Ruvo Di Puglia vs Mestre Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Oct 2025

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 71-79

14-11 15-23 22-24 20-21

Position#16

Record0-3

FormLLL

Points / game67.3

Allowed / game88.7

Ruvo Di Puglia

Mestre 🏆

Position#15

Record2-1

FormLWW

Points / game80.0

Allowed / game79.0

Serie A2Round 4· Palaflorio

Other2025-26

Meetings · Ruvo Di Puglia v Mestre

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ruvo Di Puglia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Mestre winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ruvo Di Puglia Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPuglia

Date

Competition

Brindisi

58-94

-36

44avg 53

H21/09

Serie A2

Forli

#17

73-86

-13

56avg 53

A28/09

Serie A2

Pesaro

71-86

-15

60avg 53

A05/10

Serie A2

15-19

6-22

24-23

13-30

16-26

19-21

21-21

17-18

8-23

19-24

20-20

24-19

156.0Avg total

67.3Scored

88.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	67.3	88.7	156.0	-21.3	0%
Season at home (1)	58.0	94.0	152.0	-36.0	0%
Season away (2)	72.0	86.0	158.0	-14.0	0%
Last 10 (3)	67.3	88.7	156.0	-21.3	0%
Last 5 (3)	67.3	88.7	156.0	-21.3	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	64.5	90.0	154.5	-25.5	0%
vs Similar (1)	73.0	86.0	159.0	-13.0	0%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Mestre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Mestre

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMestre

Date

Competition

Scafati

61-76

-15

6avg 56

A21/09

Serie A2

Roseto

#20

101-91

101

+10

91avg 56

H27/09

Serie A2

Cento

#18

78-70

70avg 56

H03/10

Serie A2

17-26

18-11

15-13

11-26

32-27

22-25

21-13

26-26

14-22

24-19

25-19

15-10

159.0Avg total

80.0Scored

79.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	80.0	79.0	159.0	+1.0	67%
Season at home (2)	89.5	80.5	170.0	+9.0	100%
Season away (1)	61.0	76.0	137.0	-15.0	0%
Last 10 (3)	80.0	79.0	159.0	+1.0	67%
Last 5 (3)	80.0	79.0	159.0	+1.0	67%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	61.0	76.0	137.0	-15.0	0%
vs Similar (2)	89.5	80.5	170.0	+9.0	100%
vs Weaker ◀	no games

This opponent (Ruvo Di Puglia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Ruvo Di PugliaMestre

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	13.0	22.7	35.7	-9.7	0%	-
Last 30 at home (1)	15.0	19.0	34.0	-4.0	0%	-
Last 30 away (2)	12.0	24.5	36.5	-12.5	0%	-
Last 10 (3)	13.0	22.7	35.7	-9.7	0%	-
Last 5 (3)	13.0	22.7	35.7	-9.7	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	11.5	21.0	32.5	-9.5	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	16.0	26.0	42.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	21.0	25.0	46.0	-4.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	23.0	24.5	47.5	-1.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (1)	17.0	26.0	43.0	-9.0	0%	-
Last 10 (3)	21.0	25.0	46.0	-4.0	33%	-
Last 5 (3)	21.0	25.0	46.0	-4.0	33%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	17.0	26.0	43.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	23.0	24.5	47.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	14.7	22.3	37.0	-7.7	0%	-
Last 30 at home (1)	6.0	22.0	28.0	-16.0	0%	-
Last 30 away (2)	19.0	22.5	41.5	-3.5	0%	-
Last 10 (3)	14.7	22.3	37.0	-7.7	0%	-
Last 5 (3)	14.7	22.3	37.0	-7.7	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	12.5	23.0	35.5	-10.5	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	21.3	18.3	39.7	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	23.0	22.0	45.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (1)	18.0	11.0	29.0	+7.0	100%	-
Last 10 (3)	21.3	18.3	39.7	+3.0	67%	-
Last 5 (3)	21.3	18.3	39.7	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	11.0	29.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Similar (2)	23.0	22.0	45.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

