 win over Hapoel Holon, a 99-90 home win against Chemnitz, and a 100-74 away triumph over Phoenix Hagen. Historically the teams have met nine times, with Rostock winning five and Vechta four, the most recent encounter on 8 May 2026 ending 90-78 in favour of Rostock. The spread is set at -7.5 for the hosts with a 46% chance of covering, the total is 174.5 with a 42% over probability, and there is a 4% chance of overtime. The projected total of 171.3 points places the game below the over line, suggesting a tighter contest than the line implies.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock win

68.3%fair 1.46

Best odds1.35

Implied73.3%

Edge-5.0pp

Vechta win

31.7%fair 3.15

Best odds3.56

Implied26.7%

Edge+5.0pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 14:24 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rostock

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormRostock

Date

Competition

Rigas Zelli

#20

87-86

85avg 76

H06/10

Eurocup

Wurzburg

101-62

101

+39

99avg 76

H10/10

BBL

Le Mans

#12

70-82

-12

56avg 76

A14/10

Eurocup

Aris

79-110

110

-31

70avg 76

H20/10

Eurocup

Syntainics MBC

98-103 OT

103

-5

92avg 76

A24/10

BBL

Tortona

#17

83-86

-3

66avg 76

A28/10

Eurocup

Bayern

69-67

68avg 76

H01/11

BBL

San Pablo Burgos

#30

86-59

+27

no box

A04/11

Eurocup

Ulm

#11

97-87

+10

no box

H07/11

BBL

Cedevita Olimpija

#25

71-88

-17

no box

H10/11

Eurocup

20-26

22-15

22-25

23-20

19-21

21-14

35-6

26-21

18-19

16-32

18-20

18-11

20-29

17-29

14-25

28-27

23-21

20-27

29-17

16-23

24-23

20-16

26-18

13-29

24-15

14-25

12-13

19-14

27-14

24-13

23-21

12-11

29-21

29-24

15-21

24-21

21-24

20-26

19-20

11-18

167.1Avg total

84.1Scored

83.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	89.8	82.4	172.1	+7.4	62%
Season at home (4)	92.2	77.0	169.2	+15.2	100%
Season away (4)	87.2	87.8	175.0	-0.5	25%
Last 10 (10)	84.1	83.0	167.1	+1.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	81.2	77.4	158.6	+3.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	74.7	87.7	162.4	-13.0	14%
vs Similar (9)	81.2	79.6	160.8	+1.7	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	88.9	80.6	169.5	+8.2	57%

This opponent (Vechta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vechta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormVechta

Date

Competition

Jena

#18

71-79

-8

59avg 78

A01/10

BBL

Basketball Braunschweig

#14

87-93

-6

75avg 78

H05/10

BBL

Spartak Subotica

64-96

-32

47avg 78

A07/10

Champions League

Ulm

#11

97-92 OT

90avg 78

H10/10

BBL

Cholet

#21

66-84

-18

51avg 78

A14/10

Champions League

Trier

88-97

-9

80avg 78

H24/10

BBL

Hapoel Holon

#29

81-88

-7

72avg 78

H28/10

Champions League

Phoenix Hagen

#17

100-74

100

+26

99avg 78

A30/10

BBL

Chemnitz

#16

99-90

no box

H07/11

BBL

Hapoel Holon

#29

90-85

no box

A10/11

Champions League

11-18

21-18

28-26

11-17

21-25

14-18

21-22

31-28

13-21

19-25

17-22

15-28

20-20

13-27

26-14

25-23

21-16

11-21

17-22

17-25

23-22

12-21

27-22

26-32

18-17

21-27

22-23

20-21

25-25

31-13

25-15

19-21

27-24

18-26

33-14

21-26

31-18

20-25

25-31

14-11

172.1Avg total

84.3Scored

87.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	86.2	90.8	177.0	-4.5	38%
Season at home (5)	87.6	96.0	183.6	-8.4	40%
Season away (3)	84.0	82.0	166.0	+2.0	33%
Last 10 (10)	84.3	87.8	172.1	-3.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	91.6	86.8	178.4	+4.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	83.4	90.4	173.8	-7.0	20%
vs Similar (8)	91.4	91.1	182.5	+0.2	75%
vs Weaker (11)	98.3	85.6	183.9	+12.6	73%

This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

Pythia expects about 171 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 170-174 (12%). The market's main line is 174.

