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Rytas 2 vs Suduva-Mantinga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 14:05
Projected 75-91
Projected total 165.7
Final 79-93
14-25 15-24 15-25 35-19
Position#18
Record1-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game86.4
Vs
91%
■ RYTA 9%■ SUDU 91%
Pythia win probability
Position#4
Record9-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game77.7
LithuaniaNKLRound 14· Active Vilnius Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Rytas 2 v Suduva-Mantinga
14 Nov 2026
RYTA79
SUDU93
11 Dec 2025
RYTA65
SUDU101
08 Mar 2025
RYTA85
SUDU71
12 Oct 2024
RYTA84
SUDU96
04 Nov 2023
RYTA97
SUDU96
01 Apr 2023
RYTA76
SUDU90
14 Jan 2023
RYTA61
SUDU86
30 Oct 2021
RYTA63
SUDU108
09 Feb 2021
RYTA58
SUDU76
30 Jan 2020
RYTA96
SUDU113
19 Oct 2019
RYTA73
SUDU80
19 Jan 2019
RYTA66
SUDU75
03 Feb 2018
RYTA79
SUDU83
16 Dec 2017
RYTA80
SUDU83
20 Jan 2017
RYTA85
SUDU83
21 Oct 2016
RYTA69
SUDU92
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Rytas 2 will host Suduva-Mantinga in the NKL on 14 November 2026, with the model designating Suduva-Mantinga as the favourite thanks to their 9-3 record and 91.4 points per game compared with Rytas 2's 1-12 record and 77.0 points per game. Rytas 2 has struggled all season, allowing 86.4 points per game, while Suduva-Mantinga has been efficient, conceding only 77.7 points per game, and their road form is strong at 5-1 with 94.5 points per game scored. Rytas 2's last five games yielded only one win, including a 91-79 victory at home, whereas Suduva-Mantinga has won four of their last five, most recently beating Neptunas 94-75 away. Historically Suduva-Mantinga has dominated the rivalry, winning eight of ten meetings and the last encounter 95-66 on 19 February 2026. The model projects a 9% chance for Rytas 2 to win and a 91% chance for Suduva-Mantinga, with a 75-91 scoreline and 165.7 total points. The home line of 16.0 gives a 52% probability that Rytas 2 will cover, while the 166.5 total carries a 48% chance of an over, and a 2% chance of overtime. Suduva-Mantinga's recent road success suggests they will likely pull away early.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rytas 2 winLost
8.8%fair 11.37
Best odds9.50
Implied11.6%
Edge-2.8pp
Suduva-Mantinga winWon
91.2%fair 1.10
Best odds1.06
Implied88.4%
Edge+2.8pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rytas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
81-103
81
103
-22
70avg 75
H10/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
72-84
72
84
-12
64avg 75
H15/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
L
64-89
64
89
-25
56avg 75
A17/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
L
69-83
69
83
-14
64avg 75
A22/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
62-74
62
74
-12
56avg 75
H24/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
L
72-74
72
74
-2
69avg 75
A29/10
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
L
91-101
91
101
-10
80avg 75
H31/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#12
L
90-95
90
95
-5
no box
A05/11
NKL
Kretinga
#16
W
91-79
91
79
+12
no box
H07/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
L
69-76
69
76
-7
no box
A12/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
14-28
17-19
23-32
19-20
11-24
18-18
24-22
22-29
14-15
11-24
17-21
20-20
16-14
12-23
21-26
18-23
16-15
16-18
12-18
19-17
21-16
13-23
19-18
23-25
19-25
19-28
30-23
17-30
29-18
22-23
22-24
22-21
25-21
19-20
25-17
16-19
20-25
20-11
13-21
161.9Avg total
76.1Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.086.4163.4-9.48%
Season at home (7)80.790.1170.9-9.414%
Season away (6)72.782.0154.7-9.30%
Last 10 (10)76.185.8161.9-9.710%
Last 5 (5)82.685.0167.6-2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)76.690.5167.1-13.90%
vs Similar (16)80.481.4161.8-0.944%
vs Weaker (4)89.066.8155.8+22.2100%
This opponent (Suduva-Mantinga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Suduva-MantingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuduva-Mantinga
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#16
W
88-83
88
83
+5
66avg 85
A15/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
82-87
82
87
-5
70avg 85
H17/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
69-71
69
71
-2
55avg 85
H24/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
113-63
113
63
+50
120avg 85
H27/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
W
109-85
109
85
+24
114avg 85
A29/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
98-64
98
64
+34
97avg 85
H31/10
NKL
Silute
#7
L
83-92
83
92
-9
no box
A03/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
W
94-75
94
75
+19
no box
A05/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
W
80-60
80
60
+20
no box
H07/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
W
88-78
88
78
+10
no box
H12/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-18
21-24
15-23
21-18
23-21
21-27
12-26
26-13
