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UNLV vs San Jose State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 82-75
45-41 37-34
Position#192
Record11-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game78.7
UNLV 🏆
USA
vs
San Jose State
USA
Position#349
Record6-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game76.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UNLV v San Jose State
10 Feb 2026
UNLV82
SAN 75
04 Jan 2025
UNLV79
SAN 73
02 Mar 2024
UNLV68
SAN 50
14 Feb 2023
UNLV66
SAN 75
22 Jan 2022
UNLV70
SAN 62
23 Jan 2021
UNLV v SAN
upcoming
15 Jan 2020
UNLV98
SAN 87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UNLV winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Jose State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#148
L
66-98
66
98
-32
A07/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A10/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
H14/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
76-62
76
62
+14
A17/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
86-76
86
76
+10
A21/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H24/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
61-89
61
89
-28
H28/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
76-89
76
89
-13
A31/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
96-98
96
98
-2
A04/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
26-48
40-50
29-32
33-38
40-39
36-37
40-31
36-31
38-38
48-38
34-39
37-43
22-41
39-48
28-33
48-56
50-49
46-49
44-34
36-44
159.0Avg total
76.3Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.878.7157.5+0.048%
Season at home (12)81.274.8156.0+6.558%
Season away (11)76.183.1159.2-7.036%
Last 10 (10)76.382.7159.0-6.440%
Last 5 (5)76.887.2164.0-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)69.178.2147.2-9.125%
vs Similar (12)84.781.3166.0+3.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)72.060.2132.2+11.867%
This opponent (San Jose State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Jose StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#20
L
78-96
78
96
-18
A03/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
55-70
55
70
-15
H07/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
58-76
58
76
-18
A11/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H14/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
62-76
62
76
-14
H17/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
54-87
54
87
-33
A21/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A24/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
58-89
58
89
-31
H28/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
80-90
80
90
-10
H01/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
51-48
27-48
24-37
31-33
26-42
32-34
27-21
43-41
31-40
31-36
26-39
28-48
23-31
39-35
33-36
25-53
35-41
45-49
29-30
28-35
141.1Avg total
63.4Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)69.676.4146.0-6.926%
Season at home (14)72.673.7146.4-1.143%
Season away (9)64.880.7145.4-15.90%
Last 10 (10)63.477.7141.1-14.310%
Last 5 (5)62.279.4141.6-17.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)63.978.9142.8-14.95%
vs Similar (7)76.071.1147.1+4.971%
vs Weaker (3)90.762.0152.7+28.7100%
This opponent (UNLV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -3.3-3.31st half: -6.0-6.02nd half2nd half: -3.5-3.52nd half: -8.3-8.3
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -3.3-3.31st half: -6.0-6.02nd half2nd half: -3.5-3.52nd half: -8.3-8.3
UNLVSan Jose State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#148
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A07/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H14/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A17/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A21/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H24/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
22-41
22
41
-19
H28/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A31/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A04/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H07/02
NCAA
73.5Avg total
35.1Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.535.371.8+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.833.570.3+3.356%-
Last 30 away (14)36.137.473.5-1.443%-
Last 10 (10)35.138.473.5-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)35.639.274.8-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.736.770.3-3.025%-
vs Similar (12)39.738.878.4+0.958%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)35.725.861.5+9.883%-
This opponent (San Jose State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Jose StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#20
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A03/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H07/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A11/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
27-21
27
21
+6
H14/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H17/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A21/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
23-31
23
31
-8
A24/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H28/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H01/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A08/02
NCAA
67.0Avg total
30.5Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.636.970.5-3.323%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.335.271.5+1.133%-
Last 30 away (12)29.639.368.9-9.88%-
Last 10 (10)30.536.567.0-6.020%-
Last 5 (5)29.235.464.6-6.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)30.839.169.9-8.311%-
vs Similar (7)37.734.972.6+2.929%-
vs Weaker (3)41.025.766.7+15.3100%-
This opponent (UNLV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
UNLV wins
2
San Jose State wins
DateGameScore
17/01/26San Jose State v UNLV62-76
26/02/25San Jose State v UNLV71-77
04/01/25UNLV v San Jose State79-73
03/03/24UNLV v San Jose State68-50
28/01/24San Jose State v UNLV65-77
15/02/23UNLV v San Jose State66-75
29/12/22San Jose State v UNLV75-72 OT
22/01/22UNLV v San Jose State70-62
18/01/22San Jose State v UNLV56-81
21/02/21San Jose State v UNLV64-67
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26HGrand Canyon80-78
04/02/26AFresno State96-98
31/01/26ANevada76-89
28/01/26HNew Mexico61-89
24/01/26HSan Diego State71-82
21/01/26AUtah State86-76
17/01/26ASan Jose State76-62
14/01/26HBoise State89-85 OT
10/01/26AColorado State62-70
07/01/26AWyoming66-98
San Jose Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/26AColorado State57-65
01/02/26HNew Mexico80-90
28/01/26HBoise State58-89
24/01/26AWyoming62-66
21/01/26ANevada54-87
17/01/26HUNLV62-76
14/01/26HAir Force70-62
11/01/26AGrand Canyon58-76
07/01/26HFresno State55-70
03/01/26AUtah State78-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UNLV
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW48%
HomeWWLLW58%
AwayLWWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %48%58%36%
Points / game78.881.276.1
Allowed / game78.774.883.1
Point differential+0.0+6.5-7.0
Avg total157.5156.0159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%42%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
San Jose State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL26%
HomeLWLLL43%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23149
Win %26%43%0%
Points / game69.672.664.8
Allowed / game76.473.780.7
Point differential-6.9-1.1-15.9
Avg total146.0146.4145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2421388%84.168.9+15.2
2 New Mexico2418675%81.269.8+11.5
3 San Diego State2317674%80.269.9+10.3
4 Nevada2417771%77.071.2+5.8
5 Grand Canyon2315865%75.068.3+6.7
6 Boise State2415962%79.274.1+5.1
7 Colorado State24141058%75.870.4+5.4
8 Wyoming24131154%77.873.0+4.9
9 UNLV23111248%78.878.7+0.0
10 Fresno State24111346%72.972.2+0.8
11 San Jose State2361726%69.676.4-6.9
12 Air Force2432112%61.478.4-17.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UNLV453782
San Jose State413475
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