Over/Under 169

Over 169

54.9%

@ 1.50-7.6pp

Under 169

45.1%

@ 2.50+7.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.50

Marathon Be

1.49

Under

Bet365

2.50

Over/Under 174 · main line

Over 174

42.9%

@ 1.89-7.4pp

Under 174

57.1%

@ 1.91+7.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.89

Marathon Be

1.88

1xBet

1.88

SBO

1.81

Bet365

1.80

Under

Pinnacle

1.91

Bet365

1.90

Marathon Be

1.90

1xBet

1.90

SBO

1.88

Over/Under 179

Over 179

31.6%

@ 2.30-8.7pp

Under 179

68.4%

@ 1.55+8.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.30

Under

Bet365

1.55

Marathon Be

1.52

📊 3. Team Totals

Rostock total 85.5

Over 85.5

61.5%

@ 1.38-6.5pp

Under 85.5

38.5%

@ 2.92+6.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.38

Betano

1.31

Under

Betano

2.92

Bet365

2.80

Rostock total 89.5 · main line

Over 89.5

46.9%

@ 1.85-7.2pp

Under 89.5

53.1%

@ 2.07+7.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.85

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.74

Marathon Be

1.71

Betano

1.65

Under

Betano

2.07

1xBet

2.05

Marathon Be

2.02

BetVictor

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Rostock total 93.5

Over 93.5

32.6%

@ 2.20-9.5pp

Under 93.5

67.4%

@ 1.61+9.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.20

Bet365

2.20

1xBet

2.07

Under

1xBet

1.61

Bet365

1.60

Betano

1.57

Vechta total 79.5

Over 79.5

61.0%

@ 1.42-3.9pp

Under 79.5

39.0%

@ 2.72+3.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.42

Bet365

1.40

Under

Bet365

2.72

Betano

2.50

Vechta total 83.5 · main line

Over 83.5

46.5%

@ 1.87-3.5pp

Under 83.5

53.5%

@ 1.87+3.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.87

Marathon Be

1.87

Betano

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Under

1xBet

1.87

Marathon Be

1.87

BetVictor

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.82

Vechta total 87.5

Over 87.5

32.5%

@ 2.50-6.3pp

Under 87.5

67.5%

@ 1.52+6.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.50

Bet365

2.40

1xBet

2.21

Under

1xBet

1.52

Bet365

1.52

Betano

1.42

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

Margin from Rostock's side (positive = Rostock win). Pythia's expected margin is +5.9; Rostock win by 1+ in 62% of simulations.

