San Lorenzo vs Libertad Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2019

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 84-79

13-26 21-13 29-23 21-17

Position#1

Record15-1

FormLWWWW

Points / game93.6

Allowed / game75.9

San Lorenzo 🏆

Libertad

Position#14

Record10-8

FormWLWWL

Points / game79.3

Allowed / game79.2

Liga A

Other2018-19

Meetings · San Lorenzo v Libertad

SAN 104

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Lorenzo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Libertad winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Lorenzo Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

83-72

+11

A20/01

Liga A

Penarol

#16

104-55

104

+49

A25/01

Liga A

Quilmes

#20

95-78

+17

A27/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

78-82

-4

A09/02

Liga A

Regatas

98-82

+16

H12/02

Liga A

AEK Athens

64-86

-22

H15/02

Intercontinental Cup

Austin Toros Spurs

77-59

+18

H17/02

Intercontinental Cup

Regatas

103-85

103

+18

A02/03

Liga A

San Martin

#10

93-77

+16

A04/03

Liga A

La Union

#11

95-89

A06/03

Liga A

24-11

16-18

19-23

24-20

25-12

32-23

31-7

16-13

24-13

19-23

25-20

27-22

14-15

20-20

27-25

17-22

29-29

22-24

25-11

22-18

13-18

13-27

28-23

10-18

16-12

14-15

31-18

16-14

29-19

22-22

33-13

19-31

22-15

19-23

16-21

36-18

22-19

18-22

26-17

29-31

165.5Avg total

89.0Scored

76.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	93.6	75.9	169.5	+17.6	94%
Season at home (5)	97.6	79.4	177.0	+18.2	100%
Season away (11)	91.7	74.4	166.1	+17.4	91%
Last 10 (10)	89.0	76.5	165.5	+12.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	86.4	79.2	165.6	+7.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	64.0	86.0	150.0	-22.0	0%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	89.8	75.6	165.4	+14.1	89%

This opponent (Libertad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

#16

75-83

-8

A12/01

Liga A

Regatas

95-84

+11

H15/01

Liga A

Estudiantes

88-69

+19

H19/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#15

69-97

-28

A23/01

Liga A

Ferro

68-84

-16

A25/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

73-51

+22

H31/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

79-82

-3

H06/02

Liga A

Argentino

#17

89-79

+10

H12/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

96-91 OT

H14/02

Liga A

Quimsa

#13

81-93

-12

H02/03

Liga A

14-27

8-23

27-12

26-21

21-20

19-18

23-26

32-20

25-15

22-22

17-18

24-14

15-24

16-17

18-20

20-36

11-27

13-10

19-22

25-25

18-8

16-11

16-13

23-19

22-20

20-18

12-20

25-24

18-23

25-13

19-21

27-22

15-16

20-17

21-20

24-27

16-29

25-22

21-22

19-20

162.6Avg total

81.3Scored

81.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	79.3	79.2	158.5	+0.1	56%
Season at home (12)	83.3	78.2	161.5	+5.2	67%
Season away (6)	71.2	81.3	152.5	-10.2	33%
Last 10 (10)	81.3	81.3	162.6	+0.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	83.6	79.2	162.8	+4.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	81.5	87.8	169.3	-6.3	30%
vs Similar (14)	79.9	80.1	160.0	-0.3	57%
vs Weaker (6)	75.8	68.2	144.0	+7.7	83%

