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Russia U20 vs Italy U20 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jul 2013
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 68-77
16-18 18-22 15-15 19-22
Position#10
Record5-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game72.5
vs
Position#2
Record6-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game73.9
EuropeEuroBasket U20EuroBasket U20 - Semi-finals
Other2013
Meetings · Russia U20 v Italy U20
20 Jul 2013
RUSS68
ITAL77
20 Jul 2012
RUSS68
ITAL69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Russia U20 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Italy U20 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Russia U20Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Italy U20
#10
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H20/07
EuroBasket U20
Ukraine U20
#14
W
83-63
83
63
+20
H21/07
EuroBasket U20
Spain U20
#7
L
54-76
54
76
-22
A09/07
EuroBasket U20
Latvia U20
#3
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
H10/07
EuroBasket U20
Israel U20
#13
W
78-60
78
60
+18
A11/07
EuroBasket U20
Bulgaria U20
#11
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H13/07
EuroBasket U20
France U20
#5
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H15/07
EuroBasket U20
Slovenia U20
#9
W
88-69
88
69
+19
A16/07
EuroBasket U20
Italy U20
#2
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A17/07
EuroBasket U20
Turkey U20
#8
W
82-70
82
70
+12
A19/07
EuroBasket U20
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-13
16-12
7-20
21-24
19-14
22-20
20-13
22-16
15-27
15-10
11-18
13-21
16-19
23-21
20-18
16-17
20-13
21-11
16-20
21-16
20-15
15-17
22-16
18-19
16-13
15-19
17-19
17-10
19-19
25-18
23-14
21-18
14-27
21-18
19-26
16-17
26-7
24-24
14-15
18-24
146.0Avg total
74.8Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.672.5147.1+2.162%
Season at home (3)75.072.3147.3+2.767%
Season away (5)74.472.6147.0+1.860%
Last 10 (10)74.871.2146.0+3.660%
Last 5 (5)76.071.0147.0+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)64.876.6141.5-11.823%
vs Similar (10)73.068.8141.8+4.270%
vs Weaker (7)77.062.1139.1+14.9100%
This opponent (Italy U20) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Italy U20Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Russia U20
#9
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A20/07
EuroBasket U20
Turkey U20
#5
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H21/07
EuroBasket U20
France U20
#5
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H09/07
EuroBasket U20
Czech Republic U20
#19
W
89-75
89
75
+14
A10/07
EuroBasket U20
Slovenia U20
#9
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H12/07
EuroBasket U20
Estonia U20
#16
W
90-78
90
78
+12
A13/07
EuroBasket U20
Spain U20
#7
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H15/07
EuroBasket U20
Latvia U20
#3
L
81-88
81
88
-7
A16/07
EuroBasket U20
Russia U20
#10
W
88-70
88
70
+18
H17/07
EuroBasket U20
Lithuania U20
#6
W
75-72 OT
75
72
+3
H19/07
EuroBasket U20
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
12-16
20-7
24-21
19-19
23-14
12-16
7-16
17-26
19-16
18-12
22-16
23-13
27-19
23-22
16-21
14-11
22-18
13-21
12-15
22-14
31-26
11-19
26-19
21-22
14-15
16-22
25-14
16-23
16-19
22-28
27-18
27-14
18-21
26-19
17-16
18-23
9-10
19-11
21-23
149.0Avg total
76.6Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.573.9153.4+5.675%
Season at home (5)75.270.0145.2+5.280%
Season away (3)86.780.3167.0+6.367%
Last 10 (10)76.672.4149.0+4.270%
Last 5 (5)82.076.2158.2+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.478.1151.6-4.736%
vs Similar (7)76.471.3147.7+5.186%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)76.267.7143.9+8.678%
This opponent (Russia U20) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
Russia U20Italy U20
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Russia U20Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Italy U20
#10
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H20/07
EuroBasket U20
Ukraine U20
#14
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H21/07
EuroBasket U20
Spain U20
#7
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A09/07
EuroBasket U20
Latvia U20
#3
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H10/07
EuroBasket U20
Israel U20
#13
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A11/07
EuroBasket U20
Bulgaria U20
#11
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H13/07
EuroBasket U20
France U20
#5
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H15/07
EuroBasket U20
Slovenia U20