Spread Rostock -10.5

ROS -10.5

36.0%

@ 2.39-3.5pp

VEC +10.5

64.0%

@ 1.57+3.5pp

Best 5 market prices

ROS

Pinnacle

2.39

Bet365

2.35

1xBet

2.33

Marathon Be

2.33

Betano

2.30

VEC

Betano

1.57

Pinnacle

1.56

Bet365

1.55

1xBet

1.52

Marathon Be

1.52

Spread Rostock -7.5 · main line

ROS -7.5

45.6%

@ 1.96-4.8pp

VEC +7.5

54.4%

@ 1.91+4.8pp

Best 5 market prices

ROS

1xBet

1.96

Marathon Be

1.94

SBO

1.88

Pinnacle

1.88

Bet365

1.86

VEC

Pinnacle

1.91

Betano

1.90

1xBet

1.88

BetVictor

1.88

Bet365

1.86

Spread Rostock -4.5

ROS -4.5

55.8%

@ 1.91-2.4pp

VEC +4.5

44.2%

@ 2.37+2.4pp

Best 5 market prices

ROS

Betfair

1.91

BetVictor

1.83

1xBet

1.58

Marathon Be

1.58

Betano

1.55

VEC

Betano

2.37

Bet365

2.35

1xBet

2.20

Marathon Be

2.20

Betfair

1.80

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

RostockVechta

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	22.7	19.0	41.7	+3.7	63%	43%
Last 30 at home (13)	24.1	17.5	41.5	+6.6	69%	46%
Last 30 away (17)	21.6	20.2	41.8	+1.5	59%	41%
Last 10 (10)	22.5	21.3	43.8	+1.2	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	25.0	19.4	44.4	+5.6	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	21.3	21.4	42.7	-0.1	43%	29%
vs Similar (9)	21.4	18.9	40.3	+2.6	78%	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	24.2	17.9	42.1	+6.4	64%	43%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	23.4	21.4	44.8	+2.1	53%	63%
Last 30 at home (14)	23.5	22.6	46.1	+0.9	50%	64%
Last 30 away (16)	23.4	20.3	43.7	+3.1	56%	62%
Last 10 (10)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	24.8	21.2	46.0	+3.6	80%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	21.6	22.4	44.0	-0.8	50%	70%
vs Similar (8)	23.2	20.6	43.9	+2.6	50%	50%
vs Weaker (11)	25.2	21.1	46.3	+4.1	55%	64%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	20.5	21.4	41.9	-0.9	43%	43%
Last 30 at home (13)	20.8	21.3	42.1	-0.5	46%	46%
Last 30 away (17)	20.4	21.5	41.8	-1.1	41%	41%
Last 10 (10)	20.3	22.1	42.4	-1.8	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.8	42.2	+0.6	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.7	24.3	42.0	-6.6	29%	43%
vs Similar (9)	21.7	21.8	43.4	-0.1	33%	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.2	19.7	40.9	+1.5	57%	36%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	20.7	22.6	43.3	-1.9	37%	57%
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	24.0	45.1	-2.9	36%	64%
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	21.4	41.8	-1.1	38%	50%
Last 10 (10)	18.0	22.1	40.1	-4.1	20%	50%
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.4	42.8	-2.0	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	18.4	20.8	39.2	-2.4	30%	30%
vs Similar (8)	18.6	28.1	46.8	-9.5	0%	88%
vs Weaker (11)	24.5	20.8	45.3	+3.6	64%	64%

RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rigas Zelli

#20

42-41

H06/10

Eurocup

Wurzburg

40-35

H10/10

BBL

Le Mans

#12

34-51

-17

A14/10

Eurocup

Aris

37-58

-21

H20/10

Eurocup

Syntainics MBC

43-48

-5

A24/10

BBL

Tortona

#17

44-39

A28/10

Eurocup

Bayern

38-40

-2

H01/11

BBL

San Pablo Burgos

#30

51-27

+24

A04/11

Eurocup

Ulm

#11

58-45

+13

H07/11

BBL

Cedevita Olimpija

#25

41-50

-9

H10/11

Eurocup

86.2Avg total

42.8Scored

43.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 86.5
Last 30 (30)	43.2	40.4	83.6	+2.8	53%	30%
Last 30 at home (13)	44.8	38.8	83.6	+6.1	69%	38%
Last 30 away (17)	42.0	41.6	83.6	+0.4	41%	24%
Last 10 (10)	42.8	43.4	86.2	-0.6	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	46.4	40.2	86.6	+6.2	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	39.0	45.7	84.7	-6.7	29%	29%
vs Similar (9)	43.1	40.7	83.8	+2.4	44%	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	45.4	37.6	83.0	+7.9	71%	29%

This opponent (Vechta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VechtaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jena

#18

32-36

-4

A01/10

BBL

Basketball Braunschweig

#14

35-43

-8

H05/10

BBL

Spartak Subotica

32-46

-14

A07/10

Champions League

Ulm

#11

33-47

-14

H10/10

BBL

Cholet

#21

32-37

-5

A14/10

Champions League

Trier

35-43

-8

H24/10

BBL

Hapoel Holon

#29

39-44

-5

H28/10

Champions League

Phoenix Hagen

#17

56-38

+18

A30/10

BBL

Chemnitz

#16

45-50

-5

H07/11

BBL

Hapoel Holon

#29

51-43

A10/11

Champions League

81.7Avg total

39.0Scored

42.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 86.5
Last 30 (30)	44.1	44.0	88.1	+0.1	40%	57%
Last 30 at home (14)	44.6	46.6	91.1	-2.0	36%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	43.8	41.8	85.5	+2.0	44%	56%
Last 10 (10)	39.0	42.7	81.7	-3.7	20%	30%
Last 5 (5)	45.2	43.6	88.8	+1.6	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	40.0	43.2	83.2	-3.2	20%	50%
vs Similar (8)	41.9	48.8	90.6	-6.9	25%	62%
vs Weaker (11)	49.6	41.9	91.5	+7.7	64%	64%