This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

San LorenzoLibertad

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	17.9	39.8	+4.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.3	18.2	40.5	+4.2	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.6	17.7	39.4	+3.9	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	16.3	38.1	+5.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	16.6	37.0	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	18.0	31.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	22.2	17.9	40.1	+4.3	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	20.5	38.2	-2.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	19.4	19.9	39.3	-0.4	39%	-
Last 30 away (12)	15.1	21.4	36.5	-6.3	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	20.9	38.4	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.2	37.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	18.0	22.7	40.7	-4.7	30%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.9	20.0	37.9	-2.1	29%	-
vs Weaker (6)	16.7	18.0	34.7	-1.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.0	39.3	+1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.2	19.5	40.7	+1.6	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.6	18.6	38.2	+1.0	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.7	41.2	-2.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	21.8	39.0	-4.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	27.0	40.0	-14.0	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	20.4	18.7	39.1	+1.7	39%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.3	37.3	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.2	18.3	38.5	+1.8	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.2	18.2	35.4	-1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	17.1	35.5	+1.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	16.2	37.4	+5.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	40%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	57%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.2	16.7	36.8	+3.5	83%	-

San LorenzoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

40-29

+11

A20/01

Liga A

Penarol

#16

57-35

+22

A25/01

Liga A

Quilmes

#20

43-36

A27/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

34-35

-1

A09/02

Liga A

Regatas

51-53

-2

H12/02

Liga A

AEK Athens

26-45

-19

H15/02

Intercontinental Cup

Austin Toros Spurs

30-27

H17/02

Intercontinental Cup

Regatas

51-41

+10

A02/03

Liga A

San Martin

#10

41-38

A04/03

Liga A

La Union

#11

40-41

-1

A06/03

Liga A

79.3Avg total

41.3Scored

38.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	36.9	79.1	+5.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	43.5	37.7	81.2	+5.8	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	41.2	36.3	77.5	+4.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	38.0	79.3	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	38.4	76.0	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	26.0	45.0	71.0	-19.0	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	42.6	36.6	79.2	+6.0	64%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

#16

22-50

-28

A12/01

Liga A

Regatas

40-38

H15/01

Liga A

Estudiantes

47-37

+10

H19/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#15

31-41

-10

A23/01

Liga A

Ferro

24-37

-13

A25/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

34-19

+15

H31/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

42-38

H06/02

Liga A

Argentino

#17

43-36

H12/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

35-33

H14/02

Liga A

Quimsa

#13

41-51

-10

H02/03

Liga A

73.9Avg total

35.9Scored

38.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	38.8	75.5	-2.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	39.6	38.2	77.8	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	32.2	39.7	71.9	-7.4	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.9	38.0	73.9	-2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	35.4	74.4	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	36.2	41.7	77.9	-5.5	30%	-
vs Similar (14)	36.9	38.5	75.4	-1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	36.8	34.7	71.5	+2.2	67%	-

This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.7	19.3	43.0	+4.4	73%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	25.0	20.8	45.8	+4.2	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.8	18.2	40.9	+4.6	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.1	17.8	43.9	+8.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.8	18.4	45.2	+8.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	28.0	23.0	51.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	23.8	18.7	42.5	+5.1	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.7	41.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.7	21.3	43.1	+0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.2	19.8	39.0	-0.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	19.4	38.7	-0.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.2	37.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	22.7	22.5	45.2	+0.2	40%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.6	20.6	41.2	-0.1	36%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.8	17.8	35.7	+0.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	20.1	42.9	+2.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.2	19.6	42.8	+3.6	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.5	20.4	42.9	+2.1	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	20.7	42.3	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	22.4	44.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	10.0	18.0	28.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	23.3	20.4	43.6	+2.9	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	20.4	42.1	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	22.1	21.1	43.2	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.0	19.4	40.4	+1.6	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	22.8	47.3	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	22.4	46.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	22.6	23.6	46.2	-1.0	30%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.2	20.2	41.4	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.2	15.7	36.8	+5.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.5	39.4	85.9	+7.2	77%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	48.2	40.4	88.6	+7.8	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	45.2	38.6	83.8	+6.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.7	38.5	86.2	+9.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.8	40.8	89.6	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	38.0	41.0	79.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	47.1	39.0	86.1	+8.1	82%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	41.1	83.5	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	43.8	42.4	86.3	+1.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	40.2	39.2	79.4	+1.1	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	42.2	86.0	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	41.6	83.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	45.3	46.1	91.4	-0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	41.8	40.9	82.6	+0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (6)	39.0	33.5	72.5	+5.5	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