Ruvo Di PugliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brindisi

21-41

-20

H21/09

Serie A2

Forli

#17

35-47

-12

A28/09

Serie A2

Pesaro

27-47

-20

A05/10

Serie A2

72.7Avg total

27.7Scored

45.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	27.7	45.0	72.7	-17.3	0%	-
Last 30 at home (1)	21.0	41.0	62.0	-20.0	0%	-
Last 30 away (2)	31.0	47.0	78.0	-16.0	0%	-
Last 10 (3)	27.7	45.0	72.7	-17.3	0%	-
Last 5 (3)	27.7	45.0	72.7	-17.3	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	24.0	44.0	68.0	-20.0	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	35.0	47.0	82.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Mestre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Scafati

35-37

-2

A21/09

Serie A2

Roseto

#20

54-52

H27/09

Serie A2

Cento

#18

38-41

-3

H03/10

Serie A2

85.7Avg total

42.3Scored

43.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	42.3	43.3	85.7	-1.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	46.0	46.5	92.5	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (1)	35.0	37.0	72.0	-2.0	0%	-
Last 10 (3)	42.3	43.3	85.7	-1.0	33%	-
Last 5 (3)	42.3	43.3	85.7	-1.0	33%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	35.0	37.0	72.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	46.0	46.5	92.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

This opponent (Ruvo Di Puglia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	21.7	21.3	43.0	+0.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (1)	24.0	23.0	47.0	+1.0	100%	-
Last 30 away (2)	20.5	20.5	41.0	+0.0	0%	-
Last 10 (3)	21.7	21.3	43.0	+0.3	33%	-
Last 5 (3)	21.7	21.3	43.0	+0.3	33%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	22.0	21.5	43.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (1)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	20.3	15.0	35.3	+5.3	100%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	23.0	16.0	39.0	+7.0	100%	-
Last 30 away (1)	15.0	13.0	28.0	+2.0	100%	-
Last 10 (3)	20.3	15.0	35.3	+5.3	100%	-
Last 5 (3)	20.3	15.0	35.3	+5.3	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	15.0	13.0	28.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar (2)	23.0	16.0	39.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	18.0	22.3	40.3	-4.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (1)	13.0	30.0	43.0	-17.0	0%	-
Last 30 away (2)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+2.0	50%	-
Last 10 (3)	18.0	22.3	40.3	-4.3	33%	-
Last 5 (3)	18.0	22.3	40.3	-4.3	33%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	18.5	24.5	43.0	-6.0	50%	-
vs Similar (1)	17.0	18.0	35.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	17.3	20.7	38.0	-3.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	20.5	18.0	38.5	+2.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (1)	11.0	26.0	37.0	-15.0	0%	-
Last 10 (3)	17.3	20.7	38.0	-3.3	33%	-
Last 5 (3)	17.3	20.7	38.0	-3.3	33%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	11.0	26.0	37.0	-15.0	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.5	18.0	38.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	39.7	43.7	83.3	-4.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (1)	37.0	53.0	90.0	-16.0	0%	-
Last 30 away (2)	41.0	39.0	80.0	+2.0	50%	-
Last 10 (3)	39.7	43.7	83.3	-4.0	33%	-
Last 5 (3)	39.7	43.7	83.3	-4.0	33%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	40.5	46.0	86.5	-5.5	50%	-
vs Similar (1)	38.0	39.0	77.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	37.7	35.7	73.3	+2.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	43.5	34.0	77.5	+9.5	100%	-
Last 30 away (1)	26.0	39.0	65.0	-13.0	0%	-
Last 10 (3)	37.7	35.7	73.3	+2.0	67%	-
Last 5 (3)	37.7	35.7	73.3	+2.0	67%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	26.0	39.0	65.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	43.5	34.0	77.5	+9.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Ruvo Di Pugliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ruvo Di Puglia: 66.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers34.7 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.0 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game

46%

35%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.0	17.3	41.3%	50.8%	34.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	6.3	25.3%	34.6%	19.0
🏀 Free throws	20.0	12.3	61.7%	74.4%	12.3

They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 69.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀13%

🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 13% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game

46%

35%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	30.0	17.0	56.7%	50.8%	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	18.0	8.7	48.1%	34.6%	26.0
🏀 Free throws	13.0	9.0	69.2%	74.4%	9.0