13-21
14-22
22-14
20-14
32-9
33-26
28-12
20-16
28-13
26-22
35-26
20-24
27-9
26-23
23-14
22-18
21-30
21-26
17-14
24-22
23-20
24-13
18-20
29-22
19-17
18-20
21-9
22-14
16-14
25-21
23-15
24-28
166.2Avg total
90.4Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)91.477.7169.1+13.875%
Season at home (6)88.370.5158.8+17.867%
Season away (6)94.584.8179.3+9.783%
Last 10 (10)90.475.8166.2+14.670%
Last 5 (5)88.673.8162.4+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)78.574.5153.0+4.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)88.875.7164.5+13.175%
This opponent (Rytas 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 160Actual: Over 160
Over 160
63.6%
Under 160
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 165.25 · main lineActual: Over 165.25
Over 165.25
no forecast
@ 1.81
Under 165.25
no forecast
@ 1.81
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.81
Under
1xBet
1.81
Over/Under 170Actual: Over 170
Over 170
38.8%
@ 2.21-2.5pp
Under 170
61.2%
@ 1.56+2.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.21
Under
Pinnacle
1.56

📊 3. Team Totals

Rytas 2 total 71.5Actual: Rytas 2 over 71.5
Over 71.5
63.2%
@ 1.43+2.4pp
Under 71.5
36.8%
@ 2.22-2.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.43
Under
1xBet
2.22
Rytas 2 total 75.5 · main lineActual: Rytas 2 over 75.5
Over 75.5
47.5%
@ 1.84-0.8pp
Under 75.5
52.5%
@ 1.80+0.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.84
Betano
1.83
Under
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.63
Rytas 2 total 79.5Actual: Rytas 2 under 79.5
Over 79.5
32.3%
@ 2.62-1.3pp
Under 79.5
67.7%
@ 1.33+1.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.62
Under
1xBet
1.33
Suduva-Mantinga total 86.5Actual: Suduva-Mantinga over 86.5
Over 86.5
66.2%
@ 1.38+2.9pp
Under 86.5
33.8%
@ 2.38-2.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.38
Under
1xBet
2.38
Suduva-Mantinga total 90.5 · main lineActual: Suduva-Mantinga over 90.5
Over 90.5
50.6%
@ 1.78+0.1pp
Under 90.5
49.4%
@ 1.87-0.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.73
Under
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.71
Suduva-Mantinga total 94.5Actual: Suduva-Mantinga under 94.5
Over 94.5
34.8%
@ 2.41-1.6pp
Under 94.5
65.2%
@ 1.38+1.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.41
Under
1xBet
1.38

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Rytas 2 +13Actual: Suduva-Mantinga -13
RYTA +13
40.6%
SUDU -13
59.4%
Best 5 market prices
RYTA
No market prices yet.
SUDU
No market prices yet.
Spread Rytas 2 +16 · main lineActual: Rytas 2 +16
RYTA +16
51.6%
@ 1.88+2.0pp
SUDU -16
48.4%
@ 1.85-2.0pp
Best 5 market prices
RYTA
Pinnacle
1.88
SBO
1.86
SUDU
Pinnacle
1.85
SBO
1.84
Spread Rytas 2 +19Actual: Rytas 2 +19
RYTA +19
62.5%
SUDU -19
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
RYTA
No market prices yet.
SUDU
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +3.9+3.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +3.9+3.9
Rytas 2Suduva-Mantinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rytas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H10/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H15/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A17/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A22/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H24/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A29/10
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H31/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#12
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A05/11
NKL
Kretinga
#16
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H07/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A12/11
NKL
81.7Avg total
38.8Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 82.5
Last 30 (30)39.541.681.1-2.240%43%
Last 30 at home (15)41.342.483.7-1.140%53%
Last 30 away (15)37.740.978.5-3.240%33%
Last 10 (10)38.842.981.7-4.130%40%
Last 5 (5)42.243.485.6-1.240%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.945.983.8-8.010%50%
vs Similar (16)39.240.679.8-1.450%38%
vs Weaker (4)44.535.079.5+9.575%50%
This opponent (Suduva-Mantinga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Suduva-MantingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#16
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A15/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H17/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H24/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
65-35
65
35
+30
H27/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
W
54-35
54
35
+19
A29/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H31/10
NKL
Silute
#7
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A03/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A05/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H07/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H12/11
NKL
85.8Avg total
46.2Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 82.5
