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San Diego State vs Utah State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 66-67
43-32 23-35
Position#65
Record8-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game63.2
vs
Position#28
Record11-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game65.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · San Diego State v Utah State
25 Feb 2026
SAN 89
UTAH72
28 Dec 2024
SAN 66
UTAH67
03 Feb 2024
SAN 81
UTAH67
11 Mar 2023
SAN 62
UTAH57
25 Jan 2023
SAN 85
UTAH75
15 Feb 2022
SAN 75
UTAH56
13 Mar 2021
SAN 68
UTAH57
07 Mar 2020
SAN 56
UTAH59
01 Feb 2020
SAN 80
UTAH68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Diego State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego
#11
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Occidental
#641
W
100-49
100
49
+51
H13/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#37
L
67-80
67
80
-13
H19/11
NCAA
Creighton
#59
W
71-53
71
53
+18
A26/11
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H27/11
NCAA
Houston
#9
W
73-70 OT
73
70
+3
A01/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
84-62
84
62
+22
A05/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#360
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H08/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H12/12
NCAA
California
#268
W
71-50
71
50
+21
H22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
24-22
39-36
54-17
46-32
31-40
36-40
32-28
39-25
31-41
37-37
25-30
40-35
29-24
55-38
33-31
41-26
40-33
41-42
25-16
46-34
138.4Avg total
75.2Scored
63.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.263.2138.4+12.080%
Season at home (7)74.963.9138.7+11.071%
Season away (3)76.061.7137.7+14.3100%
Last 10 (10)75.263.2138.4+12.080%
Last 5 (5)76.662.8139.4+13.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)63.872.5136.2-8.850%
vs Similar ◀ (16)71.967.1138.9+4.850%
vs Weaker (10)78.259.2137.4+19.0100%
This opponent (Utah State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Westminster UT
#677
W
117-53
117
53
+64
H14/11
NCAA
Montana
#53
W
95-83
95
83
+12
H19/11
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
77-69
77
69
+8
A23/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#77
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A28/11
NCAA
North Texas
#36
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A29/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H05/12
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
W
92-62
92
62
+30
H08/12
NCAA
South Florida
#282
W
88-67
88
67
+21
H14/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H18/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A23/12
NCAA
1H
2H
65-25
52-28
49-35
46-48
33-37
44-32
25-30
47-37
23-25
38-32
32-29
38-38
42-28
50-34
37-31
51-36
39-32
34-43
39-27
36-41
148.8Avg total
82.0Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)85.365.7151.0+19.792%
Season at home (8)92.465.9158.2+26.588%
Season away (4)71.265.2136.5+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.066.8148.8+15.290%
Last 5 (5)79.667.8147.4+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.090.5160.5-20.50%
vs Similar ◀ (12)74.275.7149.8-1.558%
vs Weaker (15)84.967.5152.3+17.4100%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: +8.5+8.52nd half2nd half: +7.5+7.52nd half: +6.7+6.7
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: +8.5+8.52nd half2nd half: +7.5+7.52nd half: +6.7+6.7
San Diego StateUtah State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego
#11
W
24-22
24
22
+2
H07/11
NCAA
Occidental
#641
W
54-17
54
17
+37
H13/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#37
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H19/11
NCAA
Creighton
#59
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A26/11
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H27/11
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A01/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A05/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#360
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H08/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H12/12
NCAA
California
#268
W
25-16
25
16
+9
H22/12
NCAA
60.6Avg total
32.4Scored
28.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.129.862.9+3.353%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.829.764.5+5.171%-
Last 30 away (13)31.029.960.9+1.131%-
Last 10 (10)32.428.260.6+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)30.426.857.2+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)27.833.060.8-5.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)32.332.664.9-0.331%-
vs Weaker (10)36.624.060.6+12.6100%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Westminster UT
#677
W
65-25
65
25
+40
H14/11
NCAA
Montana
#53
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H19/11
NCAA
Iowa
#192
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A23/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#77
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A28/11
NCAA
North Texas
#36
L
23-25
23
25
-2
A29/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H05/12
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H08/12
NCAA
South Florida
#282
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H14/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H18/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A23/12
NCAA
68.3Avg total
38.4Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.533.972.4+4.660%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.331.472.7+9.983%-
Last 30 away (12)34.437.772.1-3.225%-
Last 10 (10)38.429.968.3+8.570%-
Last 5 (5)37.829.467.2+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.040.576.5-4.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.036.771.7-1.742%-
vs Weaker (15)39.931.471.3+8.573%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
San Diego State wins
3
Utah State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24HCalifornia71-50
12/12/24HCalifornia Baptist81-75
08/12/24HSan Diego Toreros74-57
05/12/24AFresno State84-62
01/12/24AHouston73-70 OT
27/11/24HOregon68-78
26/11/24ACreighton71-53
19/11/24HGonzaga67-80
13/11/24HOccidental100-49
07/11/24HUC San Diego63-58
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/24ASt. Marys (CA)75-68
18/12/24HUC San Diego73-75
14/12/24HSouth Florida88-67
08/12/24HUtah Tech92-62
05/12/24HWyoming70-67
29/11/24ANorth Texas61-57
28/11/24ASt. Bonaventure72-67
23/11/24AIowa77-69
19/11/24HMontana95-83
14/11/24HWestminster UT117-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Diego State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeLLWWW71%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %80%71%100%
Points / game75.274.976.0
Allowed / game63.263.961.7
Point differential+12.0+11.0+14.3
Avg total138.4138.7137.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%43%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%33%
Utah State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW92%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %92%88%100%
Points / game85.392.471.2
Allowed / game65.765.965.2
Point differential+19.7+26.5+6.0
Avg total151.0158.2136.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1211192%85.365.7+19.7
2 San Diego State108280%75.263.2+12.0
3 Boise State1310377%78.966.2+12.7
4 New Mexico1310377%86.274.8+11.3
5 Grand Canyon128467%77.970.9+7.0
6 Nevada138562%75.566.2+9.3
7 Wyoming138562%73.170.8+2.3
8 UNLV116555%71.569.5+1.9
9 Colorado State137654%72.970.5+2.5
10 San Jose State147750%78.172.6+5.5
11 Fresno State124833%72.179.6-7.5
12 Air Force123925%65.769.4-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
San Diego State432366
Utah State323567
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