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Sampaense vs Benfica Lisboa B Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 06 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record3-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Position#15
Record1-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game74.5
PortugalProligaRound 18· Pavilhao Comendador Serafim Marques
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sampaense v Benfica Lisboa B
06 Feb 2027
SAMP v BENF
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
SAMP67
BENF77
29 Mar 2025
SAMP85
BENF71
23 Mar 2024
SAMP69
BENF71
18 Mar 2023
SAMP78
BENF85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sampaense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica Lisboa B win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Sampaense
6.2out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 73.8
87.6▲ 13.8
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 79.8
81.6▲ 1.8
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 56%
66%▲ 10%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 13.1
17.4▲ 4.3
🔥 Form · Benfica Lisboa B
6.1out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 72.0
72.0▲ 0.0
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 71.8
70.6▼ 1.2
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 47%
50%▲ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 13.6
15.4▲ 1.8
SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#3
L
60-87
60
87
-27
A29/03
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
77-72
77
72
+5
A04/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H19/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A25/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H02/05
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#10
L
82-90
82
90
-8
A03/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H10/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#15
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A18/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#11
W
99-70
99
70
+29
H24/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
105-99
105
99
+6
H30/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-25
16-20
18-23
16-19
20-13
15-14
19-4
23-41
21-20
22-20
26-22
18-18
14-24
21-13
20-25
23-26
22-24
16-18
29-15
18-24
20-24
19-23
21-22
22-21
21-21
18-18
22-21
24-20
15-15
18-15
16-24
18-15
26-18
21-12
26-20
26-20
33-20
21-32
24-28
27-19
164.1Avg total
82.5Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.681.6169.2+6.060%
Season at home (3)96.383.0179.3+13.3100%
Season away (2)74.579.5154.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)82.581.6164.1+0.960%
Last 5 (5)87.681.6169.2+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)67.880.5148.3-12.624%
vs Similar (2)68.576.5145.0-8.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)79.973.5153.4+6.573%
This opponent (Benfica Lisboa B) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Benfica Lisboa BPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#10
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A21/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A28/03
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A04/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H19/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
L
80-94
80
94
-14
A26/04
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
100-55
100
55
+45
H02/05
Proliga
CB Queluz
#5
L
59-65
59
65
-6
H04/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#9
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A10/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#8
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H18/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
68-90
68
90
-22
A24/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
17-22
17-9
22-13
11-16
14-15
13-21
13-8
21-30
17-13
17-16
18-19
11-17
19-17
17-14
16-11
20-25
22-20
15-24
23-25
21-14
27-19
22-11
30-11
14-13
21-19
13-9
11-24
22-23
18-17
14-23
10-13
15-15
15-18
24-16
15-18
26-16
9-24
20-30
13-20
141.5Avg total
70.4Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)65.074.5139.5-9.525%
Season at home (2)64.066.0130.0-2.050%
Season away (2)66.083.0149.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)70.471.1141.5-0.740%
Last 5 (5)72.070.6142.6+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)70.476.7147.1-6.421%
vs Similar (6)64.570.3134.8-5.833%
vs Weaker (10)74.768.4143.1+6.350%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.9+0.9
SampaenseBenfica Lisboa B
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#3
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A29/03
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A04/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H19/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A25/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H02/05
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#10
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A03/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H10/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#15
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A18/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#11
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H24/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H30/10
Proliga
77.8Avg total
38.9Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.037.673.6-1.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.738.379.1+2.460%-
Last 30 away (15)31.236.968.1-5.733%-
Last 10 (10)38.938.977.8+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.682.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)32.839.672.4-6.824%-
vs Similar (2)36.537.073.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.734.675.4+6.182%-
This opponent (Benfica Lisboa B) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Benfica Lisboa BLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#10
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A21/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A28/03
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A04/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H19/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A26/04
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H02/05
Proliga
CB Queluz
#5
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H04/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#9
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A10/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#8
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H18/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A24/10
Proliga
73.7Avg total
36.1Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.437.972.3-3.523%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.234.869.0-0.633%-
Last 30 away (15)34.541.075.5-6.513%-
Last 10 (10)36.137.673.7-1.520%-
Last 5 (5)37.635.673.2+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)33.639.673.3-6.021%-
vs Similar (6)31.039.070.0-8.00%-
vs Weaker (10)37.434.872.2+2.640%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.821.2
57.6%
53.0%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.8
36.4%
30.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.614.6
64.6%
66.9%14.6
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benfica Lisboa Btheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica Lisboa B: 70.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.617.3
43.7%
53.0%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.6
31.4%
30.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.113.0
61.6%
66.9%13.0
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sampaense
WWLWLWLWWL
Benfica Lisboa B
LWLLWLWLLW
#8
League position
#15
+6.6
Net rating
-0.1
99.4
Offensive rating
80.9
92.8
Defensive rating
81.1
56.5%
Effective FG%
45.0%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
15.7%
Turnover %
17.7%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.4%
3-point %
31.4%
52.1%
Assist %
55.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 80.9Defence92.8 · 81.1Shooting56.5% · 45.0%3-point %36.4% · 31.4%Ball care15.7% · 17.7%Free throws0.39 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Sampaense   ■ Benfica Lisboa B
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Sampaense wins
6
Benfica Lisboa B wins
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HAcademica105-99
24/10/26HIlliabum99-70
18/10/26ABenfica Lisboa B67-69
10/10/26HSangalhos85-80
03/10/26AVasco Da Gama82-90
02/05/26HAcademica85-81
25/04/26AGalomar78-88
19/04/26HSanto Andre87-80
04/04/26ASangalhos77-72
29/03/26ALusitania60-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26AGalitos Aveiro68-90
18/10/26HSampaense69-67
10/10/26AGalitos Barreiro64-76
04/10/26HCB Queluz59-65
02/05/26HSangalhos100-55
26/04/26ACB Queluz80-94
19/04/26HAcademica63-59
04/04/26AGalomar73-78
28/03/26ASanto Andre51-60
21/03/26ASampaense77-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sampaense
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game87.696.374.5
Allowed / game81.683.079.5
Point differential+6.0+13.3-5.0
Avg total169.2179.3154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Benfica Lisboa B
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game65.064.066.0
Allowed / game74.566.083.0
Point differential-9.5-2.0-17.0
Avg total139.5130.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos43175%74.260.0+14.2
2 Lusitania43175%78.870.2+8.5
3 Galitos Aveiro43175%77.272.2+5.0
4 Santo Andre43175%77.572.8+4.8
5 CB Queluz43175%71.870.2+1.5
6 Galomar32167%79.768.7+11.0
7 Maia32167%82.081.7+0.3
8 Sampaense53260%87.681.6+6.0
9 Galitos Barreiro42250%71.573.2-1.8
10 Vasco Da Gama42250%83.084.8-1.8
11 Illiabum42250%71.876.2-4.5
12 Ginasio Olhanense41325%83.890.0-6.2
13 Barcelos41325%67.075.8-8.8
14 Barreirense41325%74.583.5-9.0
15 Benfica Lisboa B41325%65.074.5-9.5
16 Academica5050%79.286.0-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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