This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winner

ROS win

63.9%

@ 1.44-3.7pp

VEC win

36.1%

@ 2.92+3.7pp

1st half Spread Rostock -4 · main line

ROS -4

46.7%

@ 1.93-3.0pp

VEC +4

53.3%

@ 1.90+3.0pp

1st half Over/Under 86.5 · main line

Over

47.0%

@ 1.88-3.6pp

Under

53.0%

@ 2.05+3.6pp

Rostock 1st half total 45.5 · main line

Over

44.3%

@ 1.86-6.0pp

Under

55.7%

@ 1.95+6.0pp

Vechta 1st half total 41.5 · main line

Over

48.3%

@ 1.89-1.4pp

Under

51.7%

@ 1.88+1.4pp

1st half: ROS + total 87.5

ROS & over

26.8%

@ 2.90-3.1pp

ROS & under

34.6%

@ 2.75+3.1pp

1st half: Draw + total 87.5

Draw & over

1.7%

@ 29.00-1.3pp

Draw & under

2.2%

@ 26.00-1.2pp

1st half: VEC + total 87.5

VEC & over

14.7%

@ 5.50-1.0pp

VEC & under

20.0%

@ 5.25+3.5pp

1st half Over/Under 88

Over

41.1%

@ 2.04-5.5pp

Under

58.9%

@ 1.79+5.5pp

1st half Spread Rostock -5

ROS -5

42.5%

@ 2.08-3.1pp

VEC +5

57.5%

@ 1.77+3.1pp

1st half Spread Rostock -3

ROS -3

51.1%

@ 1.80-3.3pp

VEC +3

48.9%

@ 2.07+3.3pp

1st half Over/Under 84.5

Over

54.4%

@ 1.50-6.6pp

Under

45.6%

@ 2.35+6.6pp

1st half Over/Under 89.5

Over

35.9%

@ 2.20-8.7pp

Under

64.1%

@ 1.67+8.7pp

1st half Spread Rostock -2

ROS -2

55.5%

@ 1.81+3.9pp

VEC +2

44.5%

@ 1.93-3.9pp

1st half Spread Rostock -6.5

ROS -6.5

36.5%

@ 2.18-5.4pp

VEC +6.5

63.5%

@ 1.57+5.4pp

1st half 3-way (draw possible)

