San Miguel Beermen vs Alaska Aces Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Jul 2018

Tip-off: 10:30

Final 104-99

20-23 23-21 33-25 28-30

Position#5

Record10-6

FormWWWWL

Points / game106.5

Allowed / game103.2

San Miguel Beermen 🏆

Alaska Aces

Position#3

Record10-5

FormWWLLW

Points / game102.5

Allowed / game97.7

Commissioners CupCommissioners Cup - Semi-finals

Other2018

Meetings · San Miguel Beermen v Alaska Aces

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Miguel Beermen winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Alaska Aces winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Miguel Beermen Philippines

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Global Port

94-98

-4

A13/06

Commissioners Cup

TNT Tropang Giga

99-94

H16/06

Commissioners Cup

NLEX Road Warriors

#11

125-114

125

114

+11

A23/06

Commissioners Cup

Blackwater Elite

#12

115-106

115

106

H04/07

Commissioners Cup

Magnolia Hotshots

97-101

101

-4

H07/07

Commissioners Cup

TNT Tropang Giga

121-110

121

110

+11

A09/07

Commissioners Cup

TNT Tropang Giga

106-102

106

102

H11/07

Commissioners Cup

Alaska Aces

92-79

+13

A14/07

Commissioners Cup

Alaska Aces

105-94

105

+11

H16/07

Commissioners Cup

Alaska Aces

104-125

104

125

-21

A20/07

Commissioners Cup

27-23

24-24

28-24

15-27

33-22

22-24

24-26

20-22

31-34

34-21

32-30

28-29

28-34

29-15

27-21

31-36

27-29

17-16

32-33

21-23

21-40

27-22

38-26

35-22

27-32

28-24

25-21

26-25

25-24

27-17

23-24

17-14

18-29

23-23

38-22

26-20

25-27

30-37

22-30

27-31

208.1Avg total

105.8Scored

102.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	106.5	103.2	209.8	+3.2	62%
Season at home (8)	106.9	103.8	210.6	+3.1	62%
Season away (8)	106.1	102.8	208.9	+3.4	62%
Last 10 (10)	105.8	102.3	208.1	+3.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	105.6	102.0	207.6	+3.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	102.2	97.8	200.1	+4.4	63%
vs Weaker (11)	105.3	99.4	204.6	+5.9	82%

This opponent (Alaska Aces) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Alaska Aces Philippines

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Global Port

109-103

109

103

A02/06

Commissioners Cup

Magnolia Hotshots

103-99

103

H10/06

Commissioners Cup

NLEX Road Warriors

#11

120-111

120

111

A15/06

Commissioners Cup

Meralco Bolts

74-89

-15

H17/06

Commissioners Cup

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

86-105

105

-19

A24/06

Commissioners Cup

Phoenix Fuelmasters

114-91

114

+23

H06/07

Commissioners Cup

Magnolia Hotshots

89-78

+11

A10/07

Commissioners Cup

San Miguel Beermen

79-92

-13

H14/07

Commissioners Cup

San Miguel Beermen

94-105

105

-11

A16/07

Commissioners Cup

San Miguel Beermen

125-104

125

104

+21

H20/07

Commissioners Cup

20-29

30-30

35-24

24-20

23-16

23-23

25-31

32-29

28-14

27-34

33-38

32-25

19-23

21-18

17-32

17-16

16-30

22-33

20-27

28-15

34-17

19-25

27-21

34-28

26-21

20-22

32-19

11-16

24-25

17-27

24-23

14-17

29-18

23-23

22-38

20-26

27-25

37-30

30-22

31-27

197.0Avg total

99.3Scored

97.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	102.5	97.7	200.3	+4.8	67%
Season at home (9)	105.2	98.9	204.1	+6.3	67%
Season away (6)	98.5	96.0	194.5	+2.5	67%
Last 10 (10)	99.3	97.7	197.0	+1.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	100.2	94.0	194.2	+6.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	80.0	109.0	189.0	-29.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	96.8	98.1	194.9	-1.2	53%
vs Weaker (11)	103.5	91.6	195.2	+11.9	73%

This opponent (San Miguel Beermen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

