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Penn State vs Rutgers Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 72-85
20-39 52-46
Position#298
Record11-15
FormWLLWL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Rutgers 🏆
USA
Position#267
Record10-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game75.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Penn State v Rutgers
18 Feb 2026
PENN72
RUTG85
20 Jan 2025
PENN80
RUTG72
26 Feb 2023
PENN56
RUTG59
11 Jan 2022
PENN66
RUTG49
21 Jan 2021
PENN75
RUTG67
26 Feb 2020
PENN65
RUTG64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rutgers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#73
L
60-71
60
71
-11
H15/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
73-96
73
96
-23
A18/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
71-98
71
98
-27
H23/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A27/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
73-94
73
94
-21
A30/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H01/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
69-110
69
110
-41
A05/02
NCAA
USC
#153
L
75-77
75
77
-2
H08/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A12/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
23-29
37-42
26-56
47-40
22-50
49-48
32-50
46-34
40-45
33-49
41-31
36-44
24-56
45-54
40-36
35-41
35-32
28-28
32-38
40-45
155.9Avg total
71.1Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)75.479.0154.4-3.642%
Season at home (17)75.875.2151.0+0.653%
Season away (9)74.786.2160.9-11.622%
Last 10 (10)71.184.8155.9-13.720%
Last 5 (5)71.281.0152.2-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)74.278.6152.8-4.339%
vs Similar ◀ (6)80.378.8159.2+1.550%
vs Weaker (1)69.060.0129.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Rutgers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RutgersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#35
L
55-81
55
81
-26
A09/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
H11/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
87-96
87
96
-9
A17/01
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A21/01
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
59-82
59
82
-23
H23/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
79-88 OT
79
88
-9
H27/01
NCAA
USC
#153
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A01/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
66-98
66
98
-32
A04/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
68-80
68
80
-12
H07/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
68-57
68
57
+11
H15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
16-43
39-38
33-35
34-32
29-51
58-45
24-31
38-37
32-47
27-35
37-28
36-45
30-40
45-38
40-52
26-46
27-41
41-39
27-27
41-30
149.9Avg total
69.6Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)70.075.6145.6-5.640%
Season at home (16)72.770.9143.6+1.862%
Season away (9)65.284.0149.2-18.80%
Last 10 (10)69.680.3149.9-10.720%
Last 5 (5)71.280.2151.4-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)69.181.5150.6-12.420%
vs Similar ◀ (8)79.273.9153.1+5.475%
vs Weaker (2)73.051.5124.5+21.5100%
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: -10.8-10.81st half: -10.0-10.02nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: +0.0+0.0
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: -10.8-10.81st half: -10.0-10.02nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: +0.0+0.0
Penn StateRutgers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#73
L
23-29
23
29
-6
H15/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
26-56
26
56
-30
A18/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
22-50
22
50
-28
H23/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A27/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A30/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H01/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
24-56
24
56
-32
A05/02
NCAA
USC
#153
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H08/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A12/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A14/02
NCAA
73.8Avg total
31.5Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.837.772.5-2.947%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.634.870.4+0.856%-
Last 30 away (12)33.542.075.5-8.533%-
Last 10 (10)31.542.373.8-10.830%-
Last 5 (5)34.438.673.0-4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)35.037.972.9-2.943%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)35.038.873.8-3.850%-
vs Weaker (1)28.026.054.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Rutgers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RutgersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#35
L
16-43
16
43
-27
A09/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H11/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
29-51
29
51
-22
A17/01
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A21/01
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H23/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H27/01
NCAA
USC
#153
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A01/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A04/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H07/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H15/02
NCAA
69.0Avg total
29.5Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.638.470.9-5.830%-
Last 30 at home (19)33.734.668.3-0.942%-
Last 30 away (11)30.644.875.5-14.29%-
Last 10 (10)29.539.569.0-10.010%-
Last 5 (5)32.237.669.8-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)31.641.172.8-9.515%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)34.835.169.9-0.450%-
vs Weaker (2)33.024.057.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Penn State wins
5
Rutgers wins
DateGameScore
20/01/25Penn State v Rutgers80-72
11/12/24Rutgers v Penn State80-76
01/02/24Rutgers v Penn State46-61
26/02/23Penn State v Rutgers56-59
24/01/23Rutgers v Penn State65-45
06/03/22Rutgers v Penn State59-58
11/01/22Penn State v Rutgers66-49
22/01/21Penn State v Rutgers75-67
27/02/20Penn State v Rutgers65-64
08/01/20Rutgers v Penn State72-61
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26AOregon72-83
12/02/26AWashington63-60
08/02/26HUSC75-77
05/02/26AMichigan69-110
01/02/26HMinnesota77-75
30/01/26ANorthwestern73-94
27/01/26AOhio State78-84
23/01/26HWisconsin71-98
18/01/26AMaryland73-96
15/01/26HUCLA60-71
Rutgerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26HMaryland68-57
07/02/26HNebraska68-80
04/02/26AUCLA66-98
01/02/26AUSC75-78
27/01/26HMichigan State79-88 OT
23/01/26HIndiana59-82
21/01/26AIowa62-68
17/01/26AWisconsin87-96
11/01/26HNorthwestern77-75 OT
09/01/26AIllinois55-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL42%
HomeLLLWL53%
AwayLLLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games26179
Win %42%53%22%
Points / game75.475.874.7
Allowed / game79.075.286.2
Point differential-3.6+0.6-11.6
Avg total154.4151.0160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%24%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)40% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rutgers
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW40%
HomeWLLLW62%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25169
Win %40%62%0%
Points / game70.072.765.2
Allowed / game75.670.984.0
Point differential-5.6+1.8-18.8
Avg total145.6143.6149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %12%19%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan2625196%90.668.8+21.8
2 Nebraska2622485%78.365.6+12.7
3 Illinois2621581%84.268.2+16.0
4 Purdue2621581%82.569.5+13.1
5 Michigan State2621581%78.966.4+12.5
6 Iowa2619773%76.264.4+11.8
7 USC2518772%81.375.8+5.4
8 Wisconsin2618869%83.176.0+7.1
9 Indiana2617965%80.371.3+9.0
10 Ohio State2617965%81.273.4+7.8
11 UCLA2617965%77.270.9+6.3
12 Washington26131350%76.872.4+4.4
13 Minnesota26121446%70.668.0+2.6
14 Penn State26111542%75.479.0-3.6
15 Rutgers25101540%70.075.6-5.6
16 Maryland25101540%71.478.2-6.8
17 Northwestern26101638%74.073.0+1.0
18 Oregon2691735%71.274.3-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Penn State205272
Rutgers394685
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