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Boise State vs San Diego State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 66-60
27-30 39-30
Position#57
Record22-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game63.1
Boise State 🏆
USA
vs
San Diego State
USA
Position#10
Record23-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game64.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Boise State v San Diego State
23 Jan 2027
BOIS v SAN
upcoming
03 Mar 2026
BOIS86
SAN 77
04 Jan 2025
BOIS68
SAN 76
20 Jan 2024
BOIS67
SAN 66
28 Feb 2023
BOIS66
SAN 60
12 Mar 2022
BOIS53
SAN 52
22 Feb 2022
BOIS58
SAN 57
16 Feb 2020
BOIS55
SAN 72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boise State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Diego State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#70
L
79-81 OT
79
81
-2
A21/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
63-53
63
53
+10
H25/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
80-59
80
59
+21
H29/01
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A01/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
52-72
52
72
-20
A04/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H12/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
80-78
80
78
+2
A16/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H20/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H23/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
68-74 OT
68
74
-6
A26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-31
35-41
23-25
40-28
44-29
36-30
34-21
25-31
21-43
31-29
41-23
34-40
36-31
44-47
38-32
35-37
31-37
51-40
31-25
27-33
138.9Avg total
71.1Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)72.363.1135.3+9.276%
Season at home (16)75.260.4135.6+14.994%
Season away (13)68.666.4135.0+2.254%
Last 10 (10)71.167.8138.9+3.370%
Last 5 (5)75.672.2147.8+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)70.367.4137.6+2.957%
vs Weaker (16)72.859.4132.2+13.488%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#251
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A22/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H26/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
72-51
72
51
+21
H29/01
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A01/02
NCAA
Boise State
#57
W
72-52
72
52
+20
H04/02
NCAA
Utah State
#41
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A09/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H11/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A16/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H22/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-24
31-36
42-27
43-48
33-14
39-37
30-28
36-47
43-21
29-31
44-28
19-33
43-23
39-48
23-25
22-18
41-26
36-32
27-37
46-34
132.2Avg total
70.5Scored
61.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)73.664.9138.5+8.882%
Season at home (17)76.563.0139.5+13.588%
Season away (11)69.167.7136.8+1.473%
Last 10 (10)70.561.7132.2+8.890%
Last 5 (5)68.060.8128.8+7.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)70.667.6138.2+3.060%
vs Weaker (15)74.961.8136.7+13.193%
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +11.2+11.22nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: -2.4-2.4
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +11.2+11.22nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: -2.4-2.4
Boise StateSan Diego State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#70
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A21/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
L
23-25
23
25
-2
H25/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H29/01
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
34-21
34
21
+13
A01/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A04/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H12/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A16/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H20/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H23/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A26/02
NCAA
63.3Avg total
33.6Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.829.863.6+4.072%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.229.866.0+6.476%-
Last 30 away (12)30.429.760.1+0.867%-
Last 10 (10)33.629.763.3+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)35.429.665.0+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)31.632.864.4-1.254%-
vs Weaker (16)35.627.362.9+8.288%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#251
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A22/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H26/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
33-14
33
14
+19
H29/01
NCAA
Nevada
#74
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A01/02
NCAA
Boise State
#57
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H04/02
NCAA
Utah State
#41
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A09/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H11/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
L
23-25
23
25
-2
A16/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H22/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A26/02
NCAA
61.8Avg total
36.5Scored
25.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.428.765.1+7.870%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.826.664.4+11.283%-
Last 30 away (12)34.331.866.1+2.650%-
Last 10 (10)36.525.361.8+11.280%-
Last 5 (5)35.627.863.4+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)34.830.765.5+4.153%-
vs Weaker (15)38.126.764.7+11.487%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Boise State wins
6
San Diego State wins
DateGameScore
04/02/23San Diego State v Boise State72-52
12/03/22Boise State v San Diego State53-52
23/02/22Boise State v San Diego State58-57
23/01/22San Diego State v Boise State37-42
27/02/21San Diego State v Boise State62-58
26/02/21San Diego State v Boise State78-66 OT
07/03/20San Diego State v Boise State81-68
16/02/20Boise State v San Diego State55-72
12/01/20San Diego State v Boise State83-65
Boise Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/23ASan Jose State68-74 OT
23/02/23HNew Mexico82-77
20/02/23HUNLV73-69
16/02/23AColorado State80-78
12/02/23HWyoming75-63
04/02/23ASan Diego State52-72
01/02/23AAir Force59-52
29/01/23HColorado State80-59
25/01/23HFresno State63-53
21/01/23ANew Mexico79-81 OT
San Diego Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/23ANew Mexico73-71
22/02/23HColorado State77-58
16/02/23AFresno State45-43
11/02/23HUNLV82-71
09/02/23AUtah State63-61
04/02/23HBoise State72-52
01/02/23ANevada66-75
29/01/23HSan Jose State72-51
26/01/23HUtah State85-75
22/01/23AAir Force70-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boise State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL76%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayLWLWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %76%94%54%
Points / game72.375.268.6
Allowed / game63.160.466.4
Point differential+9.2+14.9+2.2
Avg total135.3135.6135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%69%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %7%0%15%
San Diego State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWLWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281711
Win %82%88%73%
Points / game73.676.569.1
Allowed / game64.963.067.7
Point differential+8.8+13.5+1.4
Avg total138.5139.5136.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%65%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)67% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %7%6%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Diego State2823582%73.664.9+8.8
2 Boise State2922776%72.363.1+9.2
3 Utah State2922776%78.470.0+8.4
4 Nevada3022873%72.766.3+6.3
5 New Mexico2920969%80.772.5+8.1
6 UNLV28171161%74.568.8+5.8
7 Grand Canyon28171161%69.864.7+5.0
8 San Jose State29171259%68.067.3+0.7
9 Air Force30141647%67.066.8+0.2
10 Colorado State29131645%73.371.7+1.6
11 Fresno State28101836%61.564.4-2.9
12 Wyoming2992031%69.671.7-2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Boise State273966
San Diego State303060
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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