Rotterdam vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 31 Dec 2018

Tip-off: 12:00

Final 80-91

30-27 21-22 10-15 19-27

Position#8

Record4-11

FormWLLLL

Points / game69.6

Allowed / game77.9

Rotterdam

Leiden 🏆

Position#1

Record11-1

FormLWWLW

Points / game88.5

Allowed / game72.3

DBL

Other2018-19

Meetings · Rotterdam v Leiden

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rotterdam winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Leiden winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rotterdam

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Amsterdam

67-52

+15

H03/11

DBL

BAL Weert

#10

89-71

+18

A08/11

DBL

LWD Basket

83-72

+11

H10/11

DBL

Den Bosch

64-76

-12

H18/11

DBL

Zwolle

77-89

-12

H22/11

DBL

Dordrecht

69-60

A25/11

DBL

Den Helder

67-76

-9

A08/12

DBL

Donar Groningen

77-79

-2

H15/12

DBL

Dordrecht

60-81

-21

H19/12

NBB Cup

Amsterdam

89-91 OT

-2

A21/12

DBL

15-12

22-13

14-11

16-16

18-14

13-22

31-24

27-11

27-19

16-11

19-20

21-22

20-23

18-17

9-18

17-18

22-22

16-23

24-20

15-24

20-17

12-15

21-20

16-8

15-20

18-18

13-20

21-18

16-21

20-21

18-18

23-19

17-17

14-27

20-18

9-19

22-25

16-12

24-23

14-16

148.9Avg total

74.2Scored

74.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	69.6	77.9	147.5	-8.3	27%
Season at home (7)	71.7	74.6	146.3	-2.9	29%
Season away (8)	67.8	80.9	148.6	-13.1	25%
Last 10 (10)	74.2	74.7	148.9	-0.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	72.4	77.4	149.8	-5.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	71.7	91.0	162.7	-19.4	15%
vs Similar (6)	76.5	71.8	148.3	+4.7	50%
vs Weaker (3)	85.3	80.3	165.7	+5.0	67%

This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Leiden

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Amsterdam

93-72

+21

H18/11

DBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

61-87

-26

A20/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Dordrecht

91-66

+25

H22/11

DBL

BAL Weert

#10

100-73

100

+27

H24/11

DBL

LWD Basket

95-81

+14

A08/12

DBL

Bakken Bears

71-111

111

-40

A12/12

FIBA Europe Cup

Den Helder

97-76

+21

H15/12

DBL

Haarlem

#11

81-54

+27

A16/12

NBB Cup

Saratov

72-97

-25

H19/12

FIBA Europe Cup

Den Bosch

72-67

H22/12

DBL

27-22

21-22

25-9

20-19

19-17

18-19

7-27

17-24

22-23

23-15

23-13

30-19

32-18

20-19

18-17

29-15

26-23

20-23

20-20

22-27

13-18

21-26

15-40

26-16

17-21

20-19

34-20

–

15-16

13-31

19-25

25-25

20-17

21-22

18-12

13-16

161.7Avg total

83.3Scored

78.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	88.5	72.3	160.8	+16.2	92%
Season at home (7)	89.0	72.1	161.1	+16.9	86%
Season away (5)	87.8	72.6	160.4	+15.2	100%
Last 10 (10)	83.3	78.4	161.7	+4.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	78.6	81.0	159.6	-2.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	70.9	85.9	156.8	-15.0	20%
vs Similar (7)	78.9	74.0	152.9	+4.9	86%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	87.6	68.2	155.8	+19.5	100%

