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San Francisco vs Northwestern St. Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 84-64
50-31 34-33
Position#191
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game65.8
vs
Position#331
Record1-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game85.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Francisco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San FranciscoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon State
#104
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A27/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#37
L
75-95
75
95
-20
H02/03
NCAA
Washington State
#148
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H10/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#37
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A11/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#22
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H20/03
NIT
Loyola Chicago
#4
L
76-77
76
77
-1
H23/03
NIT
UC Santa Cruz
#566
W
98-53
98
53
+45
H04/11
NCAA
Memphis
#277
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A08/11
NCAA
Portland State
#87
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H13/11
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H16/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
33-31
0-0
41-41
0-0
31-46
0-0
44-49
0-0
34-32
0-0
52-43
0-0
37-35
0-0
39-50
0-0
37-32
0-0
42-38
0-0
32-36
0-0
44-41
0-0
51-15
0-0
47-38
0-0
22-36
0-0
48-40
0-0
36-20
0-0
44-50
0-0
36-37
0-0
39-27
152.6Avg total
78.9Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.865.8146.5+15.075%
Season at home (3)84.362.3146.7+22.0100%
Season away (1)70.076.0146.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)78.973.7152.6+5.260%
Last 5 (5)79.868.0147.8+11.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.778.8149.5-8.233%
vs Similar (10)73.872.9146.7+0.960%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)79.865.2144.9+14.692%
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#365
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A22/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A25/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H01/03
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H04/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H10/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A11/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
68-98
68
98
-30
A04/11
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
53-80
53
80
-27
A07/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
L
83-87 OT
83
87
-4
A12/11
NCAA
Ecclesia
#602
W
95-75
95
75
+20
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-24
34-42
32-37
40-32
23-30
38-26
37-26
36-31
38-28
28-35
25-42
39-41
35-56
33-42
20-28
33-52
33-36
44-41
50-32
45-43
144.2Avg total
70.8Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.885.0159.8-10.225%
Season at home (1)95.075.0170.0+20.0100%
Season away (3)68.088.3156.3-20.30%
Last 10 (10)70.873.4144.2-2.660%
Last 5 (5)72.684.6157.2-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)62.775.7138.4-13.030%
vs Similar (13)65.666.6132.2-1.054%
vs Weaker (7)76.972.4149.3+4.471%
This opponent (San Francisco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: -1.5-1.5
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: -1.5-1.5
San FranciscoNorthwestern St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San FranciscoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon State
#104
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A27/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#37
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H02/03
NCAA
Washington State
#148
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H10/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#37
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A11/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#22
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H20/03
NIT
Loyola Chicago
#4
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H23/03
NIT
UC Santa Cruz
#566
W
51-15
51
15
+36
H04/11
NCAA
Memphis
#277
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A08/11
NCAA
Portland State
#87
W
36-20
36
20
+16
H13/11
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H16/11
NCAA
66.9Avg total
34.9Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.232.067.1+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.831.267.1+4.659%-
Last 30 away (13)34.332.967.2+1.462%-
Last 10 (10)34.932.066.9+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)35.428.864.2+6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.234.868.0-1.733%-
vs Similar (10)32.632.164.7+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)37.930.568.5+7.477%-
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#365
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A22/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A25/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
23-30
23
30
-7
H01/03
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H04/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H10/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A11/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A04/11
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
20-28
20
28
-8
A07/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A12/11
NCAA
Ecclesia
#602
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H14/11
NCAA
67.1Avg total
33.2Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.131.963.1-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.531.165.6+3.562%-
Last 30 away (17)28.532.661.1-4.135%-
Last 10 (10)33.233.967.1-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)32.638.871.4-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)27.537.064.5-9.520%-
vs Similar (13)31.229.360.5+1.962%-
vs Weaker (7)36.129.665.7+6.657%-
This opponent (San Francisco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
San Francisco wins
0
Northwestern St. wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25HBradley75-64
13/11/25HPortland State80-70
08/11/25AMemphis70-76
04/11/25HUC Santa Cruz98-53
23/03/25HLoyola Chicago76-77
20/03/25HUtah Valley State79-70
11/03/25AGonzaga76-85
10/03/25HWashington State86-75
02/03/25HGonzaga75-95
27/02/25AOregon State74-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/25HEcclesia95-75
12/11/25ANorth Alabama83-87 OT
07/11/25ANorth Texas53-80
04/11/25ATexas A&M68-98
11/03/25AMcNeese State64-83
10/03/25HTexas A&M-CC66-63
04/03/25HIncarnate Word73-57
01/03/25HHouston Christian61-56
25/02/25ASE Louisiana72-69
22/02/25ANew Orleans73-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Francisco
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game80.884.370.0
Allowed / game65.862.376.0
Point differential+15.0+22.0-6.0
Avg total146.5146.7146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Northwestern St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game74.895.068.0
Allowed / game85.075.088.3
Point differential-10.2+20.0-20.3
Avg total159.8170.0156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %25%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gonzaga550100%94.057.8+36.2
2 St. Marys (CA)440100%85.258.2+27.0
3 Loyola Marymount660100%87.363.8+23.5
4 Santa Clara440100%86.867.8+19.0
5 San Francisco43175%80.865.8+15.0
6 Seattle43175%83.071.8+11.2
7 Pacific43175%78.568.2+10.2
8 San Diego Toreros43175%78.068.0+10.0
9 Portland43175%81.578.2+3.2
10 Oregon State43175%71.072.2-1.2
11 Pepperdine53260%87.079.4+7.6
12 Washington State41325%75.080.0-5.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin54180%85.671.2+14.4
2 McNeese State43175%103.564.0+39.5
3 Lamar32167%79.065.7+13.3
4 Houston Christian32167%68.769.7-1.0
5 New Orleans53260%83.078.6+4.4
6 Incarnate Word42250%84.574.2+10.2
7 UTRGV31233%85.378.0+7.3
8 Northwestern St.41325%74.885.0-10.2
9 Texas A&M-CC51420%66.674.4-7.8
10 SE Louisiana4040%59.572.8-13.2
11 Nicholls State4040%62.577.2-14.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
San Francisco503484
Northwestern St.313364
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