Rutgers hosts NJIT in the NCAA on 10 November 2026, and the Pythia model names Rutgers the clear favourite, rating them 97% to win largely because of their undefeated 1-0 record, 81.0 points scored per game and only 54.0 points allowed, placing them 50th in the league, while NJIT sits 308th with a 1-2 record, 53.7 points scored and 71.0 points allowed. Rutgers' lone game was a 81-54 home victory, and they have won 3 of their last 5 games, including a recent 81-54 win over New Haven, whereas NJIT has won only 2 of 5, with a 54-52 home win over St. Peters but losses to Iona and Dayton away. In their two previous meetings Rutgers has won both, the last being a 75-61 win in 2021. Pythia projects a 85-61 score, with Rutgers 85 points and NJIT 61, for a total of 145.6; the home line is -24.0 with a 48% chance of covering, and the total line is 145.5 with a 50% chance of the over, while the overtime probability is 1%. Rutgers' dominant season numbers and head-to-head advantage make the 85-61 outcome the most likely result.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Rutgers winWon
97.5%fair 1.03
Best odds1.02
Implied95.0%
Edge+2.4pp
NJIT winLost
2.5%fair 39.60
Best odds34.00
Implied5.0%
Edge-2.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 07:05 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Rutgers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 140.5Actual: Over 140.5
Over 140.5
62.4%
@ 1.61+3.1pp
Under 140.5
37.6%
@ 2.35-3.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.61
Bet365
1.60
Betano
1.52
Under
Betano
2.35
Bet365
2.20
Over/Under 145.5 · main lineActual: Over 145.5
Over 145.5
50.2%
@ 2.15+2.5pp
Under 145.5
49.8%
@ 1.85-2.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.15
Marathon Be
2.03
WilliamHill
2.00
Betano
1.98
BetVictor
1.85
Under
SBO
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
WilliamHill
1.73
Over/Under 150.5Actual: Over 150.5
Over 150.5
37.9%
@ 3.15+5.5pp
Under 150.5
62.1%
@ 1.42-5.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.15
Betano
2.60
Under
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.32
📊 3. Team Totals
Rutgers total 81Actual: Rutgers over 81
Over 81
64.5%
Under 81
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rutgers total 85 · main lineActual: Rutgers over 85
Over 85
48.0%
@ 1.87-1.7pp
Under 85
52.0%
@ 1.85+1.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Rutgers total 89Actual: Rutgers over 89
Over 89
31.9%
Under 89
68.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NJIT total 56Actual: NJIT over 56
Over 56
70.0%
Under 56
30.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NJIT total 60 · main lineActual: NJIT over 60
Over 60
54.2%
@ 1.85+4.1pp
Under 60
45.8%
@ 1.86-4.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Under
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
NJIT total 64Push
Over 64
37.7%
Under 64
62.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Rutgers -28.5Actual: Rutgers -28.5
RUTG -28.5
no forecast
@ 2.55
NJIT +28.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
Best 5 market prices
RUTG
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.37
NJIT
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.47
Spread Rutgers -25.5 · main lineActual: Rutgers -25.5
RUTG -25.5
no forecast
@ 2.05
NJIT +25.5
no forecast
@ 1.89
Best 5 market prices
RUTG
Bet365
2.05
Pinnacle
1.96
Betano
1.93
Marathon Be
1.91
BetVictor
1.85
NJIT
Pinnacle
1.89
Betano
1.83
Marathon Be
1.82
BetVictor
1.78
Bet365
1.71
Spread Rutgers -22.5Actual: Rutgers -22.5
RUTG -22.5
53.4%
@ 1.68-2.1pp
NJIT +22.5
46.6%
@ 2.10+2.1pp
Best 5 market prices
RUTG
Bet365
1.68
Betano
1.65
NJIT
Betano
2.10
Bet365
2.05
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
RutgersNJIT
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Rutgers (regulation)
97.0%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+7.8pp
Won
NJIT over 55.5
71.1%
1.38
1xBet
1.44
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.33
-
-
+4.6pp
Won
Rutgers over 70.5
92.2%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+4.2pp
Won
Rutgers over 74.5
84.5%
1.15
Bet365
1.16
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
+4.1pp
Won
Rutgers over 69.5
93.5%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+3.9pp
Won
Rutgers over 72.5
88.8%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+3.8pp
Won
Over 137
70.8%
1.38
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
-
+3.8pp
Won
