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San Lorenzo vs Independiente de Oliva Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 69-80
24-17 14-15 16-17 15-31
Position#17
Record7-13
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game83.7
vs
Position#8
Record13-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game80.1
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Roberto Pando
Other2025-26
Meetings · San Lorenzo v Independiente de Oliva
20 Apr 2027
SAN v INDE
upcoming
29 Jan 2026
SAN 69
INDE80
05 May 2025
SAN 94
INDE77
17 Nov 2023
SAN 92
INDE68
06 Feb 2023
SAN 78
INDE85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Lorenzo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Independiente de Oliva winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San LorenzoArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLorenzo
Date
Competition
Boca Juniors
#2
L
74-78
74
78
-4
58avg 68
A15/11
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
80-75 OT
80
75
+5
70avg 68
H05/12
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
88-52
88
52
+36
82avg 68
H08/12
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
70-92
70
92
-22
50avg 68
H16/12
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
81-89
81
89
-8
75avg 68
H29/12
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
L
74-84
74
84
-10
64avg 68
A07/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
61-92
61
92
-31
43avg 68
A09/01
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
96-69
96
69
+27
no box
H16/01
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
L
93-96
93
96
-3
no box
A19/01
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
84-70
84
70
+14
80avg 68
H24/01
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
17-20
21-18
24-22
18-23
19-15
19-15
11-14
18-15
28-15
24-7
18-15
23-27
14-31
21-18
12-16
17-33
16-30
27-22
21-4
22-24
20-21
12-20
20-19
15-23
15-23
20-17
11-29
24-11
27-26
24-21
21-11
14-14
22-17
23-34
34-31
28-16
12-23
25-11
19-20
159.8Avg total
80.1Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.883.7162.4-4.935%
Season at home (9)81.076.1157.1+4.967%
Season away (11)77.089.8166.8-12.89%
Last 10 (10)80.179.7159.8+0.440%
Last 5 (5)81.682.2163.8-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)77.786.8164.5-9.215%
vs Similar (14)80.182.1162.2-1.950%
vs Weaker (3)83.362.3145.7+21.0100%
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Independiente de OlivaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliva
Date
Competition
Atenas
#18
W
78-48
78
48
+30
69avg 78
A04/12
Liga A
Platense
#16
L
84-86
84
86
-2
83avg 78
A07/12
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
L
85-100
85
100
-15
72avg 78
A10/12
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
W
88-86
88
86
+2
80avg 78
H18/12
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
87-76
87
76
+11
82avg 78
A21/12
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
83-75
83
75
+8
80avg 78
H09/01
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
88-73
88
73
+15
80avg 78
A12/01
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
68-67
68
67
+1
63avg 78
A14/01
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
H17/01
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
82-91
82
91
-9
66avg 78
A28/01
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
23-9
10-9
24-16
20-23
33-19
21-27
10-17
25-26
20-20
24-28
16-26
27-16
18-26
32-23
11-21
30-18
25-18
16-22
16-18
25-25
23-13
16-17
19-20
29-20
23-24
19-15
17-14
17-18
20-15
13-14
18-20
23-24
25-21
20-21
21-15
21-23
27-26
18-20
16-22
161.5Avg total
83.2Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.280.1165.3+5.265%
Season at home (11)88.382.0170.3+6.373%
Season away (9)81.677.8159.3+3.856%
Last 10 (10)83.278.3161.5+4.970%
Last 5 (5)82.077.4159.4+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)86.690.4177.0-3.929%
vs Similar (16)84.682.2166.8+2.469%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)89.182.6171.7+6.657%
This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -2.1-2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -2.1-2.1
San LorenzoIndependiente de Oliva
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San LorenzoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boca Juniors
#2
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A15/11
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H05/12
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H08/12
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
37-58
37
58
-21
H16/12
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
33-63
33
63
-30
H29/12
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A07/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A09/01
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H16/01
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A19/01
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H24/01
Liga A
80.6Avg total
38.1Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.443.282.7-3.837%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.543.582.9-4.038%-
Last 30 away (17)39.443.182.5-3.635%-