San Miguel BeermenAlaska Aces

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.5	25.8	50.3	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	26.1	26.2	52.3	-0.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.6	25.4	48.0	-2.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.2	29.4	55.6	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	30.4	53.6	-7.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	23.2	25.1	48.2	-1.9	42%	-
vs Weaker (11)	26.8	27.1	53.9	-0.3	36%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.4	22.1	46.5	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.3	22.4	47.7	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.6	21.8	45.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.6	21.8	46.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.0	21.2	49.2	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	28.5	51.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	24.5	22.4	46.9	+2.1	71%	-
vs Weaker (11)	24.7	20.5	45.2	+4.3	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.6	22.7	48.3	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.9	22.1	48.0	+3.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	25.2	23.4	48.6	+1.8	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.1	22.3	48.4	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.0	24.6	51.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	25.1	24.3	49.3	+0.8	53%	-
vs Weaker (11)	26.5	20.1	46.5	+6.4	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	23.7	46.3	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.5	22.7	46.2	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.6	24.7	46.3	-3.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	26.5	50.4	-2.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	25.4	48.6	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.5	32.0	47.5	-16.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	22.2	24.1	46.3	-1.8	41%	-
vs Weaker (11)	24.4	21.6	46.0	+2.7	45%	-

San Miguel BeermenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Global Port

51-47

A13/06

Commissioners Cup

TNT Tropang Giga

55-46

H16/06

Commissioners Cup

NLEX Road Warriors

#11

65-55

+10

A23/06

Commissioners Cup

Blackwater Elite

#12

57-49

H04/07

Commissioners Cup

Magnolia Hotshots

44-45

-1

H07/07

Commissioners Cup

TNT Tropang Giga

48-62

-14

A09/07

Commissioners Cup

TNT Tropang Giga

55-56

-1

H11/07

Commissioners Cup

Alaska Aces

52-41

+11

A14/07

Commissioners Cup

Alaska Aces

41-52

-11

H16/07

Commissioners Cup

Alaska Aces

55-64

-9

A20/07

Commissioners Cup

104.0Avg total

52.3Scored

51.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	50.1	48.5	98.6	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	52.0	48.3	100.3	+3.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	47.9	48.8	96.6	-0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	52.3	51.7	104.0	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.2	55.0	105.2	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	48.2	49.3	97.5	-1.1	42%	-
vs Weaker (11)	53.3	47.2	100.5	+6.1	64%	-

This opponent (Alaska Aces) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Alaska AcesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Global Port

50-59

-9

A02/06

Commissioners Cup

Magnolia Hotshots

46-39

H10/06

Commissioners Cup

NLEX Road Warriors

#11

55-48

A15/06

Commissioners Cup

Meralco Bolts

40-41

-1

H17/06

Commissioners Cup

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

38-63

-25

A24/06

Commissioners Cup

Phoenix Fuelmasters

53-42

+11

H06/07

Commissioners Cup

Magnolia Hotshots

46-43

A10/07

Commissioners Cup

San Miguel Beermen

41-52

-11

H14/07

Commissioners Cup

San Miguel Beermen

52-41

+11

A16/07

Commissioners Cup

San Miguel Beermen

64-55

H20/07

Commissioners Cup

96.8Avg total

48.5Scored

48.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.0	45.8	92.8	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	48.8	45.1	93.9	+3.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.2	46.5	91.7	-1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.5	48.3	96.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.2	46.6	97.8	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	38.0	60.5	98.5	-22.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	46.7	46.5	93.2	+0.2	53%	-
vs Weaker (11)	49.1	42.1	91.2	+7.0	64%	-

This opponent (San Miguel Beermen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	27.7	24.7	52.4	+3.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	27.4	25.9	53.3	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	28.1	23.4	51.4	+4.7	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.9	25.7	54.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.2	24.6	53.8	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	27.9	24.4	52.3	+3.5	63%	-
vs Weaker (11)	27.5	25.2	52.6	+2.3	64%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.7	26.1	51.8	-0.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.7	26.1	51.7	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	25.7	26.1	51.8	-0.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.5	27.5	54.0	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.0	24.6	51.6	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	24.5	46.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	24.9	26.8	51.7	-1.8	29%	-
vs Weaker (11)	27.5	25.3	52.8	+2.3	45%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.9	24.0	47.9	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.8	24.2	48.0	-0.5	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.1	23.7	47.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.6	24.9	49.5	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	22.4	48.6	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	24.0	22.6	46.6	+1.4	53%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.7	26.4	50.1	-2.6	36%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.8	23.9	48.7	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.7	25.6	50.3	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.8	22.2	47.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.3	21.9	46.2	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	22.8	44.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	24.0	44.0	-4.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	23.9	23.6	47.6	+0.3	53%	-
vs Weaker (11)	26.9	24.3	51.2	+2.6	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	51.6	48.7	100.3	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	51.2	50.1	101.3	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	52.1	47.1	99.2	+5.1	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	53.5	50.6	104.1	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	55.4	47.0	102.4	+8.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	51.9	47.1	98.9	+4.8	58%	-
vs Weaker (11)	51.2	51.5	102.7	-0.4	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	50.5	50.0	100.4	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	50.4	51.7	102.1	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	50.5	48.3	98.8	+2.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	50.8	49.4	100.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.0	47.4	96.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	42.0	48.5	90.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	48.9	50.4	99.3	-1.5	47%	-
vs Weaker (11)	54.5	49.5	104.0	+4.9	64%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

