San Jose State faces the UTSA Roadrunners on 2 November 2026 in an NCAA matchup that is expected to be a tight, low-scoring affair, with both teams' defenses and a slow pace likely keeping the total points below the season average. San Jose State has gone 1-4 in its last five games, losing to New Mexico 77-93 away on 12 March, beating Boise State 84-74 away on 11 March, and falling to Wyoming 78-88 at home on 7 March, while UTSA has not won in its last five, dropping to Rice 71-80 away on 8 March, Wichita State 67-84 at home on 1 March, and East Carolina 81-82 at home on 25 February. The Pythia model gives San Jose State a 68% chance of victory versus UTSA's 32%, naming San Jose State the favourite, and projects a 77-72 score for a total of 149.4 points. The home team's line is -8.0 with a 41% probability of covering, while the over on the 156.0 line has a 34% chance, and there is a 5% chance of overtime. The game will be decided by the defensive battle the model foresees.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 77.6 | 83.3 | 160.9 | -5.7 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 76.0 | 84.4 | 160.4 | -8.4 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (24) | 69.3 | 80.9 | 150.2 | -11.6 | 12% |
| vs Similar (3) | 79.3 | 67.7 | 147.0 | +11.7 | 100% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 88.7 | 66.0 | 154.7 | +22.7 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 72.4 | 84.6 | 157.0 | -12.2 | 10% |
| Last 5 (5) | 69.0 | 81.2 | 150.2 | -12.2 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (28) | 67.3 | 82.9 | 150.2 | -15.6 | 11% |
| vs Similar | no games | ||||
| vs Weaker (2) | 100.0 | 50.0 | 150.0 | +50.0 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 73.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 35.7 | 38.0 | 73.7 | -2.3 | 27% | 60% |
| Last 30 at home (18) | 36.8 | 36.9 | 73.8 | -0.1 | 28% | 67% |
| Last 30 away (12) | 34.0 | 39.7 | 73.7 | -5.7 | 25% | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.1 | 40.7 | 78.8 | -2.6 | 30% | 90% |
| Last 5 (5) | 36.8 | 43.6 | 80.4 | -6.8 | 20% | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (24) | 34.5 | 39.8 | 74.3 | -5.3 | 17% | 58% |
| vs Similar (3) | 40.0 | 34.7 | 74.7 | +5.3 | 33% | 67% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 41.0 | 27.3 | 68.3 | +13.7 | 100% | 67% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 73.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 32.5 | 39.5 | 72.0 | -7.0 | 23% | 43% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 33.9 | 35.3 | 69.2 | -1.4 | 36% | 43% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 31.2 | 43.2 | 74.5 | -12.0 | 12% | 44% |
| Last 10 (10) | 35.0 | 40.9 | 75.9 | -5.9 | 30% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 33.8 | 39.8 | 73.6 | -6.0 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (28) | 30.9 | 40.5 | 71.5 | -9.6 | 18% | 39% |
| vs Similar | no games | |||||
| vs Weaker (2) | 54.5 | 25.5 | 80.0 | +29.0 | 100% | 100% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose State under 83.5 | 72.8% | 1.63 | 1.74 | 1.60 | 1.54 | - | - | +18.6pp | Lost |
| Under 158 | 70.7% | 1.64 | 1.71 | 1.65 | 1.55 | - | - | +15.3pp | Lost |
| San Jose State under 86.5 | 81.6% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +15.0pp | Lost |
| San Jose State under 84.5 | 76.0% | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | - | - | - | +14.6pp | Lost |
| San Jose State under 85.5 | 78.9% | 1.41 | 1.44 | 1.42 | 1.38 | - | - | +14.4pp | Lost |
| San Jose State under 88.5 | 86.4% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +12.7pp | Lost |
| Under 158.5 | 71.3% | 1.57 | 1.60 | 1.54 | - | - | - | +12.3pp | Lost |
| Under 159.5 | 73.3% | 1.50 | 1.53 | 1.47 | - | - | - | +11.6pp | Lost |
| San Jose State under 87.5 | 84.1% | 1.27 | 1.29 | 1.26 | - | - | - | +11.3pp | Lost |
| Under 160.5 | 75.2% | 1.44 | 1.47 | 1.41 | - | - | - | +11.2pp | Lost |
| Under 161.5 | 77.1% | 1.39 | 1.42 | 1.36 | - | - | - | +10.7pp | Lost |
| Under 160 | 74.8% | 1.45 | 1.45 | - | - | - | - | +10.6pp | Lost |
| Under 159 | 72.8% | 1.50 | 1.50 | - | - | - | - | +10.3pp | Lost |
| Under 162.5 | 78.8% | 1.35 | 1.38 | 1.32 | - | - | - | +10.2pp | Lost |
| Under 161 | 76.7% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +9.7pp | Lost |
| San Jose State under 89.5 | 88.4% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +9.6pp | Lost |
