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Rostock vs Wurzburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 101-62
19-21 21-14 35-6 26-21
Position#5
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game85.0
Rostock 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#7
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game73.3
GermanyBBLRound 5· Stadthalle Rostock
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Rostock v Wurzburg
10 Oct 2026
ROS101
WUR62
08 Feb 2026
ROS77
WUR74
05 Oct 2024
ROS65
WUR92
20 Jan 2024
ROS78
WUR91
25 Mar 2023
ROS72
WUR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Vechta
#7
W
90-78
90
78
+12
82avg 77
A08/05
BBL
Hamburg
#14
W
103-71
103
71
+32
78avg 77
H10/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
91-71
91
71
+20
90avg 77
H12/05
BBL
Trier
#12
L
69-76
69
76
-7
56avg 77
A14/05
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#17
W
102-92
102
92
+10
98avg 77
H19/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
78-81
78
81
-3
68avg 77
A24/09
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#14
L
82-83
82
83
-1
71avg 77
A27/09
BBL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
73-94
73
94
-21
58avg 77
A29/09
Eurocup
Hamburg
#18
W
91-84
91
84
+7
85avg 77
A03/10
BBL
Rigas Zelli
#18
W
87-86
87
86
+1
85avg 77
H06/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
32-18
19-18
14-18
27-13
28-20
31-17
17-21
21-17
21-21
25-9
24-24
24-24
19-23
17-15
9-14
39-11
22-22
17-26
24-33
20-10
24-31
20-16
14-24
13-30
21-16
27-24
21-13
18-25
19-24
17-24
19-21
21-13
25-19
21-19
24-33
20-26
22-15
22-25
23-20
168.2Avg total
86.6Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)88.285.0173.2+3.250%
Season at home (1)102.092.0194.0+10.0100%
Season away (3)83.782.7166.3+1.033%
Last 10 (10)86.681.6168.2+5.060%
Last 5 (5)82.285.6167.8-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.089.2167.2-11.20%
vs Similar (9)80.078.3158.3+1.756%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)87.982.8170.7+5.250%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Bonn
#4
W
69-54
69
54
+15
57avg 72
A16/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
81-88
81
88
-7
65avg 72
A18/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
76-80
76
80
-4
68avg 72
H22/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
82-70
82
70
+12
72avg 72
H24/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
63-66
63
66
-3
52avg 72
A27/05
BBL
Manchester Basketball
#29
L
73-74
73
74
-1
62avg 72
H14/09
Champions League
Oldenburg
#11
L
68-77
68
77
-9
70avg 72
H25/09
BBL
Ulm
#12
W
90-67
90
67
+23
75avg 72
A27/09
BBL
Bonn
#6
W
83-76
83
76
+7
76avg 72
H02/10
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#24
L
65-73
65
73
-8
46avg 72
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
16-7
24-15
15-9
24-20
19-21
17-24
21-23
22-17
22-19
7-19
25-25
20-12
16-19
25-17
21-22
19-15
11-7
16-27
17-17
19-18
18-24
15-22
21-10
12-21
21-19
21-13
14-24
16-24
25-9
21-22
28-12
21-17
15-19
21-19
26-21
17-22
23-18
19-15
6-18
147.5Avg total
75.0Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.373.3153.7+7.067%
Season at home (2)75.576.5152.0-1.050%
Season away (1)90.067.0157.0+23.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.072.5147.5+2.540%
Last 5 (5)75.873.4149.2+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)79.880.7160.5-0.833%
vs Similar (14)80.475.9156.3+4.457%
vs Weaker (9)76.675.4152.0+1.156%
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +1.3+1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +1.3+1.3
RostockWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#7
W
57-42
57
42
+15
A08/05
BBL
Hamburg
#14
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H10/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H12/05
BBL
Trier
#12
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A14/05
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#17
W
61-33
61
33
+28
H19/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A24/09
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#14
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A27/09
BBL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A29/09
Eurocup
Hamburg
#18
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A03/10
BBL
Rigas Zelli
#18
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H06/10
Eurocup
86.3Avg total
46.1Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.639.783.3+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.437.883.1+7.679%-
