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San Diego State vs St. Marys (CA) Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 79-54
34-33 45-21
Position#48
Record2-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game69.0
vs
Position#24
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game49.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · San Diego State v St. Marys (CA)
17 Nov 2023
SAN 79
ST. 54
17 Dec 2021
SAN 63
ST. 53
22 Dec 2020
SAN 74
ST. 49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Diego State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
St. Marys (CA) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#41
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H11/03
NCAA
Charleston
#8
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H16/03
NCAA
Furman
#22
W
75-52
75
52
+23
H18/03
NCAA
Alabama
#11
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A24/03
NCAA
Creighton
#83
W
57-56
57
56
+1
H26/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#6
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H01/04
NCAA
Uconn
#29
W
76-59
76
59
+17
H04/04
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#263
W
83-57
83
57
+26
H07/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A11/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-29
34-28
32-29
31-28
39-25
36-27
28-23
43-41
28-33
29-23
33-40
39-31
36-24
40-35
37-35
46-22
28-33
37-41
47-39
41-37
133.5Avg total
71.2Scored
62.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.769.0147.7+9.767%
Season at home (2)85.566.5152.0+19.0100%
Season away (1)65.074.0139.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)71.262.3133.5+8.990%
Last 5 (5)76.867.4144.2+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)68.863.5132.2+5.275%
vs Similar (12)68.864.8133.6+4.175%
vs Weaker (14)72.960.6133.6+12.3100%
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Marys (CA)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brigham Young
#156
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H19/02
NCAA
Pacific
#242
W
83-52
83
52
+31
H24/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A26/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#156
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H07/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
51-77
51
77
-26
H08/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#26
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H17/03
NCAA
Uconn
#29
L
55-70
55
70
-15
A19/03
NCAA
California State-Stanislaus Warriors
#642
W
107-28
107
28
+79
H07/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H10/11
NCAA
Weber State
#101
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-27
38-38
48-31
35-21
26-39
42-38
37-20
39-49
19-37
32-40
29-28
34-23
30-31
25-39
50-11
57-17
40-25
32-33
37-26
20-35
131.1Avg total
70.3Scored
60.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.749.0127.7+29.767%
Season at home (3)78.749.0127.7+29.767%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.360.8131.1+9.560%
Last 5 (5)70.853.6124.4+17.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.053.0101.0-5.00%
vs Similar (7)64.067.9131.9-3.943%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)73.757.7131.4+16.086%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: +7.4+7.42nd half2nd half: +6.3+6.32nd half: +2.1+2.1
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: +7.4+7.42nd half2nd half: +6.3+6.32nd half: +2.1+2.1
San Diego StateSt. Marys (CA)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#41
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H11/03
NCAA
Charleston
#8
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H16/03
NCAA
Furman
#22
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H18/03
NCAA
Alabama
#11
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A24/03
NCAA
Creighton
#83
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H26/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#6
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H01/04
NCAA
Uconn
#29
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H04/04
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#263
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H07/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A11/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H15/11
NCAA
64.6Avg total
33.6Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.928.563.4+6.573%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.027.463.4+8.679%-
Last 30 away (11)33.130.463.5+2.764%-
Last 10 (10)33.631.064.6+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)36.234.270.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)31.027.258.2+3.875%-
vs Similar (12)34.730.064.7+4.758%-
vs Weaker (14)36.327.563.8+8.886%-
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Marys (CA)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brigham Young
#156
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H19/02
NCAA
Pacific
#242
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H24/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#156
W
37-20
37
20
+17
H07/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
19-37
19
37
-18
H08/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#26
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H17/03
NCAA
Uconn
#29
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A19/03
NCAA
California State-Stanislaus Warriors
#642
W
50-11
50
11
+39
H07/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H10/11
NCAA
Weber State
#101
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H13/11
NCAA
62.4Avg total
34.9Scored
27.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.226.759.9+6.566%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.425.960.3+8.672%-
Last 30 away (11)31.228.159.3+3.155%-
Last 10 (10)34.927.562.4+7.470%-
Last 5 (5)37.224.261.4+13.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)20.031.051.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (7)26.632.759.3-6.114%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)36.024.560.6+11.586%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
San Diego State wins
1
St. Marys (CA) wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23HLong Beach State88-76
11/11/23ABrigham Young65-74
07/11/23HCS Fullerton83-57
04/04/23HUconn76-59
01/04/23HFlorida Atlantic72-71
26/03/23HCreighton57-56
24/03/23AAlabama71-64
18/03/23HFurman75-52
16/03/23HCharleston63-57
11/03/23HUtah State62-57
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/23HWeber State57-61
10/11/23HNew Mexico72-58
07/11/23HCalifornia State-Stanislaus Warriors107-28
19/03/23AUconn55-70
17/03/23HVCU Rams63-51
08/03/23HGonzaga51-77
07/03/23HBrigham Young76-69
26/02/23AGonzaga68-77
24/02/23HPacific83-52
19/02/23HBrigham Young71-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Diego State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game78.785.565.0
Allowed / game69.066.574.0
Point differential+9.7+19.0-9.0
Avg total147.7152.0139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
St. Marys (CA)
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWWL67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game78.778.7-
Allowed / game49.049.0-
Point differential+29.7+29.7-
Avg total127.7127.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nevada330100%82.759.3+23.3
2 Grand Canyon330100%84.364.7+19.7
3 Boise State220100%76.056.5+19.5
4 Colorado State440100%88.268.8+19.5
5 Wyoming43175%80.065.2+14.8
6 Utah State32167%86.768.0+18.7
7 San Diego State32167%78.769.0+9.7
8 New Mexico32167%77.369.0+8.3
9 Fresno State32167%77.771.0+6.7
10 Air Force53260%70.064.6+5.4
11 San Jose State42250%75.567.2+8.2
12 UNLV21150%71.070.0+1.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gonzaga220100%104.564.0+40.5
2 Washington State220100%83.562.0+21.5
3 Oregon State330100%81.365.7+15.7
4 Santa Clara330100%82.768.3+14.3
5 Pepperdine43175%79.562.2+17.2
6 Portland43175%77.071.2+5.8
7 St. Marys (CA)32167%78.749.0+29.7
8 Loyola Marymount32167%92.372.3+20.0
9 San Diego Toreros32167%72.764.7+8.0
10 Seattle32167%67.363.3+4.0
11 San Francisco42250%85.562.5+23.0
12 Pacific31233%61.077.0-16.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
San Diego State344579
St. Marys (CA)332154
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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