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Fresno State vs San Diego State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 62-84
24-29 38-55
Position#358
Record3-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game77.7
vs
Position#65
Record4-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game64.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Fresno State v San Diego State
04 Dec 2024
FRES62
SAN 84
24 Feb 2024
FRES41
SAN 73
15 Feb 2023
FRES43
SAN 45
19 Feb 2022
FRES44
SAN 61
20 Feb 2021
FRES57
SAN 75
18 Feb 2021
FRES53
SAN 67
14 Jan 2020
FRES55
SAN 64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Diego State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#243
L
47-86
47
86
-39
H10/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A13/03
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
75-87 OT
75
87
-12
A14/03
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
W
64-57
64
57
+7
H09/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
L
86-91
86
91
-5
A14/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
L
58-74
58
74
-16
A17/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
94-83
94
83
+11
H21/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A23/11
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A27/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
81-86 OT
81
86
-5
H28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-46
17-40
33-40
44-33
36-35
34-35
30-37
34-20
34-37
52-54
35-38
23-36
53-36
41-47
28-39
44-30
36-39
37-45
27-37
38-28
151.7Avg total
72.7Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.477.7153.1-2.343%
Season at home (3)79.775.3155.0+4.367%
Season away (4)72.279.5151.8-7.225%
Last 10 (10)72.779.0151.7-6.340%
Last 5 (5)75.679.2154.8-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)64.877.0141.7-12.29%
vs Similar (7)77.670.6148.1+7.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#39
L
61-68
61
68
-7
H16/03
NCAA
UAB
#77
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H22/03
NCAA
Yale
#51
W
85-57
85
57
+28
H25/03
NCAA
Uconn
#5
L
52-82
52
82
-30
A28/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Occidental
#641
W
100-49
100
49
+51
H13/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#37
L
67-80
67
80
-13
H19/11
NCAA
Creighton
#59
W
71-53
71
53
+18
A26/11
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H27/11
NCAA
Houston
#9
W
73-70 OT
73
70
+3
A01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-36
31-32
35-29
34-36
45-21
40-36
31-40
21-42
24-22
39-36
54-17
46-32
31-40
36-40
32-28
39-25
31-41
37-37
25-30
40-35
136.9Avg total
70.9Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)73.764.7138.3+9.067%
Season at home (4)74.566.2140.8+8.250%
Season away (2)72.061.5133.5+10.5100%
Last 10 (10)70.966.0136.9+4.960%
Last 5 (5)75.866.0141.8+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)63.872.5136.2-8.850%
vs Similar (18)71.867.9139.7+3.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)78.459.1137.5+19.2100%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -4.2-4.21st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +1.2+1.2
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -4.2-4.21st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +1.2+1.2
Fresno StateSan Diego State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#243
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H10/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A13/03
NCAA
Utah State
#17
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A14/03
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H09/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A14/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A17/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H21/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A23/11
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A27/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H28/11
NCAA
72.6Avg total
34.2Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.036.967.9-5.920%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.537.769.2-6.215%-
Last 30 away (17)30.636.266.9-5.624%-
Last 10 (10)34.238.472.6-4.220%-
Last 5 (5)35.837.873.6-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)29.737.667.3-8.013%-
vs Similar (7)35.434.469.9+1.043%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#39
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H16/03
NCAA
UAB
#77
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H22/03
NCAA
Yale
#51
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H25/03
NCAA
Uconn
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A28/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
W
24-22
24
22
+2
H07/11
NCAA
Occidental
#641
W
54-17
54
17
+37
H13/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#37
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H19/11
NCAA
Creighton
#59
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A26/11
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H27/11
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A01/12
NCAA
64.2Avg total
33.8Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.030.764.7+3.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.429.865.2+5.769%-
Last 30 away (14)32.431.964.2+0.529%-
Last 10 (10)33.830.464.2+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)34.631.265.8+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)27.833.060.8-5.225%-
vs Similar (18)32.732.665.3+0.133%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)40.025.465.4+14.6100%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fresno State wins
10
San Diego State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/24HCalifornia Baptist81-86 OT
27/11/24AWashington State73-84
23/11/24ALong Beach State72-69
21/11/24HPrairie View A&M94-83
17/11/24ACSU Bakersfield58-74
14/11/24AUC Santa Barbara86-91
09/11/24HSacramento State64-57
14/03/24AUtah State75-87 OT
13/03/24AWyoming77-73
10/03/24HWyoming47-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24AHouston73-70 OT
27/11/24HOregon68-78
26/11/24ACreighton71-53
19/11/24HGonzaga67-80
13/11/24HOccidental100-49
07/11/24HUC San Diego63-58
28/03/24AUconn52-82
25/03/24HYale85-57
22/03/24HUAB69-65
16/03/24HNew Mexico61-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL43%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game75.479.772.2
Allowed / game77.775.379.5
Point differential-2.3+4.3-7.2
Avg total153.1155.0151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %14%33%0%
San Diego State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game73.774.572.0
Allowed / game64.766.261.5
Point differential+9.0+8.2+10.5
Avg total138.3140.8133.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %17%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State880100%87.064.5+22.5
2 New Mexico97278%84.675.0+9.6
3 Boise State86275%82.267.6+14.6
4 Nevada86275%76.165.6+10.5
5 Grand Canyon75271%79.175.6+3.6
6 San Diego State64267%73.764.7+9.0
7 Colorado State85362%76.670.0+6.6
8 Wyoming85362%73.672.9+0.8
9 UNLV74357%74.071.1+2.9
10 Fresno State73443%75.477.7-2.3
11 San Jose State104640%71.069.9+1.1
12 Air Force92722%64.968.2-3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fresno State243862
San Diego State295584
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