Last 30 away (16)42.141.483.5+0.844%-
Last 10 (10)46.140.286.3+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)40.641.882.4-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.243.883.0-4.640%-
vs Similar (9)43.441.284.7+2.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)45.137.682.7+7.669%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#4
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A16/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A18/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H22/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H24/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A27/05
BBL
Manchester Basketball
#29
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H14/09
Champions League
Oldenburg
#11
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H25/09
BBL
Ulm
#12
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A27/09
BBL
Bonn
#6
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H02/10
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#24
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
72.1Avg total
37.0Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.038.577.5+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.938.478.4+1.562%-
Last 30 away (14)37.938.676.5-0.643%-
Last 10 (10)37.035.172.1+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)37.438.275.6-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)41.042.083.0-1.050%-
vs Similar (14)39.937.477.3+2.664%-
vs Weaker (9)36.437.674.0-1.144%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.718.3
51.3%
55.6%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.411.5
36.6%
33.3%34.5
🏀 Free throws16.412.3
75.0%
73.4%12.3
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.815.3
45.3%
55.6%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.710.0
32.6%
33.3%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.413.7
74.5%
73.4%13.7
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
WWLLLWLWWW
Wurzburg
LWWLLLWLLW
#5
League position
#7
+5.6
Net rating
+2.6
97.8
Offensive rating
89.5
92.2
Defensive rating
86.8
53.0%
Effective FG%
47.0%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
46.0%
14.8%
Turnover %
12.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.6%
3-point %
32.6%
60.7%
Assist %
56.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 89.5Defence92.2 · 86.8Shooting53.0% · 47.0%3-point %36.6% · 32.6%Ball care14.8% · 12.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Rostock   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Rostock wins
4
Wurzburg wins
DateGameScore
08/02/26Rostock v Wurzburg77-74
09/11/25Wurzburg v Rostock63-75
09/02/25Wurzburg v Rostock93-97
05/10/24Rostock v Wurzburg65-92
20/04/24Wurzburg v Rostock86-95
20/01/24Rostock v Wurzburg78-91
25/03/23Rostock v Wurzburg72-76
19/11/22Wurzburg v Rostock97-87
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/26HRigas Zelli87-86
03/10/26AHamburg91-84
29/09/26AHapoel Jerusalem73-94
27/09/26ABasketball Braunschweig82-83
24/09/26ALudwigsburg78-81
19/09/26HPhoenix Hagen102-92
14/05/26ATrier69-76
12/05/26HLudwigsburg91-71
10/05/26HHamburg103-71
08/05/26AVechta90-78
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/26AAEK Larnaca65-73
02/10/26HBonn83-76
27/09/26AUlm90-67
25/09/26HOldenburg68-77
14/09/26HManchester Basketball73-74
27/05/26ABonn63-66
24/05/26HBonn82-70
22/05/26HBonn76-80
18/05/26ABonn81-88
16/05/26ABonn69-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game88.2102.083.7
Allowed / game85.092.082.7
Point differential+3.2+10.0+1.0
Avg total173.2194.0166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wurzburg
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game80.375.590.0
Allowed / game73.376.567.0
Point differential+7.0-1.0+23.0
Avg total153.7152.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern440100%100.869.0+31.8
2 Basketball Braunschweig330100%97.392.0+5.3
3 Trier43175%101.290.2+11.0
4 Oldenburg43175%77.084.0-7.0
5 Wurzburg32167%80.373.3+7.0
6 Frankfurt32167%89.787.7+2.0
7 Bonn53260%88.880.2+8.6
8 Bamberg42250%93.590.2+3.2
9 Rostock42250%88.285.0+3.2
10 Syntainics MBC42250%79.876.8+3.0
11 Ludwigsburg42250%85.288.5-3.2
12 Ulm42250%79.583.5-4.0
13 Alba Berlin42250%81.889.5-7.8
14 Jena52340%75.287.4-12.2
15 Hamburg41325%81.088.0-7.0
16 Chemnitz51420%85.089.0-4.0
17 Phoenix Hagen4040%87.895.5-7.8
18 Vechta4040%76.593.2-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock19213526101
Wurzburg211462162
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