Rotterdam vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 May 2019

Tip-off: 17:45

Final 68-103

17-29 19-29 18-29 14-16

Position#8

Record9-26

FormLLWWL

Points / game70.7

Allowed / game81.2

Rotterdam

Leiden 🏆

Position#1

Record32-3

FormWWWWW

Points / game87.0

Allowed / game70.9

DBLDBL - Quarter-finals

Other2018-19

Meetings · Rotterdam v Leiden

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rotterdam winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Leiden winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rotterdam

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Den Bosch

60-74

-14

H17/03

DBL

Den Bosch

72-104

104

-32

A20/03

DBL

Zwolle

75-66

H23/03

DBL

Leiden

58-97

-39

H06/04

DBL

Amsterdam

78-89

-11

A10/04

DBL

Den Helder

69-80

-11

A13/04

DBL

Donar Groningen

66-82

-16

H18/04

DBL

BAL Weert

#10

69-54

+15

H25/04

DBL

LWD Basket

100-75

100

+25

A28/04

DBL

Leiden

72-96

-24

A30/04

DBL

14-22

20-20

19-12

7-20

19-32

17-16

23-22

13-34

19-14

22-14

14-24

20-14

14-24

16-19

13-37

15-17

24-28

16-24

19-26

19-11

15-13

19-22

21-20

14-25

12-17

11-24

18-23

25-18

14-11

16-15

16-13

23-15

24-18

26-13

29-21

21-23

23-26

17-17

15-27

17-26

153.6Avg total

71.9Scored

81.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (35)	70.7	81.2	151.9	-10.6	26%
Season at home (17)	69.7	75.5	145.2	-5.8	35%
Season away (18)	71.6	86.6	158.2	-15.1	17%
Last 10 (10)	71.9	81.7	153.6	-9.8	30%
Last 5 (5)	75.2	77.4	152.6	-2.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	69.6	86.2	155.8	-16.6	14%
vs Similar (11)	76.3	77.5	153.8	-1.3	45%
vs Weaker (4)	74.5	70.0	144.5	+4.5	50%

This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Leiden

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BAL Weert

#10

103-84

103

+19

H02/04

DBL

Rotterdam

97-58

+39

A06/04

DBL

Donar Groningen

82-85

-3

H09/04

DBL

LWD Basket

92-69

+23

A13/04

DBL

Donar Groningen

81-76

A16/04

DBL

Den Helder

83-61

+22

H18/04

DBL

Den Bosch

89-59

+30

H20/04

DBL

Donar Groningen

73-71 OT

A25/04

DBL

Zwolle

77-70

A28/04

DBL

Rotterdam

96-72

+24

H30/04

DBL

29-21

20-18

27-22

27-23

24-14

19-16

37-13

17-15

12-28

19-15

24-25

27-17

31-13

17-18

32-15

12-23

17-23

20-16

30-17

14-20

22-12

25-15

12-15

24-19

23-18

14-8

30-21

22-12

14-18

19-13

17-15

16-20

19-19

19-20

20-12

26-23

17-17

27-15

26-17

157.8Avg total

87.3Scored

70.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (35)	87.0	70.9	157.9	+16.1	91%
Season at home (18)	89.2	71.7	160.9	+17.6	83%
Season away (17)	84.7	70.1	154.8	+14.6	100%
Last 10 (10)	87.3	70.5	157.8	+16.8	90%
Last 5 (5)	83.6	66.6	150.2	+17.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	82.8	95.2	178.0	-12.5	25%
vs Similar (11)	79.2	74.0	153.2	+5.2	64%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	90.1	68.0	158.1	+22.1	100%

