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San Diego State vs Florida Atlantic Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 22:09
Final 72-71
33-40 39-31
Position#10
Record31-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game62.9
San Diego State 🏆
USA
vs
Florida Atlantic
USA
Position#6
Record35-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game65.1
USANCAANCAA - Semi-finals
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Diego State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida Atlantic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#70
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A26/02
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A01/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
67-50
67
50
+17
H05/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H09/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
64-49
64
49
+15
H11/03
NCAA
Utah State
#41
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H11/03
NCAA
Charleston
#8
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H16/03
NCAA
Furman
#22
W
75-52
75
52
+23
H18/03
NCAA
Alabama
#11
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A24/03
NCAA
Creighton
#83
W
57-56
57
56
+1
H26/03
NCAA
1H
2H
27-37
46-34
30-27
30-39
34-22
33-28
27-25
37-36
33-20
31-29
28-29
34-28
32-29
31-28
39-25
36-27
28-23
43-41
28-33
29-23
123.9Avg total
65.6Scored
58.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)71.562.9134.4+8.584%
Season at home (24)73.060.5133.6+12.592%
Season away (13)68.567.3135.8+1.269%
Last 10 (10)65.658.3123.9+7.390%
Last 5 (5)65.657.2122.8+8.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.060.5127.5+6.5100%
vs Similar ◀ (14)68.863.1131.9+5.771%
vs Weaker (14)71.958.5130.4+13.4100%
This opponent (Florida Atlantic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida AtlanticUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#250
W
75-49
75
49
+26
H25/02
NCAA
Rice
#164
W
103-74
103
74
+29
A03/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#237
W
76-72
76
72
+4
A05/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
W
75-51
75
51
+24
H09/03
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H10/03
NCAA
UAB
#44
W
78-56
78
56
+22
H12/03
NCAA
Memphis
#42
W
66-65
66
65
+1
A18/03
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#144
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H19/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A24/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A25/03
NCAA
1H
2H
32-21
43-28
57-28
46-46
38-43
38-29
30-20
45-31
37-25
31-40
46-27
32-29
31-35
35-30
32-25
46-45
22-27
40-28
42-38
37-38
139.3Avg total
76.0Scored
63.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)78.065.1143.1+12.992%
Season at home (21)80.763.5144.2+17.1100%
Season away (17)74.767.1141.8+7.682%
Last 10 (10)76.063.3139.3+12.7100%
Last 5 (5)72.664.4137.0+8.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)76.270.8147.0+5.575%
vs Weaker (26)77.564.4142.0+13.196%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: +7.8+7.82nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: +4.9+4.9
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: +7.8+7.82nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: +4.9+4.9
San Diego StateFlorida Atlantic
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#70
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A26/02
NCAA
Boise State
#57
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A01/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H05/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H09/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
33-20
33
20
+13
H11/03
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H11/03
NCAA
Charleston
#8
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H16/03
NCAA
Furman
#22
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H18/03
NCAA
Alabama
#11
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A24/03
NCAA
Creighton
#83
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H26/03
NCAA
57.6Avg total
30.6Scored
27.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.527.462.8+8.173%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.525.562.0+10.979%-
Last 30 away (11)33.730.564.3+3.264%-
Last 10 (10)30.627.057.6+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)31.027.858.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.026.056.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.729.564.2+5.257%-
vs Weaker (14)37.025.462.4+11.686%-
This opponent (Florida Atlantic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida AtlanticLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#250
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H25/02
NCAA
Rice
#164
W
57-28
57
28
+29
A03/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#237
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A05/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
W
30-20
30
20
+10
H09/03
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H10/03
NCAA
UAB
#44
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H12/03
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A18/03
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#144
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H19/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
22-27
22
27
-5
A24/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A25/03
NCAA
65.6Avg total
36.7Scored
28.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.030.167.1+6.973%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.228.566.8+9.782%-
Last 30 away (13)35.332.267.5+3.262%-
Last 10 (10)36.728.965.6+7.870%-
Last 5 (5)34.630.465.0+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)34.834.569.2+0.225%-
vs Weaker (26)37.329.466.7+7.981%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
San Diego State wins
0
Florida Atlantic wins
No previous meetings.
San Diego Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/23HCreighton57-56
24/03/23AAlabama71-64
18/03/23HFurman75-52
16/03/23HCharleston63-57
11/03/23HUtah State62-57
11/03/23HSan Jose State64-49
09/03/23HColorado State64-61
05/03/23HWyoming67-50
01/03/23ABoise State60-66
26/02/23ANew Mexico73-71
Florida Atlanticlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/23AKansas State79-76
24/03/23ATennessee62-55
19/03/23HFairleigh Dickinson78-70
18/03/23AMemphis66-65
12/03/23HUAB78-56
10/03/23HMiddle Tenn. St.68-65
09/03/23HWestern Kentucky75-51
05/03/23ALouisiana Tech76-72
03/03/23ARice103-74
25/02/23HUTEP75-49

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Diego State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW84%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWLW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games372413
Win %84%92%69%
Points / game71.573.068.5
Allowed / game62.960.567.3
Point differential+8.5+12.5+1.2
Avg total134.4133.6135.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%58%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won90% (10)83% (6)100% (4)
Overtime %5%4%8%
Florida Atlantic
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382117
Win %92%100%82%
Points / game78.080.774.7
Allowed / game65.163.567.1
Point differential+12.9+17.1+7.6
Avg total143.1144.2141.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%62%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won92% (12)100% (5)86% (7)
Overtime %5%5%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Diego State3731684%71.562.9+8.5
2 Utah State3526974%78.269.9+8.3
3 Boise State34241071%72.164.6+7.4
4 New Mexico33221167%81.274.0+7.2
5 Nevada33221167%72.667.8+4.8
6 Grand Canyon35231266%71.666.6+5.0
7 San Jose State33201361%67.566.6+0.9
8 UNLV32191359%74.270.0+4.2
9 Colorado State33151845%72.571.4+1.1
10 Air Force32141844%66.967.1-0.1
11 Fresno State31112035%63.765.6-1.9
12 Wyoming3192229%69.272.1-2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida Atlantic3835392%78.065.1+12.9
2 North Texas3326779%64.255.7+8.5
3 Memphis3526974%79.471.8+7.6
4 UAB3425974%81.470.8+10.6
5 Tulane31201165%79.977.2+2.8
6 Charlotte32181456%66.762.8+4.0
7 Rice33181555%76.776.4+0.3
8 Wichita State32171553%71.068.5+2.5
9 Temple32161650%69.670.2-0.6
10 East Carolina33161748%68.870.5-1.7
11 South Florida32141844%72.072.0+0.0
12 UTSA Roadrunners32102231%69.376.6-7.3
13 Tulsa3052517%65.377.4-12.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
San Diego State333972
Florida Atlantic403171
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