| UTSA Roadrunners +11.5 | 70.9% | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | - | - | - | +9.0pp | Lost |
| Under 162 | 78.5% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +9.0pp | Lost |
| UTSA Roadrunners +12.5 | 73.8% | 1.42 | 1.44 | 1.41 | - | - | - | +8.9pp | Lost |
| San Jose State under 90.5 | 90.2% | 1.14 | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | +8.8pp | Lost |
| UTSA Roadrunners +12 | 73.0% | 1.44 | 1.44 | - | - | - | - | +8.5pp | Lost |
| UTSA Roadrunners +13.5 | 76.6% | 1.36 | 1.37 | 1.35 | - | - | - | +8.5pp | Lost |
| UTSA Roadrunners +13 | 75.9% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +8.4pp | Lost |
| San Jose State under 91.5 | 91.8% | 1.12 | 1.12 | 1.11 | - | - | - | +8.4pp | Lost |
| UTSA Roadrunners +14.5 | 79.2% | 1.31 | 1.32 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +8.1pp | Lost |
| UTSA Roadrunners +15.5 | 81.5% | 1.26 | 1.27 | 1.25 | - | - | - | +8.0pp | Lost |
| UTSA Roadrunners +14 | 78.6% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +7.7pp | Lost |
| UTSA Roadrunners +16.5 | 83.7% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Lost |
| UTSA Roadrunners +16 | 83.3% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +7.2pp | Lost |
| UTSA Roadrunners +15 | 81.1% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Lost |
| UTSA Roadrunners +18.5 | 87.5% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Lost |
| UTSA Roadrunners +23.5 | 93.9% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Under 163.5 | 80.5% | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Lost |
| UTSA Roadrunners under 78.5 | 73.6% | 1.33 | 1.35 | 1.30 | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 95.2% | 1.03 | 1.04 | 1.02 | - | - | - | +4.0pp | - |
| Under 168.5 | 87.5% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Lost |
| UTSA Roadrunners under 77.5 | 70.4% | 1.38 | 1.42 | 1.34 | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Under 173.5 | 92.4% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +3.4pp | Won |
| UTSA Roadrunners under 79.5 | 76.6% | 1.26 | 1.30 | 1.22 | - | - | - | +2.9pp | Won |
| UTSA Roadrunners under 82.5 | 84.3% | 1.14 | 1.17 | 1.11 | - | - | - | +2.7pp | Won |
| UTSA Roadrunners under 81.5 | 81.9% | 1.16 | 1.17 | 1.15 | - | - | - | +2.0pp | Won |
| UTSA Roadrunners over 55.5 | 94.7% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +1.9pp | Won |
| UTSA Roadrunners over 57.5 | 92.2% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +1.4pp | Won |
| San Jose State +11.5 | 92.2% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +1.1pp | Won |
| UTSA Roadrunners over 56.5 | 93.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +0.7pp | Won |
| UTSA Roadrunners under 83.5 | 86.4% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +0.3pp | Won |
| UTSA Roadrunners over 59.5 | 88.9% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | -0.1pp | Won |
| San Jose State over 63.5 | 91.3% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -0.2pp | Won |
| UTSA Roadrunners over 58.5 | 90.6% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -0.5pp | Won |
| San Jose State over 62.5 | 92.8% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -0.9pp | Won |
| San Jose State over 64.5 | 89.7% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -1.8pp | Won |
| UTSA Roadrunners over 63.5 | 79.6% | 1.14 | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | -1.9pp | Won |
| UTSA Roadrunners over 61.5 | 84.7% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | -1.9pp | Won |
| UTSA Roadrunners over 60.5 | 86.9% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | -2.1pp | Won |
| Over 128.5 | 89.8% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -2.5pp | Won |
| San Jose State over 65.5 | 87.8% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -2.6pp | Won |
| UTSA Roadrunners over 65.5 | 73.5% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | -2.6pp | Won |
| San Jose State +6.5 | 84.1% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | -3.4pp | Won |
| UTSA Roadrunners over 66.5 | 70.2% | 1.25 | 1.29 | 1.22 | - | - | - | -3.7pp | Won |
| UTSA Roadrunners over 62.5 | 82.2% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | -4.4pp | Won |
| San Jose State over 66.5 | 85.7% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -4.7pp | Won |
| UTSA Roadrunners over 64.5 | 76.7% | 1.13 | 1.14 | 1.13 | - | - | - | -5.2pp | Won |