This opponent (Rotterdam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

RotterdamLeiden

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	21.4	38.7	-4.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	22.6	41.3	-3.9	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.9	20.3	36.2	-4.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	16.6	22.6	39.1	-6.0	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.7	20.5	40.2	-0.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.7	17.3	35.0	+0.3	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.8	18.2	39.1	+2.6	62%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	17.8	37.9	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	18.7	40.4	+2.9	64%	-
Last 10 (9)	23.3	19.1	42.4	+4.2	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	18.2	40.6	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.0	17.5	35.5	+0.5	60%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.9	19.3	38.1	-0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	23.6	18.1	41.7	+5.5	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	21.5	40.2	-2.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	21.3	40.5	-2.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	21.7	39.9	-3.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	17.9	34.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	18.6	34.6	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.6	23.9	42.5	-5.3	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.8	14.2	34.0	+5.7	83%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.2	19.2	37.4	-1.0	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	19.9	39.1	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.3	18.4	35.7	-1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.4	21.0	41.4	-0.6	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	23.0	41.0	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	15.5	20.2	35.7	-4.7	30%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	20.5	18.4	38.9	+2.2	55%	-

RotterdamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Amsterdam

37-25

+12

H03/11

DBL

BAL Weert

#10

31-36

-5

A08/11

DBL

LWD Basket

43-30

+13

H10/11

DBL

Den Bosch

38-40

-2

H18/11

DBL

Zwolle

38-45

-7

H22/11

DBL

Dordrecht

32-32

A25/11

DBL

Den Helder

33-38

-5

A08/12

DBL

Donar Groningen

36-42

-6

H15/12

DBL

Dordrecht

31-44

-13

H19/12

NBB Cup

Amsterdam

38-37

A21/12

DBL

72.6Avg total

35.7Scored

36.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.0	42.9	78.9	-6.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.9	43.9	81.7	-6.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.2	41.9	76.1	-7.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.7	36.9	72.6	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	38.6	72.6	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	35.1	46.5	81.6	-11.3	15%	-
vs Similar (6)	39.5	34.7	74.2	+4.8	83%	-
vs Weaker (3)	36.7	35.3	72.0	+1.3	33%	-

This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Amsterdam

48-44

H18/11

DBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

37-36

A20/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Dordrecht

45-38

H22/11

DBL

BAL Weert

#10

62-37

+25

H24/11

DBL

LWD Basket

55-38

+17

A08/12

DBL

Bakken Bears

35-45

-10

A12/12

FIBA Europe Cup

Den Helder

43-37

H15/12

DBL

Saratov

28-47

-19

H19/12

FIBA Europe Cup

Den Bosch

41-39

H22/12

DBL

83.9Avg total

43.8Scored

40.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.1	37.4	76.5	+1.6	66%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.2	37.7	76.9	+1.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.9	37.1	76.1	+1.8	57%	-
Last 10 (9)	43.8	40.1	83.9	+3.7	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	41.2	81.6	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	33.5	37.7	71.2	-4.2	40%	-
vs Similar (7)	38.3	38.9	77.1	-0.6	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	44.2	36.5	80.6	+7.7	82%	-

This opponent (Rotterdam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	21.8	39.9	-3.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.1	19.5	36.6	-2.5	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	24.1	43.1	-5.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	19.2	38.5	+0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.8	39.0	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	17.4	23.1	40.5	-5.8	15%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.3	17.0	33.3	-0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	25.3	24.3	49.7	+1.0	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.8	18.9	38.7	+0.9	48%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	18.1	38.2	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	19.7	39.2	-0.2	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.2	19.4	38.7	-0.2	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.3	24.0	40.3	-7.7	10%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.1	16.6	36.7	+3.6	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	23.0	15.6	38.6	+7.4	82%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.3	38.9	-1.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	20.1	38.0	-2.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	20.5	39.9	-1.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	17.1	35.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	16.0	32.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.5	21.1	39.5	-2.6	30%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.5	17.7	36.2	+0.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.3	20.7	44.0	+2.7	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.7	19.0	38.7	+0.6	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	17.7	38.4	+3.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	20.5	39.0	-2.0	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.6	21.6	42.1	-1.0	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	24.2	45.6	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.4	22.7	42.1	-3.3	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.4	18.6	39.0	+1.9	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	20.5	16.1	36.5	+4.4	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	42.1	78.8	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.0	39.6	74.6	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.4	44.6	83.0	-6.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	36.3	73.5	+0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	35.8	71.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	35.9	44.1	80.0	-8.3	15%	-
vs Similar (6)	34.8	34.7	69.5	+0.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	48.7	45.0	93.7	+3.7	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.4	37.9	77.4	+1.5	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.8	35.8	76.6	+5.0	73%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.0	40.2	78.2	-2.2	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	39.8	41.0	80.8	-1.2	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	45.2	86.2	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	35.7	46.7	82.4	-11.0	20%	-
vs Similar (7)	40.6	35.1	75.7	+5.4	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	43.5	31.7	75.2	+11.7	91%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Rotterdam wins

