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Sacramento State vs Denver Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 87-85 (OT)
33-33 38-38 16-14
Position#253
Record3-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game66.2
Allowed / game70.2
vs
Position#233
Record8-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game71.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sacramento State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho
#325
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H09/03
NCAA
Montana State
#32
L
61-83
61
83
-22
A10/03
NCAA
UCLA
#12
L
50-76
50
76
-26
A08/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A13/11
NCAA
Denver
#233
W
73-69
73
69
+4
A15/11
NCAA
California Merced
#399
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H18/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#150
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A23/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A26/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
L
87-91 OT
87
91
-4
H27/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#53
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-22
26-32
28-39
33-44
25-39
25-37
29-24
36-31
33-36
40-33
26-16
32-27
40-33
31-49
30-44
31-30
29-34
35-30
24-26
41-46
134.7Avg total
64.8Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)66.270.2136.5-4.038%
Season at home (2)72.567.0139.5+5.550%
Season away (6)64.271.3135.5-7.233%
Last 10 (10)64.869.9134.7-5.140%
Last 5 (5)68.472.4140.8-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)65.074.9139.9-9.916%
vs Similar ◀ (9)68.663.2131.8+5.367%
vs Weaker (1)58.043.0101.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Denver) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DenverUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota St
#69
L
62-82
62
82
-20
A06/03
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H08/11
NCAA
Colorado College
#425
W
90-68
90
68
+22
H11/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
L
69-73
69
73
-4
H15/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#299
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A19/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#364
W
86-64
86
64
+22
A23/11
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A24/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
77-76
77
76
+1
A25/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A02/12
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-32
27-50
35-30
33-33
49-29
41-39
36-33
33-40
30-28
40-41
46-34
40-30
34-33
40-38
35-30
42-46
49-44
44-39
35-39
49-36
149.7Avg total
77.3Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.071.3150.3+7.789%
Season at home (4)77.869.8147.5+8.075%
Season away (5)80.072.6152.6+7.4100%
Last 10 (10)77.372.4149.7+4.980%
Last 5 (5)82.873.8156.6+9.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)69.279.2148.4-10.115%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.373.1148.4+2.280%
vs Weaker (6)82.870.5153.3+12.383%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.8-1.81st half: +5.2+5.22nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.8-1.81st half: +5.2+5.22nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: -0.3-0.3
Sacramento StateDenver
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho
#325
W
31-22
31
22
+9
H09/03
NCAA
Montana State
#32
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A10/03
NCAA
UCLA
#12
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A08/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A13/11
NCAA
Denver
#233
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A15/11
NCAA
California Merced
#399
W
26-16
26
16
+10
H18/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#150
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A23/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A26/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H27/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#53
L
24-26
24
26
-2
A03/12
NCAA
60.8Avg total
29.5Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.932.162.0-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (13)28.831.260.0-2.538%-
Last 30 away (17)30.832.763.5-1.941%-
Last 10 (10)29.531.360.8-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)29.830.660.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)30.334.965.3-4.632%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)28.928.657.4+0.344%-
vs Weaker (1)26.016.042.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Denver) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DenverLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota St
#69
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A06/03
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H08/11
NCAA
Colorado College
#425
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H11/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H15/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#299
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A19/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#364
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A23/11
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A24/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A25/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A02/12
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H04/12
NCAA
71.6Avg total
38.4Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.234.969.1-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.334.370.6+2.050%-
Last 30 away (16)32.435.467.9-3.050%-
Last 10 (10)38.433.271.6+5.290%-
Last 5 (5)39.836.075.8+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)31.636.868.4-5.231%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)33.034.767.7-1.760%-
vs Weaker (6)39.532.271.7+7.367%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sacramento State wins
0
Denver wins
DateGameScore
15/11/22Denver v Sacramento State69-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/22ASanta Clara65-72
27/11/22HSouthern Utah87-91 OT
26/11/22AHawaii61-74
23/11/22AUC Davis71-82
18/11/22HCalifornia Merced58-43
15/11/22ADenver73-69
13/11/22AUC San Diego65-55
08/11/22AUCLA50-76
10/03/22AMontana State61-83
09/03/22HIdaho57-54
Denverlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/22HTX A&M Commerce84-75
02/12/22AHouston Christian93-83
25/11/22ANew Orleans77-76
24/11/22ACitadel74-71
23/11/22AIUPUI86-64
19/11/22AIdaho State70-69
15/11/22HSacramento State69-73
11/11/22HColorado College90-68
08/11/22HIdaho68-63
06/03/22ANorth Dakota St62-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sacramento State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL38%
HomeWL50%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %38%50%33%
Points / game66.272.564.2
Allowed / game70.267.071.3
Point differential-4.0+5.5-7.2
Avg total136.5139.5135.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %12%50%0%
Denver
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %89%75%100%
Points / game79.077.880.0
Allowed / game71.369.872.6
Point differential+7.7+8.0+7.4
Avg total150.3147.5152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portland State95456%85.371.6+13.8
2 Idaho94544%76.267.1+9.1
3 Montana State94544%70.970.6+0.3
4 Montana94544%64.865.6-0.8
5 Northern Colorado94544%71.682.0-10.4
6 Sacramento State83538%66.270.2-4.0
7 East. Washington83538%67.171.9-4.8
8 Northern Arizona114736%72.172.5-0.4
9 Idaho State103730%69.466.9+2.5
10 Weber State82625%65.573.9-8.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Denver98189%79.071.3+7.7
2 St. Thomas (Minn.)107370%78.068.2+9.8
3 Oral Roberts96367%83.274.7+8.6
4 South Dakota Coyotes105550%66.871.4-4.6
5 North Dakota115645%68.072.6-4.6
6 UMKC124833%64.267.3-3.1
7 South Dakota St.103730%66.274.4-8.2
8 Nebraska O.103730%64.476.8-12.4
9 North Dakota St102820%68.778.2-9.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Sacramento State33381687
Denver33381485
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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