PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Rouen vs Caen Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 19 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#18
Record3-6
FormWLLLW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game87.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.4/10
Below normal
4.4/10
Below normal
Position#12
Record4-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game87.9
FrancePro BRound 28· Kindarena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Rouen v Caen
19 Mar 2027
ROU v CAEN
upcoming
13 Mar 2026
ROU71
CAEN59
09 May 2025
ROU71
CAEN69
25 Jan 2019
ROU79
CAEN70
26 Jan 2018
ROU84
CAEN83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rouen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Caen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RouenFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRouen
Date
Competition
Challans
#21
W
98-77
98
77
+21
100avg 78
H15/05
Pro B
Vichy
#13
L
97-101 OT
97
101
-4
86avg 78
H25/09
Pro B
Orleans
#2
L
74-91
74
91
-17
61avg 78
A03/10
Pro B
Ada Blois
#7
W
85-78
85
78
+7
77avg 78
H09/10
Pro B
Nantes
#9
L
78-83
78
83
-5
70avg 78
A16/10
Pro B
La Rochelle
#17
W
76-75
76
75
+1
64avg 78
H20/10
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
L
86-89
86
89
-3
70avg 78
A23/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
L
90-105
90
105
-15
79avg 78
H30/10
Pro B
St. Chamond
#15
L
81-84
81
84
-3
no box
A06/11
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
W
102-77
102
77
+25
no box
H13/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
30-21
17-15
23-19
19-20
28-20
20-27
21-21
18-31
18-14
24-28
14-18
16-15
28-21
28-26
13-16
21-21
18-21
17-18
22-23
24-25
25-22
20-7
7-21
18-22
13-19
26-22
29-26
22-29
22-17
21-30
25-29
18-17
32-23
17-15
14-29
23-14
34-11
20-22
25-30
172.7Avg total
86.7Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.487.0172.4-1.633%
Season at home (5)90.087.2177.2+2.860%
Season away (4)79.886.8166.5-7.00%
Last 10 (10)86.786.0172.7+0.740%
Last 5 (5)87.086.0173.0+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)84.687.7172.2-3.144%
vs Similar ◀ (18)84.185.2169.2-1.144%
vs Weaker (3)88.074.7162.7+13.367%
This opponent (Caen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaenFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaen
Date
Competition
Antibes
#15
W
93-86
93
86
+7
89avg 74
A15/05
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
95-91 OT
95
91
+4
88avg 74
H25/09
Pro B
St. Chamond
#15
W
115-111 OT
115
111
+4
102avg 74
A02/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
W
90-77
90
77
+13
82avg 74
H09/10
Pro B
Vichy
#13
L
76-80
76
80
-4
63avg 74
A16/10
Pro B
Quimper
#4
L
72-81
72
81
-9
61avg 74
H20/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
68avg 74
H23/10
Pro B
Antibes
#3
L
77-102
77
102
-25
65avg 74
A30/10
Pro B
ASA
#19
L
85-87 OT
85
87
-2
no box
H06/11
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
A13/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
14-24
38-28
27-17
22-16
27-23
19-25
13-17
22-18
22-25
20-21
28-28
24-27
31-24
14-10
21-16
19-24
17-17
21-16
19-23
19-15
23-20
15-20
15-26
17-14
21-26
14-22
22-17
20-21
19-25
22-28
16-28
20-15
17-23
19-21
19-16
23-17
24-19
20-20
19-27
174.0Avg total
86.3Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.687.9173.4-2.344%
Season at home (5)83.283.0166.2+0.240%
Season away (4)88.594.0182.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)86.387.7174.0-1.450%
Last 5 (5)78.886.4165.2-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)74.983.5158.4-8.628%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.486.0171.4-0.656%
vs Weaker (3)87.086.3173.3+0.767%
This opponent (Rouen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -1.6-1.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -1.6-1.6
RouenCaen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RouenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Challans
#21
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H15/05
Pro B
Vichy
#13
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H25/09
Pro B
Orleans
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A03/10
Pro B
Ada Blois
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H09/10
Pro B
Nantes
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A16/10
Pro B
La Rochelle
#17
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H20/10
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A23/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H30/10
Pro B
St. Chamond
#15
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A06/11
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
W
57-25
57
25
+32
H13/11
Pro B
86.0Avg total
45.5Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.041.884.8+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.643.086.6+0.650%-
Last 30 away (14)42.440.482.8+1.950%-