Last 10 (10)38.142.580.6-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.679.4+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.347.084.3-9.723%-
vs Similar (14)40.041.981.9-1.936%-
vs Weaker (3)46.033.379.3+12.7100%-
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Independiente de OlivaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atenas
#18
W
44-23
44
23
+21
A04/12
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A07/12
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A10/12
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H18/12
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
55-36
55
36
+19
A21/12
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H09/01
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A12/01
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A14/01
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H17/01
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A28/01
Liga A
87.3Avg total
47.5Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.042.588.5+3.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.942.189.1+4.873%-
Last 30 away (15)45.142.988.0+2.360%-
Last 10 (10)47.539.887.3+7.780%-
Last 5 (5)46.641.888.4+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)45.945.791.6+0.171%-
vs Similar (16)44.842.287.0+2.656%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)49.040.089.0+9.086%-
This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Lorenzotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Lorenzo: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.7 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.3 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.317.3
52.0%
53.7%34.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.310.0
30.9%
32.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws15.08.3
55.6%
71.5%8.3
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Independiente de Olivatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Independiente de Oliva: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.5 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.022.2
60.1%
53.7%44.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.87.2
27.1%
32.9%21.8
🏀 Free throws19.514.0
71.8%
71.5%14.0
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/4 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Lorenzo
WLWLLLLWWL
Independiente de Oliva
LWWWWWWLLW
#17
League position
#8
-12.3
Net rating
+5.0
100.1
Offensive rating
107.4
112.4
Defensive rating
102.4
49.2%
Effective FG%
52.0%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.9%
3-point %
27.1%
57.3%
Assist %
39.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.1 · 107.4Defence112.4 · 102.4Shooting49.2% · 52.0%3-point %30.9% · 27.1%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ San Lorenzo   ■ Independiente de Oliva
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
San Lorenzo wins
4
Independiente de Oliva wins
San Lorenzolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26HLa Union84-70
19/01/26AUnion De Santa Fe93-96
16/01/26HFerro96-69
09/01/26AQuimsa61-92
07/01/26AOlimpico74-84
29/12/25HObras Sanitarias81-89
16/12/25HRegatas70-92
08/12/25HArgentino88-52
05/12/25HUnion De Santa Fe80-75 OT
15/11/25ABoca Juniors74-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/26AGimnasia82-91
17/01/26HArgentino89-81
14/01/26ASan Martin68-67
12/01/26ARegatas88-73
09/01/26HOlimpico83-75
21/12/25APenarol87-76
18/12/25HRacing de Chivilcoy88-86
10/12/25AUnion De Santa Fe85-100
07/12/25APlatense84-86
04/12/25AAtenas78-48

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Lorenzo
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW35%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %35%67%9%
Points / game78.881.077.0
Allowed / game83.776.189.8
Point differential-4.8+4.9-12.8
Avg total162.4157.1166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Independiente de Oliva
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL65%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayLWWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %65%73%56%
Points / game85.288.381.6
Allowed / game80.182.077.8
Point differential+5.2+6.3+3.8
Avg total165.3170.3159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%18%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ferro1913668%85.581.4+4.1
2 Obras Sanitarias2114767%80.176.3+3.9
3 Independiente de Oliva2013765%85.280.1+5.2
4 Obera TC1912763%79.573.4+6.1
5 Regatas1912763%77.873.9+3.8
6 La Union2314961%80.877.8+3.0
7 Gimnasia2213959%79.274.3+5.0
8 Instituto de Cordoba23131057%75.775.7+0.0
9 Penarol2011955%80.881.7-0.9
10 Quimsa22121055%79.675.5+4.1
11 Union De Santa Fe1910953%82.282.5-0.3
12 San Martin20101050%74.772.7+2.0
13 Boca Juniors21101148%81.479.6+1.8
14 Olimpico2191243%78.778.3+0.4
15 Platense2181338%80.885.0-4.2
16 San Lorenzo2071335%78.883.7-4.8
17 Atenas2171433%74.279.9-5.7
18 Racing de Chivilcoy2261627%77.381.6-4.3
19 Argentino2131814%72.090.1-18.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Lorenzo2414161569
Independiente de Oliva1715173180
← all games of the day
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