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San Diego State vs Lamar Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 89-71
51-41 38-30
Position#70
Record4-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game77.3
vs
Position#286
Record5-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game62.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Diego State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lamar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#189
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H09/03
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H13/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
68-95
68
95
-27
H19/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
77-45
77
45
+32
H05/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H09/11
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
107-108 OT
107
108
-1
H19/11
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
54-94
54
94
-40
A25/11
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
97-80
97
80
+17
A26/11
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
81-91
81
91
-10
H27/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
43-21
37-40
33-28
19-34
23-47
45-48
40-25
37-20
34-21
39-36
38-38
51-51
33-45
21-49
51-41
46-39
36-40
45-51
33-32
44-34
152.5Avg total
76.6Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.977.3158.1+3.657%
Season at home (5)83.073.4156.4+9.660%
Season away (2)75.587.0162.5-11.550%
Last 10 (10)76.675.9152.5+0.750%
Last 5 (5)83.287.8171.0-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.580.0145.5-14.550%
vs Similar (14)70.970.2141.1+0.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)74.063.9137.9+10.186%
This opponent (Lamar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LamarUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#122
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H12/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
54-63
54
63
-9
A12/03
NCAA
Texas A&M SA Jaguars
#619
W
93-53
93
53
+40
H03/11
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A11/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
79-66
79
66
+13
A18/11
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
68-63
68
63
+5
A23/11
NCAA
Oakland
#212
L
68-83
68
83
-15
H24/11
NCAA
Our Lady Of The Lake
#584
W
90-46
90
46
+44
H30/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
65-55
65
55
+10
H04/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
49-57
49
57
-8
H07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
28-33
30-22
30-33
24-30
46-26
47-27
38-39
27-39
40-27
39-39
23-21
45-42
31-34
37-49
58-15
32-31
27-29
38-26
26-21
23-36
130.8Avg total
68.9Scored
61.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)72.162.6134.8+9.562%
Season at home (5)73.058.8131.8+14.260%
Season away (3)70.769.0139.7+1.767%
Last 10 (10)68.961.9130.8+7.060%
Last 5 (5)68.060.8128.8+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)60.371.1131.4-10.914%
vs Similar (11)69.466.5135.9+2.873%
vs Weaker (11)69.661.2130.8+8.582%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: +6.9+6.92nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: +0.1+0.1
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: +6.9+6.92nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: +0.1+0.1
San Diego StateLamar
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#189
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H09/03
NCAA
Boise State
#55
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H13/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
23-47
23
47
-24
H19/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H05/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H09/11
NCAA
Troy
#84
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H19/11
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A25/11
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A26/11
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H27/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H04/12
NCAA
70.2Avg total
36.4Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.930.963.8+2.063%-
Last 30 at home (19)33.729.162.8+4.674%-
Last 30 away (11)31.634.065.6-2.445%-
Last 10 (10)36.433.870.2+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)38.239.277.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.038.571.5-5.550%-
vs Similar (14)32.431.163.6+1.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)33.429.663.0+3.971%-
This opponent (Lamar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LamarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#122
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H12/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A12/03
NCAA
Texas A&M SA Jaguars
#619
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H03/11
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A11/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A18/11
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
23-21
23
21
+2
A23/11
NCAA
Oakland
#212
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H24/11
NCAA
Our Lady Of The Lake
#584
W
58-15
58
15
+43
H30/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H04/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
26-21
26
21
+5
H07/12
NCAA
62.5Avg total
34.7Scored
27.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.931.164.0+1.747%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.429.563.9+4.953%-
Last 30 away (13)30.833.364.2-2.538%-
Last 10 (10)34.727.862.5+6.950%-
Last 5 (5)33.024.057.0+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)29.433.462.9-4.043%-
vs Similar (11)30.733.564.2-2.727%-
vs Weaker (11)34.928.863.7+6.164%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
San Diego State wins
0
Lamar wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25HUtah Valley State77-66
27/11/25HBaylor81-91
26/11/25AOregon97-80
25/11/25AMichigan54-94
19/11/25HTroy107-108 OT
09/11/25HIdaho State73-57
05/11/25HLong Beach State77-45
19/03/25HNorth Carolina68-95
13/03/25HBoise State52-62
09/03/25HNevada80-61
Lamarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25HTexas A&M-CC49-57
04/12/25HLouisiana Lafayette65-55
30/11/25HOur Lady Of The Lake90-46
24/11/25HOakland68-83
23/11/25AMontana68-63
18/11/25ALouisiana Monroe79-66
11/11/25ATCU65-78
03/11/25HTexas A&M SA Jaguars93-53
12/03/25AMcNeese State54-63
12/03/25HNicholls State58-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Diego State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW57%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %57%60%50%
Points / game80.983.075.5
Allowed / game77.373.487.0
Point differential+3.6+9.6-11.5
Avg total158.1156.4162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %14%20%0%
Lamar
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL62%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%60%67%
Points / game72.173.070.7
Allowed / game62.658.869.0
Point differential+9.5+14.2+1.7
Avg total134.8131.8139.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State98189%84.766.4+18.2
2 Wyoming108280%88.071.7+16.3
3 Colorado State108280%83.971.2+12.7
4 New Mexico108280%82.169.9+12.2
5 Boise State107370%79.069.7+9.3
6 Nevada107370%77.372.7+4.6
7 Fresno State106460%75.469.7+5.7
8 San Diego State74357%80.977.3+3.6
9 Grand Canyon95456%74.168.4+5.7
10 San Jose State105550%75.172.6+2.5
11 UNLV94544%83.284.8-1.6
12 Air Force113827%66.273.5-7.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State108280%87.665.3+22.3
2 Stephen F. Austin97278%80.168.7+11.4
3 Lamar85362%72.162.6+9.5
4 Houston Christian95456%72.772.0+0.7
5 Incarnate Word105550%84.374.9+9.4
6 Texas A&M-CC83538%72.473.0-0.6
7 New Orleans114736%77.281.4-4.2
8 UTRGV62433%75.374.0+1.3
9 SE Louisiana93633%64.368.3-4.0
10 Nicholls State92722%74.477.6-3.1
11 Northwestern St.92722%70.982.7-11.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
San Diego State513889
Lamar413071
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