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San Lorenzo vs Libertad Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 02 Apr 2020
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record17-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Position#20
Record6-20
FormLLLLW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game83.5
ArgentinaLiga A
Other2019-20
Meetings · San Lorenzo v Libertad
11 Dec 2020
SAN 78
LIBE73
01 Apr 2020
SAN v LIBE
upcoming
08 Mar 2019
SAN 84
LIBE79
25 Jan 2017
SAN 104
LIBE73
18 Mar 2016
SAN 96
LIBE71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Lorenzo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Libertad win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San LorenzoArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#4
W
90-76
90
76
+14
H24/01
Torneo Super 20
Quimsa
#3
W
92-91
92
91
+1
H26/01
Torneo Super 20
Argentino
#14
W
97-71
97
71
+26
A30/01
Liga A
Libertad
#20
W
80-70
80
70
+10
A31/01
Liga A
Penarol
#15
W
98-87
98
87
+11
H15/02
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#11
W
109-94
109
94
+15
H16/02
Liga A
Penarol
#15
W
74-73
74
73
+1
A28/02
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#11
W
113-103
113
103
+10
A01/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
79-84 OT
79
84
-5
H04/03
Liga A
San Martin
#7
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H06/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
21-11
24-17
22-23
24-23
23-18
30-30
15-20
26-17
20-15
16-22
35-17
19-17
19-17
19-14
23-22
24-25
22-16
26-29
26-17
31-10
19-17
28-29
31-38
19-15
12-14
17-20
26-24
26-40
35-22
29-21
23-20
15-19
18-22
15-13
24-18
22-15
27-23
14-13
11-21
172.7Avg total
90.6Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)87.580.5168.0+7.081%
Season at home (11)89.381.3170.5+8.091%
Season away (10)85.679.6165.2+6.070%
Last 10 (10)90.682.1172.7+8.590%
Last 5 (5)89.885.2175.0+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)84.479.6164.0+4.986%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)85.777.1162.8+8.583%
This opponent (Libertad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertadArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
61-82
61
82
-21
A29/01
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#2
L
70-80
70
80
-10
H31/01
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#5
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H03/02
Liga A
Argentino
#14
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H06/02
Liga A
La Union
#16
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H12/02
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
58-106
58
106
-48
A15/02
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
80-99
80
99
-19
A17/02
Liga A
Regatas
#8
L
71-87
71
87
-16
H05/03
Liga A
Penarol
#15
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H08/03
Liga A
Estudiantes
#19
W
64-55
64
55
+9
A14/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
19-16
15-20
11-25
17-19
17-19
14-19
22-23
23-22
21-18
15-20
13-19
19-16
19-29
11-8
18-17
24-12
11-22
25-20
21-26
15-16
13-33
11-26
19-31
12-23
27-28
22-21
19-27
6-26
16-20
20-21
29-20
9-21
19-12
16-23
32-24
16-10
16-10
14-17
18-18
151.8Avg total
70.0Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)71.083.5154.6-12.523%
Season at home (14)74.280.6154.9-6.436%
Season away (12)67.386.9154.2-19.68%
Last 10 (10)70.081.8151.8-11.820%
Last 5 (5)69.885.4155.2-15.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)71.184.1155.2-13.020%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.8-2.8
San LorenzoLibertad
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San LorenzoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#4
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H24/01
Torneo Super 20
Quimsa
#3
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H26/01
Torneo Super 20
Argentino
#14
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A30/01
Liga A
Libertad
#20
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A31/01
Liga A
Penarol
#15
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H15/02
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#11
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H16/02
Liga A
Penarol
#15
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A28/02
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#11
L
61-62
61
62
-1
A01/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H04/03
Liga A
San Martin
#7
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H06/03
Liga A
82.6Avg total
44.5Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.239.181.3+3.159%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.437.880.2+4.762%-
Last 30 away (13)41.940.882.7+1.254%-
Last 10 (10)44.538.182.6+6.480%-
Last 5 (5)44.839.484.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)43.039.482.4+3.671%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)42.039.081.0+3.055%-
This opponent (Libertad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A29/01
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#2
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H31/01
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#5
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H03/02
Liga A
Argentino
#14
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H06/02
Liga A
La Union
#16
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H12/02
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A15/02
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A17/02
Liga A
Regatas
#8
L
22-46
22
46
-24
H05/03
Liga A
Penarol
#15
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H08/03
Liga A
Estudiantes
#19
W
32-20
32
20
+12
A14/03
Liga A
72.8Avg total
33.5Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.440.472.8-8.020%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.538.872.3-5.229%-
Last 30 away (13)30.942.573.5-11.68%-
Last 10 (10)33.539.372.8-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)29.839.869.6-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)32.440.472.8-8.020%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
San Lorenzo wins
1
Libertad wins
DateGameScore
31/01/20Libertad v San Lorenzo70-80
09/03/19San Lorenzo v Libertad84-79
06/12/18Libertad v San Lorenzo78-81
20/02/17Libertad v San Lorenzo84-53
26/01/17San Lorenzo v Libertad104-73
19/03/16San Lorenzo v Libertad96-71
16/01/16Libertad v San Lorenzo79-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/20HSan Martin74-72
04/03/20HInstituto de Cordoba79-84 OT
01/03/20AWeber Bahia113-103
28/02/20APenarol74-73
16/02/20HWeber Bahia109-94
15/02/20HPenarol98-87
31/01/20ALibertad80-70
30/01/20AArgentino97-71
26/01/20HQuimsa92-91
24/01/20HGimnasia90-76
Libertadlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/20AEstudiantes64-55
08/03/20HPenarol76-80
05/03/20HRegatas71-87
17/02/20AGimnasia80-99
15/02/20AFerro58-106
12/02/20HLa Union81-80
06/02/20HArgentino67-70
03/02/20HComunicaciones Mercedes72-79
31/01/20HSan Lorenzo70-80
29/01/20AInstituto de Cordoba61-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Lorenzo
Liga A 2019-20
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW81%
HomeWWWLW91%
AwayLWWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %81%91%70%
Points / game87.589.385.6
Allowed / game80.581.379.6
Point differential+7.0+8.0+6.0
Avg total168.0170.5165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%45%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)80% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %10%9%10%
Libertad
Liga A 2019-20
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW23%
HomeLLWLL36%
AwayLLLLW8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %23%36%8%
Points / game71.074.267.3
Allowed / game83.580.686.9
Point differential-12.5-6.4-19.6
Avg total154.6154.9154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)56% (9)-
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa2118386%90.183.4+6.8
2 San Lorenzo2117481%87.580.5+7.0
3 Gimnasia2519676%87.379.8+7.4
4 Instituto de Cordoba2215768%81.175.5+5.6
5 Comunicaciones Mercedes26161062%86.078.3+7.7
6 Ferro24141058%79.376.1+3.2
7 San Martin23131057%82.879.5+3.3
8 Regatas25131252%83.981.8+2.1
9 Olimpico24121250%82.981.0+1.9
10 Boca Juniors26131350%77.977.8+0.2
11 Weber Bahia26121446%90.895.3-4.4
12 Hispano Americano27121544%84.484.0+0.3
13 Obras Sanitarias26111542%84.383.2+1.1
14 Argentino26111542%77.483.3-5.9
15 Penarol27111641%83.384.2-0.9
16 La Union25101540%82.684.8-2.1
17 Atenas25101540%80.483.0-2.6
18 Platense2481633%75.882.5-6.7
19 Estudiantes2772026%69.977.3-7.3
20 Libertad2662023%71.083.5-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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