| San Jose State over 67.5 | 83.4% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | -5.3pp | Won |
| Over 133.5 | 83.2% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -6.2pp | Won |
| San Jose State +1.5 | 70.5% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -7.2pp | Won |
| San Jose State over 68.5 | 80.9% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | -7.4pp | Won |
| San Jose State over 69.5 | 78.1% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -7.4pp | Won |
| San Jose State over 71.5 | 71.9% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | -8.7pp | Won |
| Over 138.5 | 74.3% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -10.1pp | Won |
| San Jose State over 70.5 | 75.1% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -10.5pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/26 | A | New Mexico | 77-93 |
| 12/03/26 | A | Boise State | 84-74 |
| 07/03/26 | H | Wyoming | 78-88 |
| 04/03/26 | A | Fresno State | 68-82 |
| 28/02/26 | H | Colorado State | 73-85 |
| 25/02/26 | A | Air Force | 86-80 |
| 21/02/26 | A | Boise State | 69-84 |
| 18/02/26 | H | Nevada | 87-71 |
| 14/02/26 | H | Grand Canyon | 79-94 |
| 11/02/26 | A | UNLV | 75-82 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 | A | Rice | 71-80 |
| 02/03/26 | H | Wichita State | 67-84 |
| 26/02/26 | H | East Carolina | 81-82 |
| 22/02/26 | A | Tulsa | 74-100 |
| 19/02/26 | H | Florida Atlantic | 52-60 |
| 15/02/26 | A | Charlotte | 88-79 |
| 12/02/26 | A | East Carolina | 72-88 |
| 07/02/26 | H | North Texas | 58-81 |
| 05/02/26 | A | South Florida | 88-109 |
| 29/01/26 | H | UAB | 73-83 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over 155.5 | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over 155.5 | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nicholls State | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 110.0 | 56.0 | +54.0 |
| 2 | Hofstra | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 97.0 | 51.0 | +46.0 |
| 3 | Middle Tenn. St. | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 117.0 | 73.0 | +44.0 |
| 4 | South Carolina St | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 94.0 | 55.0 | +39.0 |
| 5 | IU Indy | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 113.0 | 76.0 | +37.0 |
| 6 | Mercer | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 90.0 | 53.0 | +37.0 |
| 7 | Murray State | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 94.0 | 64.0 | +30.0 |
| 8 | High Point | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 72.0 | 57.0 | +15.0 |
| 9 | Merrimack Warriors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 63.0 | 49.0 | +14.0 |
| 10 | Northern Kentucky | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 84.0 | 76.0 | +8.0 |
| 11 | Queens Royals | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 103.0 | 98.0 | +5.0 |
| 12 | Grambling St. | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 89.0 | 87.0 | +2.0 |
| 13 | Notre Dame | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 74.0 | 72.0 | +2.0 |
| 14 | Northern Illinois | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 87.0 | 89.0 | -2.0 |
| 15 | Villanova | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 72.0 | 74.0 | -2.0 |
| 16 | Winthrop | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 98.0 | 103.0 | -5.0 |
| 17 | UTEP | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 76.0 | 84.0 | -8.0 |
| 18 | Appalachian State | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 49.0 | 63.0 | -14.0 |
| 19 | Liberty | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 57.0 | 72.0 | -15.0 |
| 20 | Tennessee State | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 64.0 | 94.0 | -30.0 |
| 21 | Miami (OH) - Middletown | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 76.0 | 113.0 | -37.0 |
| 22 | Reinhardt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 53.0 | 90.0 | -37.0 |
| 23 | Morris College | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 55.0 | 94.0 | -39.0 |
| 24 | Fisk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 73.0 | 117.0 | -44.0 |
| 25 | St. Joseph's (Brooklyn) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 51.0 | 97.0 | -46.0 |
| 26 | North American Stallions | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 56.0 | 110.0 | -54.0 |
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose State | 45 | 50 | 95 |
| UTSA Roadrunners | 27 | 47 | 74 |
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