Last 10 (10)45.540.586.0+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)46.239.886.0+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.942.885.7+0.144%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)42.942.185.0+0.944%-
vs Weaker (3)44.037.381.3+6.7100%-
This opponent (Caen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antibes
#15
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A15/05
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H25/09
Pro B
St. Chamond
#15
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A02/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H09/10
Pro B
Vichy
#13
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A16/10
Pro B
Quimper
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H20/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H23/10
Pro B
Antibes
#3
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A30/10
Pro B
ASA
#19
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H06/11
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A13/11
Pro B
82.5Avg total
41.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.779.1-0.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.939.280.1+1.862%-
Last 30 away (14)37.640.377.9-2.757%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.082.5+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.079.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)37.538.676.1-1.156%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.440.682.0+0.967%-
vs Weaker (3)44.344.088.3+0.367%-
This opponent (Rouen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rouentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rouen: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.321.2
55.4%
53.9%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.0
30.1%
33.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws26.819.9
74.3%
74.0%19.9
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Caentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caen: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.3
51.9%
53.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.0
33.0%
33.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.316.2
72.6%
74.0%16.2
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rouen
WLLLWLWLLW
Caen
WLLLLLWWWW
#18
League position
#12
+1.5
Net rating
-4.3
95.1
Offensive rating
92.4
93.5
Defensive rating
96.7
51.2%
Effective FG%
50.9%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
14.1%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.1%
3-point %
33.0%
66.4%
Assist %
57.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence95.1 · 92.4Defence93.5 · 96.7Shooting51.2% · 50.9%3-point %30.1% · 33.0%Ball care14.1% · 16.4%Free throws0.41 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Rouen   ■ Caen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Rouen wins
2
Caen wins
DateGameScore
13/03/26Rouen v Caen71-59
26/09/25Caen v Rouen81-77
09/05/25Rouen v Caen71-69
08/11/24Caen v Rouen73-90
12/05/19Caen v Rouen78-89
25/01/19Rouen v Caen79-70
08/05/18Caen v Rouen99-93
26/01/18Rouen v Caen84-83
Rouenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HPoitiers102-77
06/11/26ASt. Chamond81-84
30/10/26HHyeres-Toulon90-105
23/10/26AAix Maurienne86-89
20/10/26HLa Rochelle76-75
16/10/26ANantes78-83
09/10/26HAda Blois85-78
03/10/26AOrleans74-91
25/09/26HVichy97-101 OT
15/05/26HChallans98-77
Caenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ADenain-Voltaire86-83
06/11/26HASA85-87 OT
30/10/26AAntibes77-102
23/10/26HPoitiers74-79
20/10/26HQuimper72-81
16/10/26AVichy76-80
09/10/26HHyeres-Toulon90-77
02/10/26ASt. Chamond115-111 OT
25/09/26HAix Maurienne95-91 OT
15/05/26AAntibes93-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rouen
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW33%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%60%0%
Points / game85.490.079.8
Allowed / game87.087.286.8
Point differential-1.6+2.8-7.0
Avg total172.4177.2166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %11%20%0%
Caen
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW44%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game85.683.288.5
Allowed / game87.983.094.0
Point differential-2.3+0.2-5.5
Avg total173.4166.2182.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %33%40%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Denain-Voltaire96367%86.378.7+7.7
2 Orleans96367%88.681.3+7.2
3 Antibes96367%86.683.0+3.6
4 Quimper96367%81.979.7+2.2
5 Chalons-Reims96367%79.280.7-1.4
6 Poitiers106460%87.084.3+2.7
7 Ada Blois95456%93.385.9+7.4
8 Evreux95456%84.383.7+0.7
9 Nantes95456%82.383.0-0.7
10 Hyeres-Toulon95456%87.489.3-1.9
11 Levallois105550%83.184.5-1.4
12 Caen94544%85.687.9-2.3
13 Vichy94544%84.687.4-2.9
14 Aix Maurienne94544%84.388.2-3.9
15 St. Chamond94544%82.386.6-4.2
16 Le Havre93633%89.488.9+0.6
17 La Rochelle93633%85.786.4-0.8
18 Rouen93633%85.487.0-1.6
19 ASA93633%85.288.3-3.1
20 Fos-sur-Mer92722%72.080.0-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.