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San Giovanni W vs Roseto W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 72-50
22-12 12-19 19-10 19-9
Position#5
Record6-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game64.4
Allowed / game62.7
San Giovanni W 🏆
Italy
vs
Roseto W
Italy
Position#6
Record4-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game75.6
ItalySerie A1 WRound 13· PalaCarzaniga
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Giovanni W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Roseto W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Giovanni WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Broni W
#9
W
76-58
76
58
+18
74avg 63
H08/11
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
58-71
58
71
-13
52avg 63
A23/11
Serie A1 W
Sepsi SIC W
#43
W
78-43
78
43
+35
78avg 63
A27/11
EuroCup Women
San Martino W
#8
W
82-70
82
70
+12
88avg 63
H30/11
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
L
65-69
65
69
-4
53avg 63
A03/12
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
44-66
44
66
-22
32avg 63
H07/12
Serie A1 W
Ferrol W
#4
L
62-81
62
81
-19
52avg 63
H10/12
EuroCup Women
Campobasso W
#3
W
60-55
60
55
+5
53avg 63
A14/12
Serie A1 W
Ferrol W
#4
L
60-66
60
66
-6
50avg 63
A18/12
EuroCup Women
Derthona Basket W
#4
L
49-69
49
69
-20
36avg 63
A21/12
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
16-17
23-14
19-11
14-17
17-17
12-20
15-17
18-8
13-9
25-10
22-16
25-13
21-16
21-24
15-17
14-14
21-24
14-16
16-15
14-19
4-11
16-21
10-15
18-16
16-22
19-22
9-21
21-12
11-20
14-4
14-19
15-14
17-20
16-16
12-16
9-25
16-8
15-16
9-20
128.2Avg total
63.4Scored
64.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)64.462.7127.1+1.655%
Season at home (5)66.659.0125.6+7.680%
Season away (6)62.565.8128.3-3.333%
Last 10 (10)63.464.8128.2-1.440%
Last 5 (5)55.067.4122.4-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)61.177.9139.0-16.80%
vs Similar (7)67.465.4132.9+2.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)73.261.3134.5+11.869%
This opponent (Roseto W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Roseto WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
San Giovanni W
#5
W
71-64
71
64
+7
70avg 61
H12/10
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
73-95
73
95
-22
62avg 61
A19/10
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
L
71-82
71
82
-11
50avg 61
A02/11
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
L
68-70
68
70
-2
63avg 61
H08/11
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
49-69
49
69
-20
41avg 61
A22/11
Serie A1 W
Derthona Basket W
#4
L
77-86
77
86
-9
73avg 61
A29/11
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
W
86-69
86
69
+17
83avg 61
H03/12
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
W
88-66
88
66
+22
88avg 61
H07/12
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#10
W
75-64
75
64
+11
72avg 61
A13/12
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
62-91
62
91
-29
53avg 61
H20/12
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
14-13
23-20
11-12
12-21
11-24
30-22
20-28
23-27
14-18
19-11
15-26
25-17
16-22
16-13
11-18
9-18
19-20
12-22
9-9
19-20
21-21
16-20
21-25
26-17
23-16
12-24
25-12
16-14
30-19
15-17
27-16
13-9
19-19
18-21
25-15
11-29
25-19
6-21
20-22
147.6Avg total
72.0Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)70.275.6145.8-5.536%
Season at home (5)75.072.0147.0+3.060%
Season away (6)66.278.7144.8-12.517%
Last 10 (10)72.075.6147.6-3.640%
Last 5 (5)77.675.2152.8+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)64.080.2144.2-16.217%
vs Similar (2)87.067.5154.5+19.5100%
vs Weaker (3)71.372.0143.3-0.733%
This opponent (San Giovanni W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
San Giovanni WRoseto W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Giovanni WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Broni W
#9
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H08/11
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A23/11
Serie A1 W
Sepsi SIC W
#43
W
31-17
31
17
+14
A27/11
EuroCup Women
San Martino W
#8
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H30/11
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A03/12
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
18-30
18
30
-12
H07/12
Serie A1 W
Ferrol W
#4
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H10/12
EuroCup Women
Campobasso W
#3
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A14/12
Serie A1 W
Ferrol W
#4
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A18/12
EuroCup Women
Derthona Basket W
#4
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A21/12
Serie A1 W
63.6Avg total
31.8Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.334.869.1-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.236.071.2-0.840%-
Last 30 away (15)33.433.767.1-0.340%-
Last 10 (10)31.831.863.6+0.030%-
Last 5 (5)28.233.461.6-5.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)31.538.870.3-7.310%-
