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San Diego State vs Idaho State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 73-57
34-21 39-36
Position#70
Record1-0
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game45.0
vs
Position#284
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game69.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Diego State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Idaho State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#55
W
64-47
64
47
+17
H16/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
83-60
83
60
+23
H19/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A23/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H26/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A02/03
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A05/03
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H09/03
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H13/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
68-95
68
95
-27
H19/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
77-45
77
45
+32
H05/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-18
36-29
43-23
40-37
26-33
45-46
33-29
40-36
33-34
39-35
34-32
33-42
43-21
37-40
33-28
19-34
23-47
45-48
40-25
37-20
136.4Avg total
70.7Scored
65.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)77.045.0122.0+32.0100%
Season at home (1)77.045.0122.0+32.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.765.7136.4+5.060%
Last 5 (5)68.867.4136.2+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.075.0145.0-5.050%
vs Similar (14)67.465.4132.8+2.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)73.162.6135.8+10.586%
This opponent (Idaho State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Idaho StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#53
L
68-81
68
81
-13
A14/02
NCAA
Montana State
#238
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A16/02
NCAA
Portland State
#129
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H21/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H23/02
NCAA
Idaho
#271
W
69-65
69
65
+4
A28/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
W
78-54
78
54
+24
A01/03
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#160
L
79-82
79
82
-3
H04/03
NCAA
Montana State
#238
L
60-80
60
80
-20
H10/03
NCAA
Gilbert Buccaneers
#389
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H05/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A08/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-37
40-44
30-36
39-38
44-31
38-43
47-30
36-36
36-32
33-33
40-29
38-25
42-44
37-38
29-41
31-39
35-41
46-30
34-25
37-43
145.5Avg total
74.0Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.069.5145.5+6.5100%
Season at home (1)81.071.0152.0+10.0100%
Season away (1)71.068.0139.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)74.071.5145.5+2.560%
Last 5 (5)73.871.0144.8+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)78.087.7165.7-9.70%
vs Similar (12)71.074.6145.6-3.642%
vs Weaker (13)77.862.8140.6+14.977%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +0.6+0.6
San Diego StateIdaho State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#55
W
28-18
28
18
+10
H16/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H19/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A23/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H26/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A02/03
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A05/03
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H09/03
NCAA
Boise State
#55
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H13/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
23-47
23
47
-24
H19/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H05/11
NCAA
62.6Avg total
33.6Scored
29.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.530.161.6+1.363%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.029.762.7+3.372%-
Last 30 away (12)29.230.860.0-1.750%-
Last 10 (10)33.629.062.6+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)34.630.665.2+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)28.035.063.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (14)31.630.562.1+1.164%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)31.829.160.9+2.771%-
This opponent (Idaho State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Idaho StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#53
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A14/02
NCAA
Montana State
#238
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A16/02
NCAA
Portland State
#129
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H21/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H23/02
NCAA
Idaho
#271
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A28/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A01/03
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#160
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H04/03
NCAA
Montana State
#238
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H10/03
NCAA
Gilbert Buccaneers
#389
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H05/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A08/11
NCAA
71.1Avg total
36.5Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.733.268.9+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.232.470.7+5.862%-
Last 30 away (14)32.834.166.9-1.443%-
Last 10 (10)36.534.671.1+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)36.036.072.0+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)34.738.373.0-3.733%-
vs Similar (12)33.336.970.2-3.625%-
vs Weaker (13)37.328.465.7+8.985%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
San Diego State wins
0
Idaho State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/25HLong Beach State77-45
19/03/25HNorth Carolina68-95
13/03/25HBoise State52-62
09/03/25HNevada80-61
05/03/25AUNLV67-74
02/03/25AWyoming72-69
26/02/25HNew Mexico73-65
23/02/25AUtah State71-79
19/02/25HFresno State83-60
16/02/25HBoise State64-47
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25ASan Diego Toreros71-68
05/11/25HGilbert Buccaneers81-71
10/03/25HMontana State60-80
04/03/25HNorthern Arizona79-82
01/03/25AEast. Washington78-54
28/02/25AIdaho69-65
23/02/25HSacramento State83-66
21/02/25HPortland State82-74
16/02/25AMontana State69-74
14/02/25AMontana68-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Diego State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game77.077.0-
Allowed / game45.045.0-
Point differential+32.0+32.0-
Avg total122.0122.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Idaho State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game76.081.071.0
Allowed / game69.571.068.0
Point differential+6.5+10.0+3.0
Avg total145.5152.0139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colorado State110100%98.064.0+34.0
2 San Diego State110100%77.045.0+32.0
3 Utah State220100%95.065.5+29.5
4 New Mexico220100%75.055.0+20.0
5 Wyoming220100%95.578.5+17.0
6 Nevada220100%77.563.5+14.0
7 Fresno State32167%78.760.0+18.7
8 UNLV21150%91.077.5+13.5
9 Boise State21150%89.578.0+11.5
10 Grand Canyon21150%85.580.5+5.0
11 San Jose State2020%74.584.5-10.0
12 Air Force2020%58.576.5-18.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Colorado220100%96.061.0+35.0
2 Idaho220100%88.565.0+23.5
3 Sacramento State220100%94.577.5+17.0
4 Idaho State220100%76.069.5+6.5
5 Montana32167%82.357.0+25.3
6 Weber State21150%109.565.0+44.5
7 Portland State21150%100.581.5+19.0
8 Northern Arizona21150%79.066.0+13.0
9 Montana State31233%88.367.7+20.7
10 East. Washington3030%77.784.0-6.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
San Diego State343973
Idaho State213657
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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