Last 30 (30)44.836.981.7+7.967%40%
Last 30 at home (16)45.635.781.2+9.962%44%
Last 30 away (14)43.938.282.1+5.771%36%
Last 10 (10)46.239.685.8+6.660%60%
Last 5 (5)44.038.682.6+5.460%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)34.039.073.0-5.050%0%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)45.636.782.3+8.968%43%
This opponent (Rytas 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Suduva-Mantinga win
RYTA win
no forecast
@ 5.00
SUDU win
no forecast
@ 1.18
1st half Spread Rytas 2 +8.5 · main lineActual: Suduva-Mantinga -8.5
RYTA +8.5
no forecast
@ 1.86
SUDU -8.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half Over/Under 82.5 · main lineActual: Under 82.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Suduva-Mantinga (regulation)
RYTA
no forecast
@ 5.20
Draw
no forecast
@ 20.00
SUDU
no forecast
@ 1.16

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
RYTA win + total 165.5
🔒 Pro
SUDU win + total 165.5
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: RYTA leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Suduva-Mantinga (regulation)89.9%1.04
1xBet
1.04
----+6.3ppWon
Suduva-Mantinga over 84.573.3%1.28
1xBet
1.28
----+3.8ppWon
Suduva-Mantinga win91.2%1.05
Betano
1.06
WilliamHill
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Pinnacle
1.04
1xBet
1.03
+2.8ppWon
Suduva-Mantinga under 96.572.4%1.27
1xBet
1.27
----+2.5ppWon
Rytas 2 under 80.571.1%1.28
1xBet
1.28
----+1.7ppWon
Rytas 2 +21.570.1%1.24
1xBet
1.24
-----0.6ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rytas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas 2: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.2
52.2%
54.5%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.25.8
25.0%
31.3%17.4
🏀 Free throws19.815.1
76.3%
67.1%15.1
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Suduva-Mantingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Suduva-Mantinga: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.520.1
55.1%
54.5%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.011.5
34.8%
31.3%34.5
🏀 Free throws20.312.5
61.6%
67.1%12.5
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rytas 2
LWLLLLLLLL
Suduva-Mantinga
WWWLWWWLLW
#18
League position
#4
-13.5
Net rating
+11.3
83.4
Offensive rating
100.1
96.9
Defensive rating
88.9
46.9%
Effective FG%
53.7%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
18.8%
Turnover %
11.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
25.0%
3-point %
34.8%
68.5%
Assist %
64.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence83.4 · 100.1Defence96.9 · 88.9Shooting46.9% · 53.7%3-point %25.0% · 34.8%Ball care18.8% · 11.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Rytas 2   ■ Suduva-Mantinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Rytas 2 wins
8
Suduva-Mantinga wins
Rytas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AUkmerges Stekas69-76
07/11/26HKretinga91-79
05/11/26AZalgiris Kaunas 290-95
31/10/26HAlytaus Patriotai91-101
29/10/26AVilkaviskis72-74
24/10/26HNeptunas 262-74
22/10/26AKedainiai BC69-83
17/10/26APlunges Olimpas64-89
15/10/26HJurbarkas72-84
10/10/26HBC Olimpas Palanga81-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HBC Olimpas Palanga88-78
07/11/26HVilkaviskis80-60
05/11/26ANeptunas 294-75
03/11/26ASilute83-92
31/10/26HKedainiai BC98-64
29/10/26AMazeikiai109-85
27/10/26HKauno Atletas113-63
24/10/26HTelsiai69-71
17/10/26HOmega-Tauras82-87
15/10/26AKretinga88-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rytas 2
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL8%
HomeLLLLW14%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %8%14%0%
Points / game77.080.772.7
Allowed / game86.490.182.0
Point differential-9.4-9.4-9.3
Avg total163.4170.9154.7
Over 165.2546%71%17%
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Suduva-Mantinga
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWWWLW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%67%83%
Points / game91.488.394.5
Allowed / game77.770.584.8
Point differential+13.8+17.8+9.7
Avg total169.1158.8179.3
Over 165.2575%50%100%
Win by 10+58%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai1312192%90.573.6+16.9
2 Jurbarkas1311285%88.678.3+10.3
3 BC Olimpas Palanga1411379%96.384.6+11.6
4 Suduva-Mantinga129375%91.477.7+13.8
5 Vytis VDU118373%97.490.4+7.0
6 Neptunas 21410471%78.474.1+4.2
7 Silute128467%84.382.2+2.2
8 Alytaus Patriotai148657%83.884.9-1.1
9 Omega-Tauras137654%90.586.2+4.2
10 Plunges Olimpas147750%83.181.1+2.1
11 Vilkaviskis146843%83.186.1-3.0
12 Zalgiris Kaunas 2125742%94.296.8-2.7
13 Ukmerges Stekas145936%78.988.1-9.2
14 Kedainiai BC1441029%76.885.0-8.2
15 Mazeikiai1431121%78.988.9-10.0
16 Kretinga1321115%81.590.7-9.2
17 Kauno Atletas1421214%79.194.4-15.3
18 Rytas 2131128%77.086.4-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rytas 21415153579
Suduva-Mantinga2524251993
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