This opponent (Rotterdam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

RotterdamLeiden

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.1	38.7	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.2	19.2	37.4	-1.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	20.5	38.3	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	17.0	34.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.4	21.8	40.2	-3.4	29%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.0	19.9	39.9	+0.1	55%	-
vs Weaker (4)	16.2	15.2	31.5	+1.0	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	18.5	39.9	+2.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	19.0	41.6	+3.6	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	18.1	38.3	+2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	18.9	40.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.0	38.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.5	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.1	19.7	39.8	+0.4	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	22.4	16.9	39.3	+5.5	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	17.8	35.0	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.1	17.2	34.3	-0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.3	18.5	35.8	-1.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	18.4	36.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	18.2	36.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.0	19.5	36.5	-2.5	29%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.1	15.2	33.3	+2.9	55%	-
vs Weaker (4)	16.0	17.0	33.0	-1.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	17.5	37.3	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	17.0	37.3	+3.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	17.9	37.2	+1.5	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	15.5	34.4	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	14.4	33.2	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	22.8	20.5	43.2	+2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.3	17.2	34.5	+0.1	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.9	16.9	37.7	+4.0	60%	-

RotterdamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Den Bosch

34-42

-8

H17/03

DBL

Den Bosch

36-48

-12

A20/03

DBL

Zwolle

41-28

+13

H23/03

DBL

Leiden

30-43

-13

H06/04

DBL

Amsterdam

40-52

-12

A10/04

DBL

Den Helder

34-35

-1

A13/04

DBL

Donar Groningen

23-41

-18

H18/04

DBL

BAL Weert

#10

30-26

H25/04

DBL

LWD Basket

50-31

+19

A28/04

DBL

Leiden

40-43

-3

A30/04

DBL

74.7Avg total

35.8Scored

38.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.8	37.9	73.7	-2.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	35.2	36.5	71.8	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.5	39.5	76.0	-3.0	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.8	38.9	74.7	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	35.2	70.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	35.4	41.3	76.7	-5.9	14%	-
vs Similar (11)	38.1	35.1	73.2	+3.0	64%	-
vs Weaker (4)	32.2	32.2	64.5	+0.0	50%	-

This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BAL Weert

#10

49-39

+10

H02/04

DBL

Rotterdam

43-30

+13

A06/04

DBL

Donar Groningen

31-43

-12

H09/04

DBL

LWD Basket

48-31

+17

A13/04

DBL

Donar Groningen

37-39

-2

A16/04

DBL

Den Helder

47-27

+20

H18/04

DBL

Den Bosch

37-26

+11

H20/04

DBL

Donar Groningen

33-31

A25/04

DBL

Zwolle

38-38

A28/04

DBL

Rotterdam

43-40

H30/04

DBL

75.0Avg total

40.6Scored

34.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	36.0	77.1	+5.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.9	36.0	78.9	+6.9	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.6	36.0	75.6	+3.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	34.4	75.0	+6.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	32.4	72.0	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	43.5	41.8	85.2	+1.8	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	37.4	36.9	74.3	+0.5	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	43.3	33.8	77.1	+9.5	87%	-

This opponent (Rotterdam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	21.1	39.2	-2.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.2	18.2	34.4	-1.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	24.4	44.7	-4.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	22.5	41.2	-3.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.8	40.6	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	16.7	23.1	39.9	-6.4	29%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.1	19.4	38.5	-0.3	45%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.2	19.2	39.5	+1.0	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	18.2	41.1	+4.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.5	17.6	41.1	+5.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.3	18.7	41.0	+3.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.5	17.8	43.3	+7.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	17.2	38.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	22.2	24.8	47.0	-2.5	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.6	18.4	40.0	+3.3	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	23.9	16.3	40.3	+7.6	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	20.9	38.5	-3.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.4	20.3	37.7	-2.9	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	21.5	39.4	-3.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	20.3	37.7	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.4	41.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.4	21.8	39.2	-4.4	29%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.9	21.7	39.6	-3.8	27%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.8	15.8	35.5	+4.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.5	40.4	+1.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.8	19.6	42.4	+3.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	19.4	38.6	-0.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	17.8	38.3	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	16.0	37.6	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.0	28.8	45.8	-11.8	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.5	18.3	37.8	+1.3	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	22.9	17.9	40.8	+5.1	87%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.8	41.9	77.7	-6.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	33.6	38.5	72.1	-4.9	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.3	45.9	84.1	-7.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.1	42.8	78.9	-6.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	42.2	82.0	-2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	34.1	44.9	79.1	-10.8	21%	-
vs Similar (11)	37.0	41.1	78.1	-4.1	36%	-
vs Weaker (4)	40.0	35.0	75.0	+5.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.8	37.7	81.4	+6.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.3	37.2	83.5	+9.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.6	38.1	79.6	+3.5	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.0	35.6	81.6	+10.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	33.2	75.8	+9.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	39.2	53.5	92.8	-14.2	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	41.2	36.6	77.8	+4.5	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	46.9	34.2	81.1	+12.7	93%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Rotterdam wins

