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Samobor vs Kastela Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 66-86
20-21 12-21 19-23 15-21
Position#11
Record1-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Kastela 🏆
Croatia
Position#3
Record4-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game74.7
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 8
Other2022-23
Meetings · Samobor v Kastela
16 Mar 2025
SAMO95
KAST83
11 Nov 2023
SAMO52
KAST89
19 Nov 2022
SAMO66
KAST86
05 Feb 2022
SAMO65
KAST81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kastela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#6
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A22/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#8
W
92-75
92
75
+17
H30/04
Prva Liga
Medvescak
#12
W
90-81
90
81
+9
A08/05
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H01/10
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H09/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A15/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
82-100
82
100
-18
H22/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A29/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H05/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
L
79-92
79
92
-13
A13/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
17-19
29-23
13-24
29-18
18-19
27-21
18-17
25-20
22-19
20-26
23-16
18-22
17-19
10-12
16-12
18-17
24-19
22-18
10-18
20-17
23-25
10-25
19-16
18-30
14-24
26-24
24-22
11-13
22-24
19-15
9-16
11-17
16-22
24-29
23-17
15-23
22-21
26-24
16-24
156.1Avg total
75.7Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)71.980.7152.6-8.914%
Season at home (4)72.880.5153.2-7.825%
Season away (3)70.781.0151.7-10.30%
Last 10 (10)75.780.4156.1-4.730%
Last 5 (5)73.685.6159.2-12.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)72.282.8155.1-10.615%
vs Similar (8)78.280.8159.0-2.538%
vs Weaker (9)77.766.1143.8+11.678%
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#3
L
60-85
60
85
-25
H22/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#7
L
76-77
76
77
-1
H30/04
Prva Liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#1
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A07/05
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
75-61
75
61
+14
A01/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H09/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
W
89-60
89
60
+29
A16/10
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
L
77-80 OT
77
80
-3
A22/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
102-65
102
65
+37
H29/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A06/11
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
65-99
65
99
-34
H13/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
12-28
21-17
11-22
16-12
12-22
18-18
30-25
14-23
15-18
19-19
18-12
21-16
19-18
17-12
18-15
16-23
22-22
14-15
28-23
27-20
18-11
22-20
22-9
16-16
19-14
18-13
16-26
30-20
29-20
30-15
13-10
34-21
15-22
22-9
12-23
18-33
17-29
13-19
17-18
153.0Avg total
77.3Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.674.7156.3+6.957%
Season at home (3)82.382.3164.7+0.033%
Season away (4)81.069.0150.0+12.075%
Last 10 (10)77.375.7153.0+1.640%
Last 5 (5)83.275.8159.0+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)72.881.6154.4-8.827%
vs Similar (7)77.075.1152.1+1.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)88.470.4158.9+18.0100%
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
SamoborKastela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#6
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A22/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#8
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H30/04
Prva Liga
Medvescak
#12
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A08/05
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H01/10
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H09/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A15/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H22/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A29/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H05/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A13/11
Prva Liga
77.8Avg total
37.3Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.739.275.9-2.533%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.637.472.0-2.838%-
Last 30 away (14)39.141.380.4-2.129%-
Last 10 (10)37.340.577.8-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)34.443.277.6-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.544.179.6-8.515%-
vs Similar (8)38.539.077.5-0.538%-
vs Weaker (9)36.932.369.2+4.656%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#3
L
28-46
28
46
-18
H22/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#7
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H30/04
Prva Liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#1
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A07/05
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A01/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H09/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A16/10
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A22/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H29/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A06/11
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
35-62
35
62
-27
H13/11
Prva Liga
79.2Avg total
38.6Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.741.080.7-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.942.183.0-1.244%-
Last 30 away (14)38.439.678.0-1.350%-
Last 10 (10)38.640.679.2-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)44.641.285.8+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.645.380.9-9.720%-
vs Similar (7)39.636.375.9+3.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)47.438.085.4+9.486%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Samobor wins
2
Kastela wins
DateGameScore
05/02/22Samobor v Kastela65-81
07/11/21Kastela v Samobor71-66
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/22AHermes79-92
05/11/22HOsijek74-85
29/10/22AOmis61-68
22/10/22HKK Zagreb82-100
15/10/22AJazine72-83
09/10/22HStoja74-72
01/10/22HKvarner61-65
08/05/22AMedvescak90-81
30/04/22HJazine92-75
22/04/22AKvarner72-83
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/22HDubrovnik65-99
06/11/22AMladost83-75
29/10/22HSonik Puntamika102-65
22/10/22AKvarner77-80 OT
16/10/22AHermes89-60
09/10/22HOsijek80-83
01/10/22AOmis75-61
07/05/22ADinamo Zagreb66-72
30/04/22HOmis76-77
22/04/22HDubrovnik60-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Prva Liga 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game71.972.870.7
Allowed / game80.780.581.0
Point differential-8.9-7.8-10.3
Avg total152.6153.2151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kastela
Prva Liga 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%33%75%
Points / game81.682.381.0
Allowed / game74.782.369.0
Point differential+6.9+0.0+12.0
Avg total156.3164.7150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dubrovnik76186%86.171.0+15.1
2 Osijek75271%89.372.6+16.7
3 Kvarner75271%78.168.4+9.7
4 Omis75271%82.175.3+6.9
5 KK Zagreb75271%81.981.1+0.7
6 Kastela74357%81.674.7+6.9
7 Mladost63350%85.788.7-3.0
8 Jazine73443%78.382.3-4.0
9 Hermes73443%79.785.9-6.1
10 Stoja71614%83.491.0-7.6
11 Samobor71614%71.980.7-8.9
12 Sonik Puntamika6060%62.293.5-31.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samobor2012191566
Kastela2121232186
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