San Miguel Beermen wins

Alaska Aces wins

Date	Game	Score
20/07/18	Alaska Aces v San Miguel Beermen	125-104
16/07/18	San Miguel Beermen v Alaska Aces	105-94
14/07/18	Alaska Aces v San Miguel Beermen	79-92
19/05/18	Alaska Aces v San Miguel Beermen	105-103
17/02/18	Alaska Aces v San Miguel Beermen	96-109
02/09/17	San Miguel Beermen v Alaska Aces	79-90
27/05/17	San Miguel Beermen v Alaska Aces	109-97
03/12/16	San Miguel Beermen v Alaska Aces	93-88
24/08/16	San Miguel Beermen v Alaska Aces	106-103
16/03/16	San Miguel Beermen v Alaska Aces	116-96

San Miguel Beermenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/07/18	A	Alaska Aces	104-125
16/07/18	H	Alaska Aces	105-94
14/07/18	A	Alaska Aces	92-79
11/07/18	H	TNT Tropang Giga	106-102
09/07/18	A	TNT Tropang Giga	121-110
07/07/18	H	Magnolia Hotshots	97-101
04/07/18	H	Blackwater Elite	115-106
23/06/18	A	NLEX Road Warriors	125-114
16/06/18	H	TNT Tropang Giga	99-94
13/06/18	A	Global Port	94-98

Alaska Aceslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/07/18	H	San Miguel Beermen	125-104
16/07/18	A	San Miguel Beermen	94-105
14/07/18	H	San Miguel Beermen	79-92
10/07/18	A	Magnolia Hotshots	89-78
06/07/18	H	Phoenix Fuelmasters	114-91
24/06/18	A	Barangay Ginebra San Miguel	86-105
17/06/18	H	Meralco Bolts	74-89
15/06/18	A	NLEX Road Warriors	120-111
10/06/18	H	Magnolia Hotshots	103-99
02/06/18	A	Global Port	109-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Miguel Beermen

Commissioners Cup 2018

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	62%
Home	WWLWW	62%
Away	LWWWL	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	62%	62%	62%
Points / game	106.5	106.9	106.1
Allowed / game	103.2	103.8	102.8
Point differential	+3.2	+3.1	+3.4
Avg total	209.8	210.6	208.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	25%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	50% (4)	0% (2)
Overtime %	12%	12%	12%

Alaska Aces

Commissioners Cup 2018

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	67%
Home	WLWLW	67%
Away	WWLWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	9	6
Win %	67%	67%	67%
Points / game	102.5	105.2	98.5
Allowed / game	97.7	98.9	96.0
Point differential	+4.8	+6.3	+2.5
Avg total	200.3	204.1	194.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	44%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	7%	11%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Rain or Shine Elasto Painters	16	11	5	69%	101.1	99.1	+2.1
2	Alaska Aces	15	10	5	67%	102.5	97.7	+4.8
3	Barangay Ginebra San Miguel	16	10	6	62%	99.0	93.5	+5.5
4	San Miguel Beermen	16	10	6	62%	106.5	103.2	+3.2
5	TNT Tropang Giga	13	8	5	62%	105.8	101.8	+4.1
6	Meralco Bolts	13	7	6	54%	93.9	89.6	+4.3
7	Magnolia Hotshots	12	6	6	50%	96.2	92.7	+3.6
8	Global Port	13	6	7	46%	104.7	106.6	-1.9
9	Phoenix Fuelmasters	11	4	7	36%	104.1	106.1	-2.0
10	Columbian Dyip	11	4	7	36%	109.9	118.1	-8.2
11	NLEX Road Warriors	11	2	9	18%	100.2	110.7	-10.5
12	Blackwater Elite	11	1	10	9%	92.9	106.0	-13.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
San Miguel Beermen	20	23	33	28	104
Alaska Aces	23	21	25	30	99

← all games of the day

San Miguel Beermen vs Alaska Aces Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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