Rutgers over 73.5
86.8%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
+3.7pp
Won
Rutgers over 77.5
76.2%
1.27
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.26
-
-
-
+3.4pp
Won
Rutgers under 99.5
93.4%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+3.2pp
Lost
Rutgers over 71.5
90.6%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+3.1pp
Won
NJIT over 53.5
77.5%
1.25
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
+3.1pp
Won
Over 135
75.0%
1.29
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
-
+3.1pp
Won
NJIT over 54.5
74.4%
1.30
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.29
-
-
+3.0pp
Won
Over 136
72.9%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+2.9pp
Won
Rutgers over 75.5
82.0%
1.17
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.17
-
-
-
+2.9pp
Won
Over 135.5
73.5%
1.31
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
-
+2.5pp
Won
Rutgers win
97.5%
1.02
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+2.4pp
Won
Over 136.5
71.4%
1.35
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
-
+2.4pp
Won
Rutgers under 97.5
90.4%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+2.1pp
Lost
Rutgers -4.5
94.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.1pp
Won
Over 134.5
75.5%
1.27
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
-
+2.1pp
Won
Over 133.5
77.4%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+2.1pp
Won
Rutgers under 94.5
84.3%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
+2.0pp
Lost
Over 123.5
91.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+1.9pp
Won
Rutgers over 78.5
73.0%
1.30
1xBet
1.30
-
-
-
-
+1.9pp
Won
Rutgers under 95.5
86.6%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+1.1pp
Lost
Over 128.5
85.6%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+0.6pp
Won
Rutgers -17.5
70.2%
1.33
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
+0.5pp
Won
Rutgers -17
72.3%
1.29
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
-
+0.4pp
Won
Rutgers -16.5
73.1%
1.27
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
-
+0.3pp
Won
Over 124.5
90.6%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+0.3pp
Won
Under 169.5
93.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.3pp
Won
Rutgers -16
75.2%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
-0.1pp
Won
Rutgers under 93.5
81.8%
1.13
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-0.1pp
Lost
Rutgers under 91.5
76.0%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
-0.2pp
Lost
Rutgers -9.5
88.8%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-0.2pp
Won
Rutgers -15.5
75.9%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
-0.2pp
Won
NJIT under 75.5
92.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.3pp
Won
Rutgers under 92.5
79.0%
1.17
1xBet
1.17
-
-
-
-
-0.4pp
Lost
Rutgers -14.5
78.6%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
-1.0pp
Won
Rutgers under 90.5
72.7%
1.25
1xBet
1.25
-
-
-
-
-1.0pp
Lost
NJIT under 74.5
91.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.2pp
Won
Over 129.5
84.2%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-1.4pp
Won
NJIT under 73.5
89.3%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-1.4pp
Won
Under 168.5
92.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.4pp
Won
Under 164.5
88.0%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-2.2pp
Lost
NJIT under 72.5
87.4%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-2.8pp
Won
NJIT under 71.5
85.3%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-3.4pp
Won
Under 163.5
86.7%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-3.7pp
Lost
NJIT under 66.5
71.0%
1.23
1xBet
1.25
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-4.8pp
Won
NJIT under 69.5
80.3%
1.10
1xBet
1.12
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-4.8pp
Won
Under 159.5
80.7%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-4.8pp
Lost
NJIT under 70.5
82.9%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-5.1pp
Won
Under 154.5
71.1%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
-5.1pp
Lost
NJIT under 68.5
77.4%
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-6.1pp
Won
NJIT under 67.5
74.3%
1.15
Bet365
1.16
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
-6.2pp
Won
Under 158.5
78.9%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
-7.7pp
Lost
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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