Leiden wins

Date	Game	Score
30/04/19	Leiden v Rotterdam	96-72
06/04/19	Rotterdam v Leiden	58-97
02/02/19	Leiden v Rotterdam	92-68
31/12/18	Rotterdam v Leiden	80-91
20/10/18	Leiden v Rotterdam	88-64
19/04/18	Rotterdam v Leiden	92-94
15/03/18	Leiden v Rotterdam	102-74
27/01/18	Rotterdam v Leiden	77-76
18/11/17	Leiden v Rotterdam	92-74
01/04/17	Leiden v Rotterdam	86-72

Rotterdamlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/04/19	A	Leiden	72-96
28/04/19	A	LWD Basket	100-75
25/04/19	H	BAL Weert	69-54
18/04/19	H	Donar Groningen	66-82
13/04/19	A	Den Helder	69-80
10/04/19	A	Amsterdam	78-89
06/04/19	H	Leiden	58-97
23/03/19	H	Zwolle	75-66
20/03/19	A	Den Bosch	72-104
17/03/19	H	Den Bosch	60-74

Leidenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/04/19	H	Rotterdam	96-72
28/04/19	A	Zwolle	77-70
25/04/19	A	Donar Groningen	73-71 OT
20/04/19	H	Den Bosch	89-59
18/04/19	H	Den Helder	83-61
16/04/19	A	Donar Groningen	81-76
13/04/19	A	LWD Basket	92-69
09/04/19	H	Donar Groningen	82-85
06/04/19	A	Rotterdam	97-58
02/04/19	H	BAL Weert	103-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rotterdam

DBL 2018-19

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	26%
Home	LWLLW	35%
Away	LLLWL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	35	17	18
Win %	26%	35%	17%
Points / game	70.7	69.7	71.6
Allowed / game	81.2	75.5	86.6
Point differential	-10.6	-5.8	-15.1
Avg total	151.9	145.2	158.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	24%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	25% (4)	0% (1)
Overtime %	6%	6%	6%

Leiden

DBL 2018-19

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	91%
Home	WLWWW	83%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	35	18	17
Win %	91%	83%	100%
Points / game	87.0	89.2	84.7
Allowed / game	70.9	71.7	70.1
Point differential	+16.1	+17.6	+14.6
Avg total	157.9	160.9	154.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	63%	72%	53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	25% (4)	100% (3)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Leiden	35	32	3	91%	87.0	70.9	+16.1
2	Zwolle	35	29	6	83%	83.9	68.1	+15.8
3	Den Bosch	35	27	8	77%	81.1	67.8	+13.4
4	Donar Groningen	36	24	12	67%	83.6	71.1	+12.6
5	Dordrecht	18	10	8	56%	71.2	70.6	+0.7
6	Den Helder	36	12	24	33%	72.5	81.5	-9.0
7	Amsterdam	35	10	25	29%	72.2	84.1	-11.9
8	Rotterdam	35	9	26	26%	70.7	81.2	-10.6
9	LWD Basket	35	9	26	26%	70.8	81.6	-10.8
10	BAL Weert	34	5	29	15%	66.7	83.2	-16.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Rotterdam	17	19	18	14	68
Leiden	29	29	29	16	103

← all games of the day

Rotterdam vs Leiden Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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