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Samobor vs Kastela Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 52-89
8-30 1-25 21-17 22-17
Position#5
Record3-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Kastela 🏆
Croatia
Position#6
Record2-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game80.6
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 6· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2023-24
Meetings · Samobor v Kastela
16 Mar 2025
SAMO95
KAST83
11 Nov 2023
SAMO52
KAST89
19 Nov 2022
SAMO66
KAST86
05 Feb 2022
SAMO65
KAST81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kastela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Hermes
#6
L
89-92
89
92
-3
no box
H20/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
99-111
99
111
-12
no box
A26/04
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
W
91-79
91
79
+12
no box
H29/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
94-73
94
73
+21
no box
H10/05
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
75-84
75
84
-9
no box
A13/05
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
70-91
70
91
-21
61avg 75
A08/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
75-84
75
84
-9
72avg 75
H12/10
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
88-73
88
73
+15
81avg 75
A22/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
89-82
89
82
+7
86avg 75
A27/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
81-79
81
79
+2
73avg 75
A04/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
25-17
14-29
29-22
26-31
20-29
30-25
23-26
23-22
25-18
21-23
22-16
30-12
16-22
26-18
22-21
16-24
20-21
20-21
19-18
17-21
23-22
17-28
13-20
19-25
18-23
20-22
18-14
25-11
21-20
20-21
22-21
22-19
15-28
29-12
23-23
14-22
19-24
23-15
25-18
169.9Avg total
85.1Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.681.8162.4-1.260%
Season at home (1)75.084.0159.0-9.00%
Season away (4)82.081.2163.2+0.875%
Last 10 (10)85.184.8169.9+0.350%
Last 5 (5)80.681.8162.4-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)74.688.4163.0-13.814%
vs Similar ◀ (1)75.084.0159.0-9.00%
vs Weaker (7)85.977.7163.6+8.186%
This opponent (Kastela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
W
61-58
61
58
+3
no box
A10/05
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
67-86
67
86
-19
no box
A13/05
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
74-91
74
91
-17
no box
H17/05
Prva Liga
Zabok
#10
L
70-83
70
83
-13
no box
H24/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#10
W
91-86
91
86
+5
no box
A27/05
Premijer liga
Jazine
#7
L
89-90
89
90
-1
74avg 79
A08/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
85-72
85
72
+13
76avg 79
H15/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
74-79
74
79
-5
73avg 79
H21/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
80-86
80
86
-6
73avg 79
H28/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
98-76
98
76
+22
98avg 79
A04/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
16-12
9-11
23-15
11-29
20-14
21-21
15-22
14-16
14-25
24-22
22-28
18-21
15-14
20-29
17-19
14-23
27-20
23-19
27-24
20-26
34-20
22-20
13-24
20-20
25-20
18-14
22-18
20-21
24-23
16-17
14-18
32-21
18-19
13-21
17-25
23-30
22-17
25-14
28-15
159.6Avg total
78.9Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.280.6165.8+4.640%
Season at home (3)79.779.0158.7+0.733%
Season away (2)93.583.0176.5+10.550%
Last 10 (10)78.980.7159.6-1.840%
Last 5 (5)85.280.6165.8+4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.778.1150.8-5.433%
vs Similar ◀ (6)81.380.5161.8+0.850%
vs Weaker (15)82.671.3153.9+11.393%
This opponent (Samobor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
SamoborKastela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hermes
#6
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H20/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
46-60
46
60
-14
A26/04
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H29/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H10/05
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A13/05
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A08/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H12/10
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A22/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A27/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A04/11
Prva Liga
85.0Avg total
41.5Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.543.180.6-5.630%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.241.579.6-3.338%-
Last 30 away (17)36.944.481.3-7.424%-
Last 10 (10)41.543.585.0-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.643.081.6-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)36.344.480.7-8.023%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)37.048.085.0-11.00%-
vs Weaker (7)41.138.479.6+2.757%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A10/05
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A13/05
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H17/05
Prva Liga
Zabok
#10
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H24/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#10
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A27/05
Premijer liga
Jazine
#7
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A08/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H15/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H21/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H28/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A04/11
Prva Liga
81.1Avg total
40.0Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.477.8+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.435.775.1+3.869%-
Last 30 away (14)39.441.480.8-2.129%-
Last 10 (10)40.041.181.1-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)47.643.491.0+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.439.774.1-5.211%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.039.379.3+0.750%-
vs Weaker (15)42.137.279.3+4.973%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.822.4
51.1%
52.9%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.86.6
26.6%
32.9%19.8
🏀 Free throws22.015.2
69.1%
71.2%15.2
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.419.6
53.8%
52.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.611.6
35.6%
32.9%34.8
🏀 Free throws13.810.4
75.4%
71.2%10.4
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
WWWLLLWWLL
Kastela
WLLWLWLLLW
#5
League position
#6
-3.4
Net rating
+3.4
97.5
Offensive rating
109.1
100.9
Defensive rating
105.7
47.1%
Effective FG%
53.6%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
24.5%
Turnover %
16.7%
40.3%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.20
26.6%
3-point %
35.6%
56.6%
Assist %
68.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.5 · 109.1Defence100.9 · 105.7Shooting47.1% · 53.6%3-point %26.6% · 35.6%Ball care24.5% · 16.7%Off. rebounds40.3% · 27.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Samobor   ■ Kastela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Samobor wins
4
Kastela wins
DateGameScore
19/02/23Kastela v Samobor103-65
19/11/22Samobor v Kastela66-86
05/02/22Samobor v Kastela65-81
07/11/21Kastela v Samobor71-66
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23AMarsonia81-79
27/10/23AMladost89-82
22/10/23APodstrana88-73
12/10/23HHermes75-84
08/10/23AKvarner70-91
13/05/23AJazine75-84
10/05/23HSonik Puntamika94-73
29/04/23HStoja91-79
26/04/23AMladost99-111
20/04/23HHermes89-92
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23AMladost98-76
28/10/23HHermes80-86
21/10/23HOsijek74-79
15/10/23HCrikvenica85-72
08/10/23AJazine89-90
27/05/23AZabok91-86
24/05/23HZabok70-83
17/05/23HDubrovnik74-91
13/05/23ADubrovnik67-86
10/05/23AOmis61-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeL0%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %60%0%75%
Points / game80.675.082.0
Allowed / game81.884.081.2
Point differential-1.2-9.0+0.8
Avg total162.4159.0163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kastela
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game85.279.793.5
Allowed / game80.679.083.0
Point differential+4.6+0.7+10.5
Avg total165.8158.7176.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner660100%95.574.7+20.8
2 Osijek65183%87.375.0+12.3
3 KK Zagreb54180%83.065.8+17.2
4 Gorica64267%80.573.7+6.8
5 Omis64267%78.774.0+4.7
6 Samobor53260%80.681.8-1.2
7 Hermes63350%86.389.0-2.7
8 Kastela52340%85.280.6+4.6
9 Jazine52340%88.496.2-7.8
10 Stoja51420%85.893.8-8.0
11 Marsonia51420%77.085.2-8.2
12 Mladost51420%81.493.0-11.6
13 Podstrana51420%72.488.2-15.8
14 Crikvenica61517%70.787.0-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samobor81212252
Kastela3025171789
← all games of the day
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