ROS

61.4%

@ 1.47-2.2pp

Draw

3.9%

@ 18.00-1.6pp

VEC

34.8%

@ 2.96+3.8pp

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.7	41.2	+1.8	53%	40%
Last 30 at home (13)	21.6	19.5	41.2	+2.1	31%	31%
Last 30 away (17)	21.4	19.8	41.2	+1.6	71%	47%
Last 10 (10)	21.3	18.6	39.9	+2.7	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.6	37.6	+0.4	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.0	20.9	39.9	-1.9	29%	43%
vs Similar (9)	21.0	17.9	38.9	+3.1	67%	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.1	20.2	43.3	+2.9	57%	36%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43
Last 30 (30)	23.4	22.1	45.5	+1.3	50%	57%
Last 30 at home (14)	23.8	22.4	46.2	+1.4	43%	64%
Last 30 away (16)	23.1	21.9	44.9	+1.2	56%	50%
Last 10 (10)	24.1	21.1	45.2	+3.0	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	26.4	21.0	47.4	+5.4	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	20.9	22.7	43.6	-1.8	40%	50%
vs Similar (8)	23.1	19.4	42.5	+3.8	50%	50%
vs Weaker (11)	24.9	23.1	48.0	+1.8	55%	64%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	30%	30%
Last 30 at home (13)	20.3	22.0	42.3	-1.7	38%	46%
Last 30 away (17)	16.2	20.3	36.5	-4.1	24%	18%
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.5	38.5	-0.5	70%	30%
Last 5 (5)	15.8	18.6	34.4	-2.8	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.7	21.1	37.9	-4.4	43%	14%
vs Similar (9)	16.0	19.3	35.3	-3.3	22%	11%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	19.9	22.1	42.0	-2.1	29%	50%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	23.6	22.7	46.3	+0.9	50%	70%
Last 30 at home (14)	24.9	22.9	47.7	+2.0	50%	71%
Last 30 away (16)	22.5	22.6	45.1	-0.1	50%	69%
Last 10 (10)	19.9	23.2	43.1	-3.3	30%	40%
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.2	42.2	-2.2	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	22.5	24.5	47.0	-2.0	30%	60%
vs Similar (8)	24.8	22.0	46.8	+2.8	75%	88%
vs Weaker (11)	23.7	20.6	44.4	+3.1	55%	64%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 86
Last 30 (30)	39.5	40.7	80.2	-1.2	33%	30%
Last 30 at home (13)	41.9	41.5	83.5	+0.4	31%	46%
Last 30 away (17)	37.6	40.1	77.7	-2.4	35%	18%
Last 10 (10)	40.3	38.1	78.4	+2.2	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	34.8	37.2	72.0	-2.4	40%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	35.7	42.0	77.7	-6.3	29%	14%
vs Similar (9)	37.0	37.2	74.2	-0.2	33%	11%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	43.0	42.3	85.3	+0.7	36%	50%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 86
Last 30 (30)	47.0	44.8	91.8	+2.2	50%	63%
Last 30 at home (14)	48.6	45.3	93.9	+3.4	43%	71%
Last 30 away (16)	45.6	44.4	90.0	+1.1	56%	56%
Last 10 (10)	44.0	44.3	88.3	-0.3	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	46.4	43.2	89.6	+3.2	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	43.4	47.2	90.6	-3.8	30%	60%
vs Similar (8)	47.9	41.4	89.2	+6.5	75%	75%
vs Weaker (11)	48.6	43.7	92.4	+4.9	55%	55%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

ROS win + total 174.5

🔒 Pro

VEC win + total 174.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

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Half-time / full-time: ROS leads at half

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Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: VEC leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

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Double chance (regulation)

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Quarters won (ROS:VEC): ROS wins more

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🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds PRO1.20

Edge PRO

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge
Q1: Rostock under 25.5	73.9%	1.40	Betano 1.40	-	-	-	-	+9.4pp
Under 182	74.4%	1.39	Bet365 1.40	Marathon Bet 1.38	-	-	-	+8.4pp
1st half: Vechta under 46.5	77.2%	1.33	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp
Rostock +6.5	82.9%	1.20	Betano 1.20	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp
Rostock or draw	70.9%	1.25	Marathon Bet 1.25	-	-	-	-	-
■■■■■■ ■■■	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%

🔒 191 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 82.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀44%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	18.1	50.3%	55.6%	36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.1	10.5	32.7%	33.7%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	18.9	14.9	78.8%	73.4%	14.9

They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Vechtatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vechta: 80.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.5	19.8	52.8%	55.6%	39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.5	8.9	29.2%	33.7%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	19.8	13.9	70.2%	73.4%	13.9

They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	18.5	48.7%	55.6%	37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.4	9.2	33.6%	33.7%	27.6
🏀 Free throws	26.9	20.6	76.6%	73.4%	20.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.6	24.4	57.3%	55.6%	48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	9.6	38.4%	33.7%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	18.0	12.8	71.1%	73.4%	12.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.0	17.3	50.9%	55.6%	34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.5	11.6	34.5%	33.7%	34.7
🏀 Free throws	19.2	14.1	73.5%	73.4%	14.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.5	20.9	55.7%	55.6%	41.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.1	11.0	36.5%	33.7%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	21.8	15.6	71.7%	73.4%	15.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.2	18.7	50.1%	55.6%	37.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.8	9.0	33.4%	33.7%	26.9
🏀 Free throws	23.8	17.6	73.9%	73.4%	17.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	24.0	59.3%	55.6%	48.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.4	9.0	34.1%	33.7%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	18.8	13.3	71.0%	73.4%	13.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Rostock

