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Minnesota vs Rutgers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-61
36-23 44-38
Position#235
Record12-14
FormLWLLW
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game68.0
Minnesota 🏆
USA
vs
Rutgers
USA
Position#267
Record11-15
FormLLLWW
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game75.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Minnesota v Rutgers
11 Mar 2026
MINN67
RUTG72
21 Feb 2026
MINN80
RUTG61
18 Feb 2024
MINN81
RUTG70
02 Mar 2023
MINN75
RUTG74
22 Jan 2022
MINN68
RUTG65
06 Mar 2021
MINN70
RUTG77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rutgers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinnesotaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#57
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H14/01
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A17/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
74-82 OT
74
82
-8
A20/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
57-76
57
76
-19
H24/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A29/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A01/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H05/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
62-67
62
67
-5
H08/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A15/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
61-44
61
44
+17
A18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-28
40-50
34-34
33-43
28-31
39-36
36-30
21-46
35-17
28-50
31-41
44-36
32-21
44-52
33-32
29-35
26-39
31-30
22-17
39-27
137.7Avg total
66.7Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)70.668.0138.5+2.646%
Season at home (17)72.865.0137.8+7.859%
Season away (9)66.473.6140.0-7.122%
Last 10 (10)66.771.0137.7-4.320%
Last 5 (5)66.266.0132.2+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)68.174.3142.4-6.231%
vs Similar (9)68.971.0139.9-2.133%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)74.456.0130.4+18.475%
This opponent (Rutgers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RutgersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#251
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
H11/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
87-96
87
96
-9
A17/01
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A21/01
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
59-82
59
82
-23
H23/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
79-88 OT
79
88
-9
H27/01
NCAA
USC
#153
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A01/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
66-98
66
98
-32
A04/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
68-80
68
80
-12
H07/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
68-57
68
57
+11
H15/02
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
85-72
85
72
+13
A18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-35
34-32
29-51
58-45
24-31
38-37
32-47
27-35
37-28
36-45
30-40
45-38
40-52
26-46
27-41
41-39
27-27
41-30
39-20
46-52
152.0Avg total
72.6Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)70.675.5146.1-4.942%
Season at home (16)72.770.9143.6+1.862%
Season away (10)67.282.8150.0-15.610%
Last 10 (10)72.679.4152.0-6.830%
Last 5 (5)72.477.0149.4-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)69.181.5150.6-12.420%
vs Similar (8)78.072.2150.2+5.875%
vs Weaker (2)73.051.5124.5+21.5100%
This opponent (Minnesota) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: -5.4-5.42nd half2nd half: -5.7-5.72nd half: -0.7-0.7
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: -5.4-5.42nd half2nd half: -5.7-5.72nd half: -0.7-0.7
MinnesotaRutgers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MinnesotaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#57
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H14/01
NCAA
Illinois
#35
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A17/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A20/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H24/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
35-17
35
17
+18
A29/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A01/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H05/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H08/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A15/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
22-17
22
17
+5
A18/02
NCAA
60.2Avg total
31.2Scored
29.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.829.762.5+3.050%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.128.862.9+5.263%-
Last 30 away (11)30.531.361.8-0.727%-
Last 10 (10)31.229.060.2+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)28.830.058.8-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)31.830.462.2+1.546%-
vs Similar (9)30.432.462.9-2.022%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)36.925.662.5+11.288%-
This opponent (Rutgers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RutgersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#251
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H11/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
29-51
29
51
-22
A17/01
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A21/01
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H23/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H27/01
NCAA
USC
#153
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A01/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A04/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H07/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H15/02
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
39-20
39
20
+19
A18/02
NCAA
69.0Avg total
31.8Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.437.770.1-5.330%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.134.467.5-1.339%-
Last 30 away (12)31.342.874.1-11.417%-
Last 10 (10)31.837.269.0-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)32.636.068.6-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)31.641.172.8-9.515%-
vs Similar (8)34.132.866.9+1.450%-
vs Weaker (2)33.024.057.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Minnesota) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Minnesota wins
5
Rutgers wins
DateGameScore
09/03/25Rutgers v Minnesota75-67 OT
18/02/24Minnesota v Rutgers81-70
03/03/23Minnesota v Rutgers75-74
02/02/23Rutgers v Minnesota90-55
22/01/22Minnesota v Rutgers68-65
06/03/21Minnesota v Rutgers70-77 OT
05/02/21Rutgers v Minnesota76-72
19/01/20Rutgers v Minnesota64-56
Minnesotalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26AOregon61-44
15/02/26AWashington57-69
08/02/26HMaryland62-67
05/02/26HMichigan State76-73
01/02/26APenn State75-77
29/01/26AWisconsin63-67
24/01/26HNebraska57-76
20/01/26AOhio State74-82 OT
17/01/26AIllinois67-77
14/01/26HWisconsin75-78
Rutgerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26APenn State85-72
15/02/26HMaryland68-57
07/02/26HNebraska68-80
04/02/26AUCLA66-98
01/02/26AUSC75-78
27/01/26HMichigan State79-88 OT
23/01/26HIndiana59-82
21/01/26AIowa62-68
17/01/26AWisconsin87-96
11/01/26HNorthwestern77-75 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW46%
HomeLLLWL59%
AwayLLLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games26179
Win %46%59%22%
Points / game70.672.866.4
Allowed / game68.065.073.6
Point differential+2.6+7.8-7.1
Avg total138.5137.8140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%35%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %12%12%11%
Rutgers
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW42%
HomeWLLLW62%
AwayLLLLW10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261610
Win %42%62%10%
Points / game70.672.767.2
Allowed / game75.570.982.8
Point differential-4.9+1.8-15.6
Avg total146.1143.6150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%38%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %12%19%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan2625196%90.668.8+21.8
2 Nebraska2622485%78.365.6+12.7
3 Illinois2722581%84.868.1+16.7
4 Purdue2722581%82.969.3+13.7
5 Michigan State2621581%78.966.4+12.5
6 Iowa2619773%76.264.4+11.8
7 Wisconsin2618869%83.176.0+7.1
8 USC2618869%80.776.8+3.8
9 Ohio State2617965%81.273.4+7.8
10 UCLA2617965%77.270.9+6.3
11 Indiana27171063%79.772.1+7.6
12 Washington26131350%76.872.4+4.4
13 Minnesota26121446%70.668.0+2.6
14 Rutgers26111542%70.675.5-4.9
15 Northwestern27111641%74.173.0+1.1
16 Penn State27111641%75.379.2-3.9
17 Maryland26101638%71.578.2-6.7
18 Oregon2691735%71.274.3-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Minnesota364480
Rutgers233861
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