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Rytas vs Le Mans Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 101-81
28-25 17-16 24-20 32-20
Position#4
Record6-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game93.3
Allowed / game88.0
Rytas 🏆
vs
Position#14
Record7-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game78.5
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 5· Active Vilnius Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Rytas v Le Mans
11 Mar 2026
RYT101
LMA81
06 Dec 2011
RYT87
LMA49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rytas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Le Mans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RytasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Juventus
#7
L
96-99
96
99
-3
90avg 88
H24/01
LKL
Galatasaray
#8
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
78avg 88
H27/01
Champions League
Neptunas
#3
L
87-95
87
95
-8
89avg 88
A31/01
LKL
Le Mans
#14
L
72-78
72
78
-6
66avg 88
A04/02
Champions League
Jonava
#8
W
101-84
101
84
+17
100avg 88
A07/02
LKL
Hapoel Holon
#36
W
106-98
106
98
+8
95avg 88
A10/02
Champions League
Neptunas
#3
W
100-95
100
95
+5
100avg 88
H14/02
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
87-82
87
82
+5
87avg 88
A17/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
106-89
106
89
+17
105avg 88
H21/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
85-101
85
101
-16
65avg 88
A22/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
18-31
30-21
25-22
20-16
13-23
24-16
19-21
19-30
26-22
22-23
20-20
18-17
25-15
12-25
17-21
20-25
30-23
25-23
26-13
26-25
28-26
28-22
24-25
31-23
25-22
21-24
23-26
21-26
22-19
22-12
22-25
29-20
27-17
26-22
24-30
21-25
16-37
27-22
21-17
183.5Avg total
92.5Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)93.388.0181.3+5.360%
Season at home (5)99.684.8184.4+14.880%
Season away (5)87.091.2178.2-4.240%
Last 10 (10)92.591.0183.5+1.550%
Last 5 (5)96.893.0189.8+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)80.390.0170.3-9.70%
vs Similar ◀ (5)92.490.0182.4+2.460%
vs Weaker (22)94.986.1181.0+8.868%
This opponent (Le Mans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Le MansLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMans
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
L
88-91
88
91
-3
78avg 87
H25/01
LNB
Hapoel Holon
#36
W
106-85
106
85
+21
102avg 87
A27/01
Champions League
Strasbourg
#8
L
96-103
96
103
-7
87avg 87
A31/01
LNB
Rytas
#4
W
78-72
78
72
+6
70avg 87
H04/02
Champions League
Dijon
#11
W
92-86
92
86
+6
91avg 87
H07/02
LNB
Galatasaray
#8
L
81-94
81
94
-13
66avg 87
H11/02
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#9
W
89-71
89
71
+18
84avg 87
A14/02
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
W
88-74
88
74
+14
82avg 87
H17/02
French Cup
Hyeres-Toulon
#2
W
82-73
82
73
+9
85avg 87
A04/03
French Cup
Nanterre
#3
W
79-71
79
71
+8
77avg 87
H07/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
31-18
20-26
15-22
29-21
24-25
22-24
31-15
21-25
27-23
24-24
24-31
17-18
15-25
25-12
21-17
24-19
24-25
24-18
20-24
22-18
26-32
21-18
12-26
20-13
19-28
18-12
32-18
27-27
21-18
27-16
13-13
16-28
24-8
22-16
20-21
22-19
22-18
13-24
22-10
169.9Avg total
87.9Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)87.078.5165.5+8.558%
Season at home (6)87.578.2165.7+9.367%
Season away (6)86.578.8165.3+7.750%
Last 10 (10)87.982.0169.9+5.970%
Last 5 (5)83.876.6160.4+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)92.0110.0202.0-18.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)86.685.4172.0+1.254%
vs Weaker (16)92.778.5171.2+14.281%
This opponent (Rytas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
RytasLe Mans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#7
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H24/01
LKL
Galatasaray
#8
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H27/01
Champions League
Neptunas
#3
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A31/01
LKL
Le Mans
#14
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A04/02
Champions League
Jonava
#8
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A07/02
LKL
Hapoel Holon
#36
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A10/02
Champions League
Neptunas
#3
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H14/02
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A17/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
56-37
56
37
+19
H21/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
37-62
37
62
-25
A22/02
King Mindaugas Cup
92.5Avg total
45.8Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.543.891.2+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.343.192.4+6.173%-
Last 30 away (15)45.744.490.1+1.353%-
Last 10 (10)45.846.792.5-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)49.248.097.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.751.389.0-13.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)50.842.092.8+8.880%-
vs Weaker (22)48.043.191.2+4.968%-
This opponent (Le Mans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Le MansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H25/01
LNB
Hapoel Holon
#36
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A27/01
Champions League
Strasbourg
#8
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A31/01
LNB
Rytas
#4
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H04/02