LWWWLLLLWW

Vechta

WWWLLLWLLL

League position

#13

-2.9

Net rating

-11.3

91.4

Offensive rating

88.8

94.3

Defensive rating

100.0

49.7%

Effective FG%

48.8%

49.4%

Opp. effective FG%

57.4%

16.2%

Turnover %

17.3%

0.28

Free-throw rate

0.29

32.7%

3-point %

29.2%

58.4%

Assist %

57.5%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

40%

Profile

■ Rostock ■ Vechta

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Rostock wins

Vechta wins

Date	Game	Score
08/05/26	Vechta v Rostock	78-90
21/11/25	Rostock v Vechta	87-91
12/04/25	Vechta v Rostock	68-84
04/01/25	Rostock v Vechta	87-83
14/02/24	Rostock v Vechta	77-92
30/12/23	Vechta v Rostock	85-81 OT
23/09/23	Vechta v Rostock	84-76
30/01/22	Rostock v Vechta	95-66
17/09/21	Vechta v Rostock	54-68

Rostocklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/11/26	H	Cedevita Olimpija	71-88
07/11/26	H	Ulm	97-87
04/11/26	A	San Pablo Burgos	86-59
01/11/26	H	Bayern	69-67
28/10/26	A	Tortona	83-86
24/10/26	A	Syntainics MBC	98-103 OT
20/10/26	H	Aris	79-110
14/10/26	A	Le Mans	70-82
10/10/26	H	Wurzburg	101-62
06/10/26	H	Rigas Zelli	87-86

Vechtalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/11/26	A	Hapoel Holon	90-85
07/11/26	H	Chemnitz	99-90
30/10/26	A	Phoenix Hagen	100-74
28/10/26	H	Hapoel Holon	81-88
24/10/26	H	Trier	88-97
14/10/26	A	Cholet	66-84
10/10/26	H	Ulm	97-92 OT
07/10/26	A	Spartak Subotica	64-96
05/10/26	H	Basketball Braunschweig	87-93
01/10/26	A	Jena	71-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock

BBL 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	62%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	LLWL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	62%	100%	25%
Points / game	89.8	92.2	87.2
Allowed / game	82.4	77.0	87.8
Point differential	+7.4	+15.2	-0.5
Avg total	172.1	169.2	175.0
Over 174	50%	50%	50%
Win by 10+	38%	75%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	100% (1)	0% (3)
Overtime %	12%	0%	25%

Vechta

BBL 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	38%
Home	LLWLW	40%
Away	LLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	5	3
Win %	38%	40%	33%
Points / game	86.2	87.6	84.0
Allowed / game	90.8	96.0	82.0
Point differential	-4.5	-8.4	+2.0
Avg total	177.0	183.6	166.0
Over 174	62%	100%	0%
Win by 10+	12%	0%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	12%	20%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bayern	8	7	1	88%	96.0	70.1	+25.9
2	Trier	7	6	1	86%	98.4	86.1	+12.3
3	Syntainics MBC	8	6	2	75%	86.6	80.1	+6.5
4	Bonn	9	6	3	67%	87.7	81.2	+6.4
5	Frankfurt	6	4	2	67%	87.3	83.3	+4.0
6	Rostock	8	5	3	62%	89.8	82.4	+7.4
7	Ludwigsburg	9	5	4	56%	86.1	85.2	+0.9
8	Alba Berlin	9	5	4	56%	87.2	86.6	+0.7
9	Wurzburg	8	4	4	50%	81.8	83.2	-1.5
10	Bamberg	9	4	5	44%	85.1	85.7	-0.6
11	Ulm	9	4	5	44%	84.1	85.4	-1.3
12	Oldenburg	9	4	5	44%	74.7	83.4	-8.8
13	Vechta	8	3	5	38%	86.2	90.8	-4.5
14	Basketball Braunschweig	8	3	5	38%	86.0	96.5	-10.5
15	Hamburg	9	3	6	33%	83.3	90.8	-7.4
16	Chemnitz	8	2	6	25%	87.1	90.0	-2.9
17	Phoenix Hagen	9	2	7	22%	83.4	92.0	-8.6
18	Jena	9	2	7	22%	77.9	89.6	-11.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

← all games of the day

Rostock vs Vechta Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Total points distribution

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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