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Northwestern St. vs Incarnate Word Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 73-57
37-26 36-31
Position#198
Record15-15
FormLLWWW
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game68.3
vs
Position#190
Record16-14
FormLWWWW
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game68.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Northwestern St. v Incarnate Word
16 Jan 2027
NORT v INCA
upcoming
23 Feb 2026
NORT54
INCA49
03 Mar 2025
NORT73
INCA57
13 Jan 2024
NORT97
INCA71
01 Mar 2023
NORT81
INCA64
27 Jan 2022
NORT79
INCA70
07 Jan 2022
NORT83
INCA80
06 Jan 2021
NORT67
INCA75
12 Feb 2020
NORT70
INCA60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northwestern St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northwestern St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#123
L
59-69
59
69
-10
A28/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
L
50-72
50
72
-22
A01/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
79-63
79
63
+16
H04/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
50-65
50
65
-15
A08/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
W
72-60
72
60
+12
A11/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H15/02
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H18/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A22/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A25/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-28
26-41
23-27
27-45
37-23
42-40
15-25
35-40
27-33
45-27
31-40
37-30
35-29
30-46
39-24
34-42
32-37
40-32
23-30
38-26
131.4Avg total
64.9Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)68.868.3137.1+0.550%
Season at home (14)75.965.8141.6+10.164%
Season away (16)62.670.6133.2-7.938%
Last 10 (10)64.966.5131.4-1.650%
Last 5 (5)67.867.2135.0+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)64.072.1136.1-8.138%
vs Similar ◀ (14)65.168.5133.6-3.443%
vs Weaker (7)74.166.4140.6+7.771%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#365
W
74-58
74
58
+16
A28/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H01/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A04/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H08/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
55-69
55
69
-14
A15/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A18/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H22/02
NCAA
Lamar
#123
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H25/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
38-20
36-38
34-36
40-28
33-30
32-37
26-28
40-43
39-36
36-29
19-33
36-36
31-36
35-24
34-32
29-29
41-23
32-38
31-31
44-37
133.0Avg total
68.6Scored
64.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)73.668.7142.3+5.053%
Season at home (16)79.766.3146.0+13.469%
Season away (14)66.771.4138.1-4.636%
Last 10 (10)68.664.4133.0+4.270%
Last 5 (5)66.463.8130.2+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)58.472.2130.6-13.80%
vs Similar ◀ (10)70.875.3146.1-4.520%
vs Weaker (14)79.463.8143.2+15.693%
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +2.1+2.1
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +2.1+2.1
Northwestern St.Incarnate Word
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northwestern St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#123
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A28/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
L
23-27
23
27
-4
A01/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H04/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
15-25
15
25
-10
A08/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A11/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H15/02
NCAA
Lamar
#123
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H18/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A22/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A25/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
23-30
23
30
-7
H01/03
NCAA
59.1Avg total
29.5Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.330.361.6+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.430.064.4+4.450%-
Last 30 away (16)28.730.659.2-1.944%-
Last 10 (10)29.529.659.1-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)32.032.064.0+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)26.635.962.5-9.212%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)30.629.359.9+1.357%-
vs Weaker (7)34.726.661.3+8.157%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#365
W
38-20
38
20
+18
A28/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H01/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A04/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H08/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
19-33
19
33
-14
A15/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A18/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H22/02
NCAA
Lamar
#123
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H25/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A01/03
NCAA
63.1Avg total
32.6Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.132.467.6+2.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.631.770.2+6.969%-
Last 30 away (14)31.233.364.5-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)32.630.563.1+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)31.231.062.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)25.832.658.4-6.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)33.136.069.1-2.930%-
vs Weaker (14)39.129.969.0+9.379%-
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HHouston Christian61-56
25/02/25ASE Louisiana72-69
22/02/25ANew Orleans73-66
18/02/25HLamar65-75
15/02/25HStephen F. Austin68-70
11/02/25ANicholls State72-60
08/02/25AMcNeese State50-65
04/02/25HUTRGV79-63
01/02/25ATX A&M Commerce50-72
28/01/25ALamar59-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25ATX A&M Commerce75-68
25/02/25HLamar73-61
22/02/25HStephen F. Austin63-61
18/02/25AUTRGV66-60
15/02/25ATexas A&M-CC55-69
11/02/25HNew Orleans75-65
08/02/25HSE Louisiana66-71
04/02/25AMcNeese State65-67
01/02/25HHouston Christian74-64
28/01/25ANew Orleans74-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northwestern St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeWWLLW64%
AwayLLWWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %50%64%38%
Points / game68.875.962.6
Allowed / game68.365.870.6
Point differential+0.5+10.1-7.9
Avg total137.1141.6133.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%43%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)40% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Incarnate Word
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW53%
HomeWLWWW69%
AwayWLLWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %53%69%36%
Points / game73.679.766.7
Allowed / game68.766.371.4
Point differential+5.0+13.4-4.6
Avg total142.3146.0138.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%56%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)50% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State3125681%77.564.4+13.2
2 Nicholls State30191163%75.470.1+5.3
3 Lamar30181260%71.066.6+4.3
4 SE Louisiana30181260%72.769.5+3.2
5 Texas A&M-CC31181358%76.068.2+7.8
6 Incarnate Word30161453%73.668.7+5.0
7 UTRGV30151550%76.773.9+2.8
8 Northwestern St.30151550%68.868.3+0.5
9 Stephen F. Austin31141745%66.668.3-1.7
10 Houston Christian30121840%66.869.8-3.0
11 New Orleans3042613%69.782.0-12.3
12 TX A&M Commerce3042613%64.477.0-12.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northwestern St.373673
Incarnate Word263157
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