San Lorenzo wins

Libertad wins

Date	Game	Score
06/12/18	Libertad v San Lorenzo	78-81
20/02/17	Libertad v San Lorenzo	84-53
26/01/17	San Lorenzo v Libertad	104-73
19/03/16	San Lorenzo v Libertad	96-71
16/01/16	Libertad v San Lorenzo	79-91

San Lorenzolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/03/19	A	La Union	95-89
04/03/19	A	San Martin	93-77
02/03/19	A	Regatas	103-85
17/02/19	H	Austin Toros Spurs	77-59
15/02/19	H	AEK Athens	64-86
12/02/19	H	Regatas	98-82
09/02/19	A	Weber Bahia	78-82
27/01/19	A	Quilmes	95-78
25/01/19	A	Penarol	104-55
20/01/19	A	Boca Juniors	83-72

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/03/19	H	Quimsa	81-93
14/02/19	H	Obras Sanitarias	96-91 OT
12/02/19	H	Argentino	89-79
06/02/19	H	Gimnasia	79-82
31/01/19	H	Weber Bahia	73-51
25/01/19	A	Ferro	68-84
23/01/19	A	Hispano Americano	69-97
19/01/19	H	Estudiantes	88-69
15/01/19	H	Regatas	95-84
12/01/19	A	Penarol	75-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Lorenzo

Liga A 2018-19

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	94%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WLWWW	91%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	5	11
Win %	94%	100%	91%
Points / game	93.6	97.6	91.7
Allowed / game	75.9	79.4	74.4
Point differential	+17.6	+18.2	+17.4
Avg total	169.5	177.0	166.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	75%	80%	73%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Libertad

Liga A 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	56%
Home	WLWWL	67%
Away	LWLLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	12	6
Win %	56%	67%	33%
Points / game	79.3	83.3	71.2
Allowed / game	79.2	78.2	81.3
Point differential	+0.1	+5.2	-10.2
Avg total	158.5	161.5	152.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	50% (4)	100% (2)
Overtime %	6%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	16	15	1	94%	93.6	75.9	+17.6
2	Ferro	20	14	6	70%	83.2	77.2	+6.0
3	Gimnasia	18	12	6	67%	81.4	76.7	+4.7
4	Instituto de Cordoba	17	11	6	65%	86.8	77.8	+9.0
5	Quimsa	20	12	8	60%	85.7	80.3	+5.3
6	Obras Sanitarias	20	12	8	60%	82.0	82.6	-0.7
7	Regatas	22	13	9	59%	84.0	81.9	+2.1
8	San Martin	19	11	8	58%	79.0	80.9	-1.9
9	Hispano Americano	16	9	7	56%	82.8	82.8	+0.0
10	Libertad	18	10	8	56%	79.3	79.2	+0.1
11	Boca Juniors	20	11	9	55%	74.8	75.5	-0.7
12	Comunicaciones Mercedes	20	10	10	50%	80.8	78.7	+2.1
13	Estudiantes	20	9	11	45%	75.8	78.2	-2.4
14	Olimpico	18	8	10	44%	77.3	75.8	+1.5
15	La Union	19	8	11	42%	85.1	85.5	-0.4
16	Penarol	18	6	12	33%	79.0	86.2	-7.2
17	Weber Bahia	19	6	13	32%	70.4	79.7	-9.3
18	Quilmes	18	4	14	22%	78.5	86.9	-8.4
19	Argentino	20	4	16	20%	78.8	87.3	-8.5
20	Atenas	18	3	15	17%	78.2	84.7	-6.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
San Lorenzo	13	21	29	21	84
Libertad	26	13	23	17	79

← all games of the day

San Lorenzo vs Libertad Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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