Champions League
Dijon
#11
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H07/02
LNB
Galatasaray
#8
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H11/02
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A14/02
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H17/02
French Cup
Hyeres-Toulon
#2
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A04/03
French Cup
Nanterre
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H07/03
LNB
88.6Avg total
45.3Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.441.687.0+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.140.485.5+4.669%-
Last 30 away (14)45.842.988.7+2.957%-
Last 10 (10)45.343.388.6+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)43.841.885.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.048.091.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)44.243.787.9+0.546%-
vs Weaker (16)46.539.586.0+7.081%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 92.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.220.2
57.4%
52.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.6
36.4%
33.8%31.8
🏀 Free throws25.820.3
78.7%
74.1%20.3
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Le Manstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Le Mans: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.419.0
52.2%
52.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.7
38.5%
33.8%32.1
🏀 Free throws23.317.8
76.4%
74.1%17.8
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rytas
LWWWWWLLLL
Le Mans
WWWWLWWLWL
#4
League position
#14
+1.7
Net rating
+9.1
106.9
Offensive rating
103.5
105.2
Defensive rating
94.4
56.1%
Effective FG%
54.6%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
12.4%
Turnover %
12.8%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.4%
3-point %
38.5%
58.4%
Assist %
68.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 103.5Defence105.2 · 94.4Shooting56.1% · 54.6%3-point %36.4% · 38.5%Ball care12.4% · 12.8%Free throws0.40 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Rytas   ■ Le Mans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Rytas wins
1
Le Mans wins
DateGameScore
04/02/26Le Mans v Rytas78-72
06/12/11Rytas v Le Mans87-49
29/11/11Le Mans v Rytas62-79
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26AZalgiris Kaunas85-101
21/02/26HLietkabelis106-89
17/02/26AJuventus87-82
14/02/26HNeptunas100-95
10/02/26AHapoel Holon106-98
07/02/26AJonava101-84
04/02/26ALe Mans72-78
31/01/26ANeptunas87-95
27/01/26HGalatasaray85-89 OT
24/01/26HJuventus96-99
Le Manslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HNanterre79-71
04/03/26AHyeres-Toulon82-73
17/02/26HStrasbourg88-74
14/02/26AChalon/Saone89-71
11/02/26HGalatasaray81-94
07/02/26HDijon92-86
04/02/26HRytas78-72
31/01/26AStrasbourg96-103
27/01/26AHapoel Holon106-85
25/01/26HLyon-Villeurbanne88-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rytas
Champions League 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW60%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%80%40%
Points / game93.399.687.0
Allowed / game88.084.891.2
Point differential+5.3+14.8-4.2
Avg total181.3184.4178.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Le Mans
Champions League 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL58%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game87.087.586.5
Allowed / game78.578.278.8
Point differential+8.5+9.3+7.7
Avg total165.5165.7165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Athens1110191%86.374.9+11.4
2 Joventut Badalona1110191%87.577.1+10.4
3 Gran Canaria109190%82.270.6+11.6
4 Unicaja119282%90.374.8+15.5
5 Galatasaray119282%88.580.5+8.0
6 Alba Berlin108280%87.680.1+7.5
7 Chalon/Saone1612475%89.185.6+3.4
8 Tenerife107370%84.676.3+8.3
9 Murcia32167%89.783.7+6.0
10 Bakken Bears32167%88.086.0+2.0
11 Antwerp Giants32167%72.775.3-2.7
12 Rytas106460%93.388.0+5.3
13 Le Mans127558%87.078.5+8.5
14 Levice127558%79.279.8-0.6
15 Reggiana21150%88.584.0+4.5
16 Den Bosch21150%78.575.0+3.5
17 Wurzburg147750%81.678.1+3.4
18 Juventus21150%87.085.0+2.0
19 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%81.082.5-1.5
20 PAOK21150%76.079.5-3.5
21 FC Porto21150%81.089.5-8.5
22 Mersin SK84450%80.088.6-8.6
23 Cholet94544%89.087.0+2.0
24 Szolnoki Olaj94544%76.476.4+0.0
25 Tofas146843%83.986.0-2.1
26 Trapani73443%75.179.1-4.0
27 Trieste135838%81.884.3-2.5
28 Spartak Subotica83538%78.279.4-1.1
29 Heidelberg83538%79.582.1-2.6
30 Promitheas83538%80.186.5-6.4
31 Legia62433%78.077.8+0.2
32 Hapoel Holon124833%82.384.8-2.4
33 Nymburk124833%79.383.8-4.4
34 Bnei Herzliya62433%84.890.5-5.7
35 Bursaspor93633%76.883.0-6.2
36 AS Karditsas124833%77.385.9-8.6
37 Sabah Baku61517%81.090.7-9.7
38 VEF Riga61517%68.580.0-11.5
39 Igokea61517%75.387.0-11.7
40 Benfica61517%71.592.2-20.7
41 Kutaisi1010%81.084.0-3.0
42 Szombathely1010%79.083.0-4.0
43 Basketball Braunschweig1010%74.081.0-7.0
44 CSM Oradea1010%71.079.0-8.0
45 Rilski Sportist1010%84.093.0-9.0
46 Oostende6060%81.092.7-11.7
47 Pelister1010%87.099.0-12.0
48 Studentski Centar1010%67.079.0-12.0
49 Trepca1010%68.080.0-12.0
50 Karhu Basket1010%89.0103.0-14.0
51 Lublin1010%84.0100.0-16.0
52 AEK Larnaca1010%69.090.0-21.0
53 Fribourg Olympic1010%80.0107.0-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rytas28172432101
Le Mans2516202081
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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