PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Alabama vs San Diego State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 64-71
23-28 41-43
Position#11
Record31-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game68.2
Alabama
USA
vs
San Diego State 🏆
USA
Position#10
Record29-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game63.1
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alabama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Diego State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#214
W
108-59
108
59
+49
H18/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
78-76 OT
78
76
+2
A23/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H25/02
NCAA
Auburn
#106
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
H02/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
61-67
61
67
-6
A04/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
W
72-49
72
49
+23
H10/03
NCAA
Missouri
#56
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H11/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
82-63
82
63
+19
H12/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
W
96-75
96
75
+21
H16/03
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
73-51
73
51
+22
H19/03
NCAA
1H
2H
54-25
54-34
31-35
37-33
28-37
58-46
33-40
42-35
22-32
39-35
41-21
31-28
31-29
41-32
34-23
48-40
54-34
42-41
28-23
45-28
148.7Avg total
81.8Scored
66.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)82.368.2150.5+14.186%
Season at home (23)86.967.7154.6+19.291%
Season away (13)74.269.1143.3+5.277%
Last 10 (10)81.866.9148.7+14.990%
Last 5 (5)79.059.8138.8+19.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)73.377.7151.0-4.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)83.668.1151.7+15.493%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#295
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A16/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H22/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A26/02
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A01/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
67-50
67
50
+17
H05/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H09/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
64-49
64
49
+15
H11/03
NCAA
Utah State
#41
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H11/03
NCAA
Charleston
#8
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H16/03
NCAA
Furman
#22
W
75-52
75
52
+23
H18/03
NCAA
1H
2H
23-25
22-18
41-26
36-32
27-37
46-34
30-27
30-39
34-22
33-28
27-25
37-36
33-20
31-29
28-29
34-28
32-29
31-28
39-25
36-27
121.4Avg total
65.0Scored
56.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)71.963.1135.0+8.883%
Season at home (23)73.760.7134.5+13.091%
Season away (12)68.367.6135.9+0.867%
Last 10 (10)65.056.4121.4+8.690%
Last 5 (5)65.655.2120.8+10.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)63.057.0120.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (15)70.164.9135.1+5.267%
vs Weaker (14)71.958.5130.4+13.4100%
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +5.7+5.71st half: +4.9+4.92nd half2nd half: +8.5+8.52nd half: +3.7+3.7
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +5.7+5.71st half: +4.9+4.92nd half2nd half: +8.5+8.52nd half: +3.7+3.7
AlabamaSan Diego State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#214
W
54-25
54
25
+29
H18/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A23/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H25/02
NCAA
Auburn
#106
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H02/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A04/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H10/03
NCAA
Missouri
#56
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H11/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H12/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H16/03
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
28-23
28
23
+5
H19/03
NCAA
65.5Avg total
35.6Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.330.868.1+6.563%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.729.369.0+10.579%-
Last 30 away (11)33.133.566.5-0.436%-
Last 10 (10)35.629.965.5+5.760%-
Last 5 (5)37.626.063.6+11.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)32.735.768.3-3.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)37.830.368.1+7.670%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#295
L
23-25
23
25
-2
A16/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H22/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A26/02
NCAA
Boise State
#57
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A01/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H05/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H09/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
33-20
33
20
+13
H11/03
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H11/03
NCAA
Charleston
#8
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H16/03
NCAA
Furman
#22
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H18/03
NCAA
57.9Avg total
31.4Scored
26.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.827.463.2+8.577%-
Last 30 at home (20)36.625.462.0+11.285%-
Last 30 away (10)34.331.365.6+3.060%-
Last 10 (10)31.426.557.9+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)31.825.657.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)32.029.061.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (15)35.029.164.1+5.967%-
vs Weaker (14)37.025.462.4+11.686%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alabama wins
0
San Diego State wins
No previous meetings.
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/23HMaryland73-51
16/03/23HTexas A&M-CC96-75
12/03/23HTexas A&M82-63
11/03/23HMissouri72-61
10/03/23HMississippi St.72-49
04/03/23ATexas A&M61-67
02/03/23HAuburn90-85 OT
25/02/23HArkansas86-83
23/02/23ASouth Carolina78-76 OT
18/02/23HGeorgia108-59
San Diego Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/23HFurman75-52
16/03/23HCharleston63-57
11/03/23HUtah State62-57
11/03/23HSan Jose State64-49
09/03/23HColorado State64-61
05/03/23HWyoming67-50
01/03/23ABoise State60-66
26/02/23ANew Mexico73-71
22/02/23HColorado State77-58
16/02/23AFresno State45-43

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alabama
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWLWL77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games362313
Win %86%91%77%
Points / game82.386.974.2
Allowed / game68.267.769.1
Point differential+14.1+19.2+5.2
Avg total150.5154.6143.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%70%54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %8%9%8%
San Diego State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games352312
Win %83%91%67%
Points / game71.973.768.3
Allowed / game63.160.767.6
Point differential+8.8+13.0+0.8
Avg total135.0134.5135.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%61%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won89% (9)80% (5)100% (4)
Overtime %6%4%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama3631586%82.368.2+14.1
2 Texas3628878%77.867.2+10.6
3 Texas A&M35251071%72.866.5+6.3
4 Missouri35251071%78.974.4+4.5
5 Tennessee36251169%70.857.9+12.9
6 Kentucky34221265%74.567.8+6.7
7 Auburn34211362%72.867.7+5.1
8 Arkansas36221461%74.167.9+6.1
9 Mississippi St.34201459%65.161.5+3.6
10 Vanderbilt34201459%72.572.1+0.4
11 Florida32161650%71.968.7+3.3
12 Georgia32161650%68.571.5-3.0
13 Oklahoma32151747%67.767.5+0.1
14 LSU33141942%67.670.7-3.1
15 Ole Miss33122136%67.569.1-1.6
16 South Carolina32112134%64.372.6-8.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Diego State3529683%71.963.1+8.8
2 Utah State3526974%78.269.9+8.3
3 Boise State34241071%72.164.6+7.4
4 New Mexico33221167%81.274.0+7.2
5 Nevada33221167%72.667.8+4.8
6 Grand Canyon35231266%71.666.6+5.0
7 San Jose State33201361%67.566.6+0.9
8 UNLV32191359%74.270.0+4.2
9 Colorado State33151845%72.571.4+1.1
10 Air Force32141844%66.967.1-0.1
11 Fresno State31112035%63.765.6-1.9
12 Wyoming3192229%69.272.1-2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Alabama234164
San Diego State284371
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.