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A16/07
EuroBasket U20
Italy U20
#2
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A17/07
EuroBasket U20
Turkey U20
#8
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A19/07
EuroBasket U20
72.3Avg total
38.6Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.435.370.7+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.934.970.7+1.047%-
Last 30 away (15)34.935.770.6-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)38.633.772.3+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)39.035.474.4+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)31.837.269.0-5.515%-
vs Similar (10)37.734.772.4+3.060%-
vs Weaker (7)38.932.471.3+6.471%-
This opponent (Italy U20) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Italy U20Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Russia U20
#9
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A20/07
EuroBasket U20
Turkey U20
#5
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H21/07
EuroBasket U20
France U20
#5
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H09/07
EuroBasket U20
Czech Republic U20
#19
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A10/07
EuroBasket U20
Slovenia U20
#9
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H12/07
EuroBasket U20
Estonia U20
#16
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A13/07
EuroBasket U20
Spain U20
#7
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H15/07
EuroBasket U20
Latvia U20
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A16/07
EuroBasket U20
Russia U20
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H17/07
EuroBasket U20
Lithuania U20
#6
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H19/07
EuroBasket U20
74.4Avg total
38.1Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.636.873.4-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.238.774.9-2.540%-
Last 30 away (15)36.934.971.9+2.053%-
Last 10 (10)38.136.374.4+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.437.475.8+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)34.439.173.4-4.729%-
vs Similar (7)35.637.473.0-1.943%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.832.873.6+8.078%-
This opponent (Russia U20) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Russia U20 wins
2
Italy U20 wins
DateGameScore
17/07/13Italy U20 v Russia U2088-70
20/07/12Russia U20 v Italy U2068-69
08/07/10Italy U20 v Russia U2068-73
Russia U20last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/07/13ATurkey U2082-70
17/07/13AItaly U2070-88
16/07/13ASlovenia U2088-69
15/07/13HFrance U2065-61
13/07/13HBulgaria U2075-67
11/07/13AIsrael U2078-60
10/07/13HLatvia U2085-89 OT
09/07/13ASpain U2054-76
21/07/12HUkraine U2083-63
20/07/12HItaly U2068-69
Italy U20last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/07/13HLithuania U2075-72 OT
17/07/13HRussia U2088-70
16/07/13ALatvia U2081-88
15/07/13HSpain U2076-73
13/07/13AEstonia U2090-78
12/07/13HSlovenia U2061-65
10/07/13ACzech Republic U2089-75
09/07/13HFrance U2076-70
21/07/12HTurkey U2061-65
20/07/12ARussia U2069-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Russia U20
EuroBasket U20 2013
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %62%67%60%
Points / game74.675.074.4
Allowed / game72.572.372.6
Point differential+2.1+2.7+1.8
Avg total147.1147.3147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%0%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %12%33%0%
Italy U20
EuroBasket U20 2013
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %75%80%67%
Points / game79.575.286.7
Allowed / game73.970.080.3
Point differential+5.6+5.2+6.3
Avg total153.4145.2167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%20%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %12%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Latvia U2098189%79.472.0+7.4
2 Greece U2097278%71.165.0+6.1
3 Italy U2086275%79.573.9+5.6
4 Turkey U2096367%71.070.0+1.0
5 Serbia U2085362%74.565.9+8.6
6 France U2085362%67.463.2+4.1
7 Russia U2085362%74.672.5+2.1
8 Slovenia U2085362%72.672.4+0.2
9 Lithuania U2095456%71.663.3+8.2
10 Spain U2095456%71.664.6+7.0
11 Bulgaria U2084450%69.566.4+3.1
12 Montenegro U2094544%69.767.2+2.4
13 Ukraine U2083538%72.874.6-1.9
14 Germany U2083538%66.468.4-2.0
15 Croatia U2083538%71.275.1-3.9
16 Israel U2083538%67.573.0-5.5
17 Sweden U2083538%69.275.2-6.0
18 Estonia U2082625%66.973.0-6.1
19 Czech Republic U2081712%73.280.8-7.5
20 Georgia U208080%55.282.5-27.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Russia U201618151968
Italy U201822152277
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