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Gimnasia vs Independiente de Oliva Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 91-82
23-21 26-27 20-18 22-16
Position#1
Record12-9
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game73.9
vs
Position#8
Record13-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game79.5
ArgentinaLiga A· Estadio Socios Fundadores
Other2025-26
Meetings · Gimnasia v Independiente de Oliva
18 May 2026
GIMN81
INDE71
10 May 2026
GIMN77
INDE72
08 May 2026
GIMN78
INDE66
27 Jan 2026
GIMN91
INDE82
13 Oct 2024
GIMN97
INDE83
08 Apr 2024
GIMN89
INDE79
04 Feb 2023
GIMN84
INDE70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gimnasia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Independiente de Oliva winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GimnasiaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGimnasia
Date
Competition
Ferro
#6
L
72-84
72
84
-12
no box
A22/11
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
93-67
93
67
+26
94avg 73
H06/12
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
80-87
80
87
-7
74avg 73
H14/12
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
86-78
86
78
+8
80avg 73
H18/12
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
84-72
84
72
+12
84avg 73
A08/01
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
L
75-88
75
88
-13
62avg 73
A10/01
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
79-72
79
72
+7
64avg 73
A12/01
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
88-75
88
75
+13
no box
H18/01
Liga A
Penarol
#11
L
73-77
73
77
-4
67avg 73
A22/01
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
W
74-71
74
71
+3
71avg 73
A24/01
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
24-18
9-20
20-28
31-24
20-22
20-10
22-11
18-24
23-19
26-22
13-22
20-19
13-18
31-26
22-15
22-20
23-9
29-24
10-19
14-20
15-24
25-25
21-19
14-24
22-16
21-22
22-10
20-25
18-12
22-19
28-19
19-27
22-18
16-19
16-13
20-20
12-15
21-19
21-17
157.5Avg total
80.4Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.773.9152.6+4.857%
Season at home (10)81.172.6153.7+8.560%
Season away (11)76.575.1151.5+1.455%
Last 10 (10)80.477.1157.5+3.360%
Last 5 (5)77.876.6154.4+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)77.778.5156.2-0.838%
vs Weaker (17)77.072.6149.6+4.453%
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Independiente de OlivaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliva
Date
Competition
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
89-92
89
92
-3
no box
H22/11
Liga A
Atenas
#18
W
78-48
78
48
+30
69avg 78
A04/12
Liga A
Platense
#16
L
84-86
84
86
-2
83avg 78
A07/12
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
L
85-100
85
100
-15
72avg 78
A10/12
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
W
88-86
88
86
+2
80avg 78
H18/12
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
87-76
87
76
+11
82avg 78
A21/12
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
83-75
83
75
+8
80avg 78
H09/01
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
88-73
88
73
+15
80avg 78
A12/01
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
68-67
68
67
+1
63avg 78
A14/01
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
H17/01
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
17-21
16-23
28-24
21-14
23-9
10-9
24-16
20-23
33-19
21-27
10-17
25-26
20-20
24-28
16-26
27-16
18-26
32-23
11-21
30-18
25-18
16-22
16-18
25-25
23-13
16-17
19-20
29-20
23-24
19-15
17-14
17-18
20-15
13-14
18-20
23-24
25-21
20-21
21-15
162.3Avg total
83.9Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)85.479.5164.9+5.968%
Season at home (11)88.382.0170.3+6.373%
Season away (8)81.576.1157.6+5.462%
Last 10 (10)83.978.4162.3+5.570%
Last 5 (5)83.074.4157.4+8.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)86.690.4177.0-3.929%
vs Similar ◀ (16)85.883.1168.8+2.769%
vs Weaker (7)89.182.6171.7+6.657%
This opponent (Gimnasia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -1.1-1.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -1.1-1.1
GimnasiaIndependiente de Oliva
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GimnasiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferro
#6
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A22/11
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H06/12
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H14/12
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H18/12
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A08/01
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A10/01
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A12/01
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H18/01
Liga A
Penarol
#11
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A22/01
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A24/01
Liga A
78.1Avg total
38.9Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.838.478.2+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.138.378.4+1.846%-
Last 30 away (17)39.538.578.1+1.047%-
