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San Jose State vs San Diego State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 68-81
38-42 30-39
Position#349
Record5-7
FormLWWLL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Position#70
Record7-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game72.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · San Jose State v San Diego State
30 Dec 2025
SAN 68
SAN 81
11 Feb 2025
SAN 66
SAN 69
09 Jan 2024
SAN 78
SAN 81
09 Feb 2022
SAN 62
SAN 72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Jose State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Diego State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Jose StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#29
L
60-79
60
79
-19
A13/11
NCAA
Bethesda
#665
W
110-56
110
56
+54
H18/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H22/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
51-81
51
81
-30
H25/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H26/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
63-72
63
72
-9
H30/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
86-69
86
69
+17
H06/12
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
H10/12
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
82-86
82
86
-4
H14/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
65-88
65
88
-23
A21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
23-46
37-33
54-24
56-32
42-35
38-31
33-43
18-38
29-31
34-20
34-36
29-36
52-34
34-35
39-39
38-38
36-44
46-42
28-41
37-47
148.0Avg total
74.9Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)74.875.0149.8-0.242%
Season at home (8)78.070.5148.5+7.562%
Season away (4)68.584.0152.5-15.50%
Last 10 (10)74.973.1148.0+1.850%
Last 5 (5)77.079.6156.6-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)63.777.8141.5-14.112%
vs Similar (8)74.969.5144.4+5.475%
vs Weaker (5)88.068.2156.2+19.8100%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#284
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H09/11
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
107-108 OT
107
108
-1
H19/11
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
54-94
54
94
-40
A25/11
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
97-80
97
80
+17
A26/11
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
81-91
81
91
-10
H27/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H04/12
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
89-71
89
71
+18
H11/12
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
81-58
81
58
+23
H18/12
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
45-68
45
68
-23
A21/12
NCAA
Whittier
#567
W
121-59
121
59
+62
H22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-21
39-36
38-38
51-51
33-45
21-49
51-41
46-39
36-40
45-51
33-32
44-34
51-41
38-30
33-30
48-28
27-28
18-40
62-30
59-29
157.7Avg total
82.5Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.072.5154.5+9.564%
Season at home (8)88.269.4157.6+18.975%
Season away (3)65.380.7146.0-15.333%
Last 10 (10)82.575.2157.7+7.360%
Last 5 (5)82.664.4147.0+18.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)58.776.0134.7-17.333%
vs Similar (12)70.970.7141.6+0.242%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)78.363.9142.2+14.587%
This opponent (San Jose State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: +5.2+5.22nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +2.2+2.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: +5.2+5.22nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +2.2+2.2
San Jose StateSan Diego State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San Jose StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#29
L
23-46
23
46
-23
A13/11
NCAA
Bethesda
#665
W
54-24
54
24
+30
H18/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H22/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H25/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H26/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H30/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H06/12
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H10/12
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H14/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A21/12
NCAA
74.3Avg total
37.0Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.434.668.0-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.532.168.6+4.453%-
Last 30 away (13)29.437.867.2-8.415%-
Last 10 (10)37.037.374.3-0.330%-
Last 5 (5)37.838.876.6-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)30.436.767.1-6.225%-
vs Similar (8)35.932.968.8+3.038%-
vs Weaker (5)38.629.067.6+9.680%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#284
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H09/11
NCAA
Troy
#84
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H19/11
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A25/11
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A26/11
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H27/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H04/12
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H11/12
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H18/12
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A21/12
NCAA
Whittier
#567
W
62-30
62
30
+32
H22/12
NCAA
74.4Avg total
39.8Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.031.465.4+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.730.265.8+5.574%-
Last 30 away (11)31.133.664.7-2.536%-
Last 10 (10)39.834.674.4+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.232.273.4+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.035.066.0-4.033%-
vs Similar (12)31.531.062.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)36.631.167.7+5.573%-
This opponent (San Jose State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25ANew Mexico65-88
14/12/25HStanford82-86
10/12/25HLong Beach State89-83 OT
06/12/25HSan Diego Toreros86-69
30/11/25HUC Irvine63-72
26/11/25HLoyola Chicago63-51
25/11/25HTulsa51-81
22/11/25HSouthern Univ.80-66
18/11/25HBethesda110-56
13/11/25AMichigan State60-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/25HWhittier121-59
21/12/25AArizona45-68
18/12/25HAir Force81-58
11/12/25HLamar89-71
04/12/25HUtah Valley State77-66
27/11/25HBaylor81-91
26/11/25AOregon97-80
25/11/25AMichigan54-94
19/11/25HTroy107-108 OT
09/11/25HIdaho State73-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Jose State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL42%
HomeWLWWL62%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %42%62%0%
Points / game74.878.068.5
Allowed / game75.070.584.0
Point differential-0.2+7.5-15.5
Avg total149.8148.5152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %8%12%0%
San Diego State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW64%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %64%75%33%
Points / game82.088.265.3
Allowed / game72.569.480.7
Point differential+9.5+18.9-15.3
Avg total154.5157.6146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %9%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1211192%84.866.4+18.3
2 New Mexico1210283%82.068.6+13.4
3 Wyoming1310377%85.071.3+13.7
4 Nevada1310377%77.571.5+5.9
5 Colorado State139469%81.872.4+9.4
6 Grand Canyon128467%76.868.8+8.1
7 Boise State128467%77.070.4+6.6
8 San Diego State117464%82.072.5+9.5
9 UNLV126650%81.878.8+3.1
10 Fresno State136746%75.172.5+2.6
11 San Jose State125742%74.875.0-0.2
12 Air Force1331023%64.873.7-8.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
San Jose State383068
San Diego State423981
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