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Boise State vs San Jose State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 84-69
36-31 48-38
Position#101
Record15-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game74.6
Boise State 🏆
USA
vs
San Jose State
USA
Position#349
Record7-19
FormLLLLW
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game77.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Boise State v San Jose State
11 Mar 2026
BOIS74
SAN 84
21 Feb 2026
BOIS84
SAN 69
07 Feb 2025
BOIS79
SAN 52
20 Feb 2024
BOIS82
SAN 50
03 Jan 2023
BOIS67
SAN 64
05 Feb 2022
BOIS76
SAN 60
29 Jan 2020
BOIS99
SAN 71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boise State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Jose State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#192
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
A14/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H17/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
81-65
81
65
+16
A21/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
96-54
96
54
+42
H24/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
89-58
89
58
+31
A28/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A31/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
91-87 OT
91
87
+4
H04/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
91-90
91
90
+1
A08/02
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
H14/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
56-75
56
75
-19
A19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-40
37-36
39-30
40-43
38-18
43-47
48-29
48-25
36-33
53-25
41-43
28-43
39-28
40-51
43-42
48-48
40-29
37-48
23-30
33-45
158.3Avg total
82.0Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.474.6153.0+3.858%
Season at home (16)76.071.3147.3+4.762%
Season away (10)82.379.8162.1+2.550%
Last 10 (10)82.076.3158.3+5.760%
Last 5 (5)78.084.8162.8-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.375.8150.2-1.567%
vs Similar (19)74.974.7149.7+0.253%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)86.467.4153.8+19.060%
This opponent (San Jose State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Jose StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#371
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H14/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
62-76
62
76
-14
H17/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
54-87
54
87
-33
A21/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A24/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
58-89
58
89
-31
H28/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
80-90
80
90
-10
H01/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A08/02
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A11/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
79-94
79
94
-15
H14/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
87-71
87
71
+16
H18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-21
43-41
31-40
31-36
26-39
28-48
23-31
39-35
33-36
25-53
35-41
45-49
29-30
28-35
41-45
34-37
36-39
43-55
47-32
40-39
146.6Avg total
68.4Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)70.877.1147.9-6.327%
Season at home (16)73.974.8148.8-0.944%
Season away (10)65.880.8146.6-15.00%
Last 10 (10)68.478.2146.6-9.820%
Last 5 (5)75.680.4156.0-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)66.779.2145.9-12.510%
vs Similar (5)75.869.6145.4+6.280%
vs Weaker (3)90.762.0152.7+28.7100%
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +6.4+6.41st half: -2.6-2.62nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: -7.2-7.2
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +6.4+6.41st half: -2.6-2.62nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: -7.2-7.2
Boise StateSan Jose State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#192
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H17/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
38-18
38
18
+20
A21/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H24/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A28/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A31/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H04/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A08/02
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H14/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A19/02
NCAA
70.8Avg total
38.6Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.733.668.3+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.932.268.2+3.765%-
Last 30 away (13)33.035.568.5-2.538%-
Last 10 (10)38.632.270.8+6.470%-
Last 5 (5)37.234.471.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.234.066.2-1.867%-
vs Similar (19)34.333.367.5+1.047%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)39.234.673.8+4.660%-
This opponent (San Jose State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Jose StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#371
W
27-21
27
21
+6
H14/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H17/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A21/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
23-31
23
31
-8
A24/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H28/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H01/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A08/02
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A11/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H14/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H18/02
NCAA
68.2Avg total
32.8Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.737.171.8-2.427%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.135.372.4+1.837%-
Last 30 away (11)30.540.370.8-9.79%-
Last 10 (10)32.835.468.2-2.620%-
Last 5 (5)37.637.475.0+0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)32.739.272.0-6.514%-
vs Similar (5)39.234.073.2+5.240%-
vs Weaker (3)41.025.766.7+15.3100%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Boise State wins
1
San Jose State wins
DateGameScore
28/01/26San Jose State v Boise State58-89
08/02/25Boise State v San Jose State79-52
28/12/24San Jose State v Boise State71-73
21/02/24Boise State v San Jose State82-50
06/01/24San Jose State v Boise State69-78
26/02/23San Jose State v Boise State74-68 OT
04/01/23Boise State v San Jose State67-64
05/02/22Boise State v San Jose State76-60
03/01/21San Jose State v Boise State86-87
01/01/21San Jose State v Boise State54-106
Boise Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/26AUtah State56-75
14/02/26HUNLV83-86 OT
08/02/26ANew Mexico91-90
04/02/26HNevada91-87 OT
31/01/26AGrand Canyon69-86
28/01/26ASan Jose State89-58
24/01/26HAir Force96-54
21/01/26AWyoming81-65
17/01/26HColorado State79-73
14/01/26AUNLV85-89 OT
San Jose Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26HNevada87-71
14/02/26HGrand Canyon79-94
11/02/26AUNLV75-82
08/02/26AColorado State57-65
01/02/26HNew Mexico80-90
28/01/26HBoise State58-89
24/01/26AWyoming62-66
21/01/26ANevada54-87
17/01/26HUNLV62-76
14/01/26HAir Force70-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boise State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL58%
HomeLWWWL62%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261610
Win %58%62%50%
Points / game78.476.082.3
Allowed / game74.671.379.8
Point differential+3.8+4.7+2.5
Avg total153.0147.3162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)57% (7)33% (3)
Overtime %15%12%20%
San Jose State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW27%
HomeLLLLW44%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261610
Win %27%44%0%
Points / game70.873.965.8
Allowed / game77.174.880.8
Point differential-6.3-0.9-15.0
Avg total147.9148.8146.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%31%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %4%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2623388%84.368.6+15.7
2 New Mexico2620677%81.569.2+12.3
3 San Diego State2518772%79.169.5+9.6
4 Grand Canyon2617965%75.268.5+6.7
5 Nevada2617965%76.071.8+4.2
6 Colorado State26161062%76.570.9+5.6
7 Boise State26151158%78.474.6+3.8
8 Wyoming26141254%78.073.5+4.5
9 UNLV27141352%79.978.7+1.1
10 Fresno State26121446%74.072.6+1.5
11 San Jose State2671927%70.877.1-6.3
12 Air Force2732411%61.680.1-18.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Boise State364884
San Jose State313869
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