Leiden wins

Date	Game	Score
20/10/18	Leiden v Rotterdam	88-64
19/04/18	Rotterdam v Leiden	92-94
15/03/18	Leiden v Rotterdam	102-74
27/01/18	Rotterdam v Leiden	77-76
18/11/17	Leiden v Rotterdam	92-74
01/04/17	Leiden v Rotterdam	86-72
09/02/17	Rotterdam v Leiden	74-80
19/11/16	Leiden v Rotterdam	76-58
08/10/16	Rotterdam v Leiden	54-74
19/03/16	Leiden v Rotterdam	99-69

Rotterdamlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/12/18	A	Amsterdam	89-91 OT
19/12/18	H	Dordrecht	60-81
15/12/18	H	Donar Groningen	77-79
08/12/18	A	Den Helder	67-76
25/11/18	A	Dordrecht	69-60
22/11/18	H	Zwolle	77-89
18/11/18	H	Den Bosch	64-76
10/11/18	H	LWD Basket	83-72
08/11/18	A	BAL Weert	89-71
03/11/18	H	Amsterdam	67-52

Leidenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/12/18	H	Den Bosch	72-67
19/12/18	H	Saratov	72-97
16/12/18	A	Haarlem	81-54
15/12/18	H	Den Helder	97-76
12/12/18	A	Bakken Bears	71-111
08/12/18	A	LWD Basket	95-81
24/11/18	H	BAL Weert	100-73
22/11/18	H	Dordrecht	91-66
20/11/18	A	s.Oliver Wurzburg	61-87
18/11/18	H	Amsterdam	93-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rotterdam

DBL 2018-19

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	27%
Home	WWLLL	29%
Away	LWWLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	27%	29%	25%
Points / game	69.6	71.7	67.8
Allowed / game	77.9	74.6	80.9
Point differential	-8.3	-2.9	-13.1
Avg total	147.5	146.3	148.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	29%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	7%	0%	12%

Leiden

DBL 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	92%
Home	WWWWW	86%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	7	5
Win %	92%	86%	100%
Points / game	88.5	89.0	87.8
Allowed / game	72.3	72.1	72.6
Point differential	+16.2	+16.9	+15.2
Avg total	160.8	161.1	160.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	67%	71%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zwolle	16	15	1	94%	86.4	66.6	+19.8
2	Leiden	12	11	1	92%	88.5	72.3	+16.2
3	Donar Groningen	14	11	3	79%	87.5	69.9	+17.6
4	Den Bosch	14	11	3	79%	82.6	66.2	+16.4
5	Dordrecht	14	8	6	57%	70.1	69.8	+0.4
6	Rotterdam	15	4	11	27%	69.6	77.9	-8.3
7	Den Helder	15	4	11	27%	73.0	83.9	-10.9
8	LWD Basket	15	4	11	27%	69.6	83.7	-14.1
9	Amsterdam	16	3	13	19%	72.1	86.8	-14.7
10	BAL Weert	15	2	13	13%	68.1	85.3	-17.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Rotterdam	30	21	10	19	80
Leiden	27	22	15	27	91

← all games of the day

Rotterdam vs Leiden Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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