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Samford vs Utah Valley State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 84-76
38-43 46-33
Position#61
Record5-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game95.1
Allowed / game79.6
Samford 🏆
USA
vs
Position#32
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game68.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Valley State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#191
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H10/03
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H11/03
NCAA
Kansas
#63
L
89-93
89
93
-4
A22/03
NCAA
Mississippi Coll.
#558
W
100-58
100
58
+42
H05/11
NCAA
Cornell
#113
L
86-88
86
88
-2
A08/11
NCAA
Rhodes Lynx
#630
W
108-52
108
52
+56
H13/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#56
W
97-96 OT
97
96
+1
A16/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
W
97-82
97
82
+15
H17/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
75-83
75
83
-8
A20/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#85
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
H27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-28
50-49
40-38
36-31
38-48
51-45
41-20
59-38
39-50
47-38
59-26
49-26
56-37
32-51
51-32
46-50
28-38
47-45
50-44
35-41
171.1Avg total
91.5Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)95.179.6174.7+15.671%
Season at home (4)102.072.5174.5+29.5100%
Season away (3)86.089.0175.0-3.033%
Last 10 (10)91.579.6171.1+11.970%
Last 5 (5)96.082.2178.2+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)87.383.0170.3+4.367%
vs Weaker (24)86.273.2159.3+13.083%
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah Valley StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#175
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H24/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H02/03
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A08/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
74-67
74
67
+7
A09/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
L
63-74 OT
63
74
-11
H14/03
NCAA
Western Colorado
#447
W
92-57
92
57
+35
H05/11
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
89-60
89
60
+29
H09/11
NCAA
North Dakota
#312
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A14/11
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A23/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-24
34-38
29-38
36-40
30-40
33-20
35-38
39-29
30-28
30-32
42-23
50-34
43-28
46-32
34-33
37-44
35-30
42-45
34-32
43-42
142.6Avg total
74.2Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.268.6149.8+12.680%
Season at home (3)86.063.7149.7+22.3100%
Season away (2)74.076.0150.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)74.268.4142.6+5.870%
Last 5 (5)81.268.6149.8+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)63.972.4136.3-8.622%
vs Similar ◀ (12)70.966.8137.7+4.258%
vs Weaker (9)75.768.2143.9+7.467%
This opponent (Samford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.5+7.51st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: +3.4+3.4
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.5+7.51st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: +3.4+3.4
SamfordUtah Valley State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#191
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H10/03
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H11/03
NCAA
Kansas
#63
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A22/03
NCAA
Mississippi Coll.
#558
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H05/11
NCAA
Cornell
#113
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A08/11
NCAA
Rhodes Lynx
#630
W
59-26
59
26
+33
H13/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#56
W
56-37
56
37
+19
A16/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H17/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A20/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#85
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H27/11
NCAA
79.7Avg total
43.6Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.734.075.6+7.780%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.833.077.8+11.8100%-
Last 30 away (14)38.135.173.2+3.157%-
Last 10 (10)43.636.179.7+7.570%-
Last 5 (5)48.835.484.2+13.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)41.337.879.2+3.567%-
vs Weaker (24)41.833.074.8+8.883%-
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah Valley StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#175
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H24/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H02/03
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A08/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A09/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H14/03
NCAA
Western Colorado
#447
W
42-23
42
23
+19
H05/11
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H09/11
NCAA
North Dakota
#312
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A14/11
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A23/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H26/11
NCAA
66.3Avg total
34.9Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.632.965.5-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.429.764.1+4.767%-
Last 30 away (15)30.836.166.9-5.327%-
Last 10 (10)34.931.466.3+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)37.629.266.8+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.738.269.9-6.622%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)32.132.064.1+0.150%-
vs Weaker (9)34.228.863.0+5.467%-
This opponent (Samford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Samford wins
0
Utah Valley State wins
No previous meetings.
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/24HNorth Dakota St103-98 OT
20/11/24AMichigan State75-83
17/11/24HTexas Southern97-82
16/11/24ANorth Alabama97-96 OT
13/11/24HRhodes Lynx108-52
08/11/24ACornell86-88
05/11/24HMississippi Coll.100-58
22/03/24AKansas89-93
11/03/24HEast Tennessee St76-69
10/03/24HFurman84-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/24HWest Georgia77-74
23/11/24AMurray State77-75
14/11/24ANorth Dakota71-77
09/11/24HUTEP89-60
05/11/24HWestern Colorado92-57
14/03/24HCalifornia Baptist63-74 OT
09/03/24AAbilene Christian74-67
08/03/24ATarleton63-60
02/03/24HUT Arlington65-78
24/02/24HStephen F. Austin71-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samford
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%100%33%
Points / game95.1102.086.0
Allowed / game79.672.589.0
Point differential+15.6+29.5-3.0
Avg total174.7174.5175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %29%25%33%
Utah Valley State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game81.286.074.0
Allowed / game68.663.776.0
Point differential+12.6+22.3-2.0
Avg total149.8149.7150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman770100%83.658.0+25.6
2 Samford75271%95.179.6+15.6
3 East Tennessee St75271%78.065.9+12.1
4 Chattanooga Mocs85362%73.872.5+1.2
5 Citadel74357%76.167.7+8.4
6 NC Greensboro63350%72.264.2+8.0
7 VMI84450%76.672.2+4.4
8 Mercer73443%84.373.6+10.7
9 Western Carolina52340%75.873.0+2.8
10 Wofford72529%73.374.4-1.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State54180%81.268.6+12.6
2 Southern Utah86275%78.971.0+7.9
3 Abilene Christian74357%79.373.0+6.3
4 California Baptist74357%79.176.4+2.7
5 UT Arlington73443%79.975.6+4.3
6 Utah Tech82625%68.174.5-6.4
7 Tarleton61517%59.082.0-23.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Samford384684
Utah Valley State433376
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