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McNeese State vs Northwestern St. Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 83-64
42-25 41-39
Position#20
Record25-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game64.4
McNeese State 🏆
USA
vs
Northwestern St.
USA
Position#198
Record17-15
FormWWWWW
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game67.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · McNeese State v Northwestern St.
05 Dec 2025
MCNE92
NORT54
11 Mar 2025
MCNE83
NORT64
08 Feb 2025
MCNE65
NORT50
29 Jan 2024
MCNE89
NORT65
05 Jan 2023
MCNE92
NORT77
09 Mar 2022
MCNE80
NORT67
05 Feb 2022
MCNE93
NORT84
09 Jan 2021
MCNE75
NORT78
11 Jan 2020
MCNE85
NORT76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

McNeese State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

McNeese StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#122
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A01/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H04/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
65-50
65
50
+15
H08/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
67-51
67
51
+16
H11/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
78-64
78
64
+14
A15/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A18/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H22/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
100-65
100
65
+35
H25/02
NCAA
Lamar
#123
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A02/03
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
95-64
95
64
+31
A04/03
NCAA
1H
2H
28-35
35-36
30-33
37-32
25-15
40-35
22-27
45-24
42-25
36-39
44-41
44-41
32-30
41-27
43-34
57-31
31-35
37-31
46-37
49-27
139.9Avg total
76.4Scored
63.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)77.564.4141.9+13.281%
Season at home (17)79.062.2141.2+16.888%
Season away (14)75.766.9142.6+8.871%
Last 10 (10)76.463.5139.9+12.990%
Last 5 (5)84.866.8151.6+18.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)67.366.5133.8+0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)80.263.2143.4+17.192%
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTRGV
#186
W
79-63
79
63
+16
H04/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
50-65
50
65
-15
A08/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
W
72-60
72
60
+12
A11/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H15/02
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H18/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A22/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A25/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H01/03
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H04/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
37-23
42-40
15-25
35-40
27-33
45-27
31-40
37-30
35-29
30-46
39-24
34-42
32-37
40-32
23-30
38-26
37-26
36-31
38-28
28-35
132.3Avg total
67.9Scored
64.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)68.867.8136.7+1.053%
Season at home (16)75.165.1140.1+10.069%
Season away (16)62.670.6133.2-7.938%
Last 10 (10)67.964.4132.3+3.570%
Last 5 (5)69.062.2131.2+6.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)64.169.2133.4-5.150%
vs Similar (15)65.767.7133.4-2.147%
vs Weaker (6)70.568.3138.8+2.267%
This opponent (McNeese State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: +9.8+9.82nd half: +1.6+1.6
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: +9.8+9.82nd half: +1.6+1.6
McNeese StateNorthwestern St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
McNeese StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#122
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A01/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H04/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
25-15
25
15
+10
H08/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
L
22-27
22
27
-5
H11/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A15/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A18/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H22/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H25/02
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A02/03
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A04/03
NCAA
65.5Avg total
34.3Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.329.265.4+7.173%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.027.563.5+8.582%-
Last 30 away (13)36.631.468.0+5.262%-
Last 10 (10)34.331.265.5+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.235.474.6+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)31.530.762.2+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)37.528.866.2+8.779%-
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTRGV
#186
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H04/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
15-25
15
25
-10
A08/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A11/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H15/02
NCAA
Lamar
#123
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H18/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A22/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A25/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
23-30
23
30
-7
H01/03
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H04/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H10/03
NCAA
60.9Avg total
31.4Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.330.161.3+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.830.364.1+3.553%-
Last 30 away (15)28.729.858.5-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)31.429.560.9+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)33.829.062.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)27.934.162.0-6.225%-
vs Similar (15)31.029.160.1+1.960%-
vs Weaker (6)32.327.860.2+4.550%-
This opponent (McNeese State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
McNeese State wins
2
Northwestern St. wins
DateGameScore
08/02/25McNeese State v Northwestern St.65-50
07/01/25Northwestern St. v McNeese State69-92
30/01/24McNeese State v Northwestern St.89-65
09/01/24Northwestern St. v McNeese State59-68
13/01/23Northwestern St. v McNeese State89-75
06/01/23McNeese State v Northwestern St.92-77
10/03/22McNeese State v Northwestern St.80-67
12/02/22Northwestern St. v McNeese State75-80
05/02/22McNeese State v Northwestern St.93-84
13/02/21Northwestern St. v McNeese State69-66
McNeese Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/25AStephen F. Austin95-64
02/03/25ALamar68-66
25/02/25HUTRGV100-65
22/02/25HTexas A&M-CC73-57
18/02/25ASE Louisiana88-82
15/02/25ANew Orleans78-64
11/02/25HTX A&M Commerce67-51
08/02/25HNorthwestern St.65-50
04/02/25HIncarnate Word67-65
01/02/25ANicholls State63-71
Northwestern St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/25HTexas A&M-CC66-63
04/03/25HIncarnate Word73-57
01/03/25HHouston Christian61-56
25/02/25ASE Louisiana72-69
22/02/25ANew Orleans73-66
18/02/25HLamar65-75
15/02/25HStephen F. Austin68-70
11/02/25ANicholls State72-60
08/02/25AMcNeese State50-65
04/02/25HUTRGV79-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

McNeese State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %81%88%71%
Points / game77.579.075.7
Allowed / game64.462.266.9
Point differential+13.2+16.8+8.8
Avg total141.9141.2142.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%65%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Northwestern St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW53%
HomeLLWWW69%
AwayLLWWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %53%69%38%
Points / game68.875.162.6
Allowed / game67.865.170.6
Point differential+1.0+10.0-7.9
Avg total136.7140.1133.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%44%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)50% (6)75% (4)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State3125681%77.564.4+13.2
2 Nicholls State32201262%74.669.9+4.7
3 Lamar31191261%70.866.2+4.6
4 Texas A&M-CC34201459%75.867.4+8.4
5 SE Louisiana32181456%72.669.8+2.9
6 Northwestern St.32171553%68.867.8+1.0
7 UTRGV31161552%76.774.0+2.7
8 Incarnate Word33171652%72.968.9+4.0
9 Stephen F. Austin31141745%66.668.3-1.7
10 Houston Christian32122038%66.069.4-3.4
11 TX A&M Commerce3152616%64.476.5-12.1
12 New Orleans3142713%69.582.5-13.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
McNeese State424183
Northwestern St.253964
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