vs Similar (7)33.434.167.6-0.729%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)36.932.269.1+4.869%-
This opponent (Roseto W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Roseto WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Giovanni W
#5
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H12/10
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A19/10
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A02/11
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H08/11
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A22/11
Serie A1 W
Derthona Basket W
#4
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A29/11
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H03/12
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H07/12
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#10
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A13/12
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H20/12
Serie A1 W
75.1Avg total
36.9Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)36.037.973.9-1.945%-
Last 30 at home (5)41.837.078.8+4.880%-
Last 30 away (6)31.238.769.8-7.517%-
Last 10 (10)36.938.275.1-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.636.677.2+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)31.839.871.7-8.017%-
vs Similar (2)47.533.080.5+14.5100%-
vs Weaker (3)36.737.374.0-0.767%-
This opponent (San Giovanni W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Giovanni Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Giovanni W: 62.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
30%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.817.6
45.4%
46.7%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.75.6
27.1%
30.9%16.8
🏀 Free throws12.710.2
80.3%
72.6%10.2
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Roseto Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Roseto W: 71.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.7 pts a game · 9% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
30%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.519.5
47.0%
46.7%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.5
32.3%
30.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws9.26.7
72.8%
72.6%6.7
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Giovanni W
LLWLLLWWLW
Roseto W
LWWWLLLLLW
#5
League position
#6
-2.6
Net rating
-5.2
89.5
Offensive rating
95.3
92.1
Defensive rating
100.5
43.7%
Effective FG%
47.6%
44.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
18.6%
Turnover %
20.6%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.14
27.1%
3-point %
32.3%
67.2%
Assist %
67.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence89.5 · 95.3Defence92.1 · 100.5Shooting43.7% · 47.6%3-point %27.1% · 32.3%Ball care18.6% · 20.6%Off. rebounds24.9% · 30.8%Free throws0.21 · 0.14Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ San Giovanni W   ■ Roseto W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
San Giovanni W wins
1
Roseto W wins
DateGameScore
12/10/25Roseto W v San Giovanni W71-64
San Giovanni Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25ADerthona Basket W49-69
18/12/25AFerrol W60-66
14/12/25ACampobasso W60-55
10/12/25HFerrol W62-81
07/12/25HSchio W44-66
03/12/25ASassari W65-69
30/11/25HSan Martino W82-70
27/11/25ASepsi SIC W78-43
23/11/25AVenezia W58-71
08/11/25HBroni W76-58
Roseto Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25HSchio W62-91
13/12/25ABrixia W75-64
07/12/25HSassari W88-66
03/12/25HSan Martino W86-69
29/11/25ADerthona Basket W77-86
22/11/25ACampobasso W49-69
08/11/25HBattipaglia W68-70
02/11/25ABroni W71-82
19/10/25AVenezia W73-95
12/10/25HSan Giovanni W71-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Giovanni W
Serie A1 W 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL55%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%80%33%
Points / game64.466.662.5
Allowed / game62.759.065.8
Point differential+1.6+7.6-3.3
Avg total127.1125.6128.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%60%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Roseto W
Serie A1 W 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL36%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%60%17%
Points / game70.275.066.2
Allowed / game75.672.078.7
Point differential-5.5+3.0-12.5
Avg total145.8147.0144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Schio W11110100%82.153.8+28.3
2 Venezia W1110191%76.459.5+16.9
3 Campobasso W118373%71.460.9+10.5
4 Derthona Basket W127558%74.467.4+7.0
5 San Giovanni W116555%64.462.7+1.6
6 Sassari W125742%68.075.8-7.8
7 Broni W104640%65.074.6-9.6
8 Roseto W114736%70.275.6-5.5
9 San Martino W113827%66.475.5-9.2
10 Brixia W112918%58.576.4-17.9
11 Battipaglia W111109%62.677.8-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Giovanni W2212191972
Roseto W121910950
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