Last 10 (10)38.939.278.1-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)35.240.275.4-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.839.879.6-0.138%-
vs Weaker (17)39.837.477.1+2.453%-
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Independiente de OlivaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obras Sanitarias
#7
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H22/11
Liga A
Atenas
#18
W
44-23
44
23
+21
A04/12
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A07/12
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A10/12
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H18/12
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
55-36
55
36
+19
A21/12
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H09/01
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A12/01
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A14/01
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H17/01
Liga A
86.6Avg total
47.2Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.142.588.6+3.667%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.142.689.6+4.569%-
Last 30 away (14)44.942.487.4+2.564%-
Last 10 (10)47.239.486.6+7.880%-
Last 5 (5)48.039.287.2+8.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)45.945.791.6+0.171%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)44.942.287.1+2.756%-
vs Weaker (7)49.040.089.0+9.086%-
This opponent (Gimnasia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gimnasiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gimnasia: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.6
57.2%
53.7%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.2
29.5%
32.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.211.2
61.5%
71.5%11.2
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Independiente de Olivatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Independiente de Oliva: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.722.0
63.5%
53.7%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.76.7
25.0%
32.9%20.0
🏀 Free throws20.715.7
75.8%
71.5%15.7
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/3 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gimnasia
WLWWLWWLWL
Independiente de Oliva
WWWWWWLLWL
#1
League position
#8
+1.5
Net rating
+11.1
112.0
Offensive rating
110.1
110.5
Defensive rating
99.0
51.6%
Effective FG%
52.2%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
45.1%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
29.5%
3-point %
25.0%
59.7%
Assist %
40.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.0 · 110.1Defence110.5 · 99.0Shooting51.6% · 52.2%3-point %29.5% · 25.0%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Gimnasia   ■ Independiente de Oliva
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Gimnasia wins
1
Independiente de Oliva wins
Gimnasialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26ABoca Juniors74-71
22/01/26APenarol73-77
18/01/26HFerro88-75
12/01/26AObras Sanitarias79-72
10/01/26AUnion De Santa Fe75-88
08/01/26APlatense84-72
18/12/25HQuimsa86-78
14/12/25HObera TC80-87
06/12/25HPenarol93-67
22/11/25AFerro72-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HArgentino89-81
14/01/26ASan Martin68-67
12/01/26ARegatas88-73
09/01/26HOlimpico83-75
21/12/25APenarol87-76
18/12/25HRacing de Chivilcoy88-86
10/12/25AUnion De Santa Fe85-100
07/12/25APlatense84-86
04/12/25AAtenas78-48
22/11/25HObras Sanitarias89-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gimnasia
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW57%
HomeWWLWW60%
AwayWLWLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %57%60%55%
Points / game78.781.176.5
Allowed / game73.972.675.1
Point differential+4.8+8.5+1.4
Avg total152.6153.7151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Independiente de Oliva
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW68%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayLLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %68%73%62%
Points / game85.488.381.5
Allowed / game79.582.076.1
Point differential+5.9+6.3+5.4
Avg total164.9170.3157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%18%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Independiente de Oliva1913668%85.479.5+5.9
2 Ferro1913668%85.581.4+4.1
3 Obras Sanitarias2013765%79.976.3+3.6
4 La Union2214864%81.077.5+3.5
5 Obera TC1912763%79.573.4+6.1
6 Regatas1912763%77.873.9+3.8
7 Gimnasia2112957%78.773.9+4.8
8 Instituto de Cordoba23131057%75.775.7+0.0
9 Penarol2011955%80.881.7-0.9
10 Quimsa22121055%79.675.5+4.1
11 Union De Santa Fe1910953%82.282.5-0.3
12 Boca Juniors20101050%81.579.3+2.1
13 San Martin1991047%74.272.3+1.8
14 Olimpico2191243%78.778.3+0.4
15 Platense2181338%80.885.0-4.2
16 San Lorenzo2071335%78.883.7-4.8
17 Atenas2171433%74.279.9-5.7
18 Racing de Chivilcoy2261627%77.381.6-4.3
19 Argentino2131814%72.090.1-18.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gimnasia2326202291
Independiente de Oliva2127181682
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