They take 48.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.7	24.7	57.8%	50.8%	49.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.3	9.0	37.0%	34.6%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	15.3	11.7	76.1%	74.4%	11.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	28.0	17.3	61.9%	50.8%	34.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	13.3	4.7	35.0%	34.6%	14.0
🏀 Free throws	15.0	12.7	84.4%	74.4%	12.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.7	24.7	57.8%	50.8%	49.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.3	9.0	37.0%	34.6%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	15.3	11.7	76.1%	74.4%	11.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	28.0	17.3	61.9%	50.8%	34.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	13.3	4.7	35.0%	34.6%	14.0
🏀 Free throws	15.0	12.7	84.4%	74.4%	12.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Ruvo Di Puglia

LLL

Mestre

WWL

#16

League position

#15

-28.8

Net rating

+14.3

86.5

Offensive rating

129.0

115.4

Defensive rating

114.7

40.0%

Effective FG%

62.5%

57.0%

Opp. effective FG%

58.9%

19.3%

Turnover %

11.6%

33.1%

Off. rebound %

24.3%

0.30

Free-throw rate

0.27

25.3%

3-point %

48.1%

49.3%

Assist %

41.6%

Form (last 3/3)

67%

Profile

■ Ruvo Di Puglia ■ Mestre

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ruvo Di Puglia wins

Mestre wins

No previous meetings.

Ruvo Di Puglialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/10/25	A	Pesaro	71-86
28/09/25	A	Forli	73-86
21/09/25	H	Brindisi	58-94

Mestrelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/10/25	H	Cento	78-70
27/09/25	H	Roseto	101-91
21/09/25	A	Scafati	61-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ruvo Di Puglia

Serie A2 2025-26

Recent: 0 Wins / 3 Losses (last 3)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLL	0%
Home	L	0%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	1	2
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	67.3	58.0	72.0
Allowed / game	88.7	94.0	86.0
Point differential	-21.3	-36.0	-14.0
Avg total	156.0	152.0	158.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Mestre

Serie A2 2025-26

Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Losses (last 3)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWW	67%
Home	WW	100%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	2	1
Win %	67%	100%	0%
Points / game	80.0	89.5	61.0
Allowed / game	79.0	80.5	76.0
Point differential	+1.0	+9.0	-15.0
Avg total	159.0	170.0	137.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Brindisi	3	2	1	67%	80.3	61.7	+18.7
2	Fortitudo Bologna	3	2	1	67%	85.7	76.0	+9.7
3	Basket Torino	3	2	1	67%	84.0	77.0	+7.0
4	Rimini	3	2	1	67%	80.3	73.7	+6.7
5	Sebastiani Rieti	3	2	1	67%	75.7	69.0	+6.7
6	Libertas Livorno	3	2	1	67%	71.0	67.0	+4.0
7	Pistoia	3	2	1	67%	84.3	81.3	+3.0
8	Verona	3	2	1	67%	79.7	78.3	+1.3
9	Mestre	3	2	1	67%	80.0	79.0	+1.0
10	Scafati	3	2	1	67%	80.0	80.7	-0.7
11	Blu Basket Bergamo	2	1	1	50%	87.5	88.0	-0.5
12	Pesaro	2	1	1	50%	74.0	74.5	-0.5
13	Avellino Basket	3	1	2	33%	79.3	77.7	+1.7
14	Cividale	3	1	2	33%	75.3	77.0	-1.7
15	Cento	3	1	2	33%	71.0	76.0	-5.0
16	Roseto	3	1	2	33%	86.7	91.7	-5.0
17	Urania Milano	3	1	2	33%	78.3	85.3	-7.0
18	Forli	3	1	2	33%	72.0	80.3	-8.3
19	JuVi Cremona	3	1	2	33%	69.7	79.7	-10.0
20	Ruvo Di Puglia	3	0	3	0%	67.3	88.7	-21.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ruvo Di Puglia	14	15	22	20	71
Mestre	11	23	24	21	79

← all games of the day

Ruvo Di Puglia vs Mestre Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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