San Pablo Burgos vs Melilla Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2024

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 99-72

26-15 20-22 24-17 29-18

Position#3

Record17-7

FormLWWWL

Points / game86.5

Allowed / game77.0

San Pablo Burgos 🏆

Melilla

Position#16

Record9-15

FormWLWLL

Points / game75.0

Allowed / game80.6

Primera FEBRound 25· Coliseum Burgos

Other2023-24

Meetings · San Pablo Burgos v Melilla

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Pablo Burgos winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Melilla winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Pablo Burgos Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBurgos

Date

Competition

Estudiantes

87-91

-4

72avg 80

H30/12

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

96-110

110

-14

86avg 80

A06/01

Primera FEB

Real Betis

82-94

-12

66avg 80

H12/01

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

79-62

+17

77avg 80

A21/01

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

88-69

+19

83avg 80

H03/02

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

103-104

103

104

-1

91avg 80

A11/02

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

90-69

+21

91avg 80

H17/02

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

77-57

+20

76avg 80

A03/03

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

104-97 OT

104

no box

H09/03

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

72-77

-5

67avg 80

A13/03

Primera FEB

16-22

22-17

23-23

26-29

25-20

20-28

25-31

26-31

18-18

23-26

14-24

27-26

21-16

21-20

18-15

19-11

21-20

21-17

21-12

25-20

19-17

37-31

17-30

30-26

24-20

27-21

20-16

19-12

14-9

22-19

21-14

20-15

24-21

14-15

23-12

15-28

22-25

20-16

19-14

11-22

170.8Avg total

87.8Scored

83.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	86.5	77.0	163.5	+9.5	71%
Season at home (11)	89.7	76.9	166.6	+12.8	82%
Season away (13)	83.8	77.2	160.9	+6.6	62%
Last 10 (10)	87.8	83.0	170.8	+4.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	89.2	80.8	170.0	+8.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (13)	88.1	85.6	173.7	+2.5	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	85.3	72.7	158.0	+12.6	82%

This opponent (Melilla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melilla

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMelilla

Date

Competition

Castello

#15

76-65

+11

70avg 70

H29/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

82-93

-11

68avg 70

H07/01

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

82-97

-15

68avg 70

A12/01

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

67-81

-14

60avg 70

H19/01

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

74-93

-19

68avg 70

A03/02

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

84-81

86avg 70

H09/02

Primera FEB

Alicante

66-90

-24

61avg 70

A16/02

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

95-79

+16

100avg 70

H03/03

Primera FEB

Real Betis

70-86

-16

63avg 70

A08/03

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

71-84

-13

62avg 70

H13/03

Primera FEB

22-8

20-20

15-19

19-18

19-20

12-19

23-24

28-30

17-24

26-26

18-20

21-27

27-12

13-16

10-32

17-21

25-27

13-17

25-24

11-25

21-28

25-23

23-23

15-7

20-24

14-15

15-17

17-34

24-20

23-21

28-18

20-20

14-23

16-26

18-22

22-15

15-20

20-17

15-21

21-26

161.6Avg total

76.7Scored

84.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	75.0	80.6	155.6	-5.6	38%
Season at home (12)	77.8	81.3	159.2	-3.5	33%
Season away (12)	72.2	79.8	152.0	-7.7	42%
Last 10 (10)	76.7	84.9	161.6	-8.2	30%
Last 5 (5)	77.2	84.0	161.2	-6.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	76.5	89.6	166.1	-13.2	18%
vs Similar (10)	78.3	77.1	155.4	+1.2	60%
vs Weaker (3)	78.3	77.0	155.3	+1.3	67%

This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

San Pablo BurgosMelilla

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.4	40.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.8	19.4	40.2	+1.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.5	19.4	40.9	+2.1	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.8	39.2	+1.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.4	39.0	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (13)	19.2	20.3	39.5	-1.2	31%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.8	18.7	41.5	+4.1	82%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.2	40.7	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	20.8	40.5	-1.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	21.7	40.9	-2.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	23.0	41.8	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.0	23.1	41.1	-5.1	18%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.2	17.8	39.0	+3.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.0	22.0	44.0	+0.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	18.6	40.4	+3.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.5	17.2	38.7	+4.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.9	19.7	41.6	+2.2	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	21.0	43.7	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	20.4	44.4	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (13)	22.8	21.2	43.9	+1.6	54%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.9	16.7	37.6	+4.2	82%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.6	39.1	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	20.9	39.5	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	20.4	38.6	-2.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.1	22.0	40.1	-3.9	24%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.3	20.0	38.3	-1.7	33%	-

San Pablo BurgosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estudiantes

38-39

-1

H30/12

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

45-48

-3

A06/01

Primera FEB

Real Betis

41-44

-3

H12/01

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

42-36

A21/01

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

42-37

H03/02

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

56-48

A11/02

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

51-41

+10

H17/02

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

36-28

A03/03

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

38-36

H09/03

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

42-41

A13/03

Primera FEB

82.9Avg total

43.1Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	38.0	81.0	+4.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.3	36.6	78.9	+5.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	43.5	39.1	82.6	+4.4	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	39.8	82.9	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	38.8	83.4	+5.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (13)	41.9	41.5	83.4	+0.5	54%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	43.8	35.4	79.2	+8.4	82%	-

This opponent (Melilla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MelillaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Castello

#15

42-28

+14

H29/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

31-39

-8

H07/01

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

43-50

-7

A12/01

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

40-28

+12

H19/01

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

38-44

-6

A03/02

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

46-51

-5

H09/02

Primera FEB

Alicante

34-39

-5

A16/02

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

47-41

H03/03

Primera FEB

Real Betis

30-49

-19

A08/03

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

35-37

-2

H13/03

Primera FEB

79.2Avg total

38.6Scored

40.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	41.9	79.8	-4.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.3	41.7	80.0	-3.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.5	42.1	79.5	-4.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	40.6	79.2	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	43.4	81.8	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	36.1	45.1	81.2	-9.0	6%	-
vs Similar (10)	40.2	36.3	76.5	+3.9	60%	-
vs Weaker (3)	40.3	42.0	82.3	-1.7	67%	-

This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.0	40.4	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.7	18.1	40.8	+4.6	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.5	19.6	40.1	+0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.1	39.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.2	37.2	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (13)	22.1	19.6	41.7	+2.5	69%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.9	18.5	39.4	+2.5	59%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.7	41.7	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	22.6	42.8	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	20.7	40.5	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	22.0	41.0	-3.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	20.8	23.2	44.0	-2.4	35%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.0	20.1	38.1	-2.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.0	18.3	40.3	+3.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.3	41.3	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.1	21.5	43.5	+0.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	22.0	43.8	-0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.6	39.6	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (13)	21.9	22.9	44.8	-1.0	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.3	18.3	38.6	+2.0	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.7	40.0	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	20.0	41.3	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	21.3	38.7	-3.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	22.3	41.4	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.4	39.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.5	21.4	40.9	-1.8	47%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.1	20.7	40.8	-0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (3)	16.0	16.7	32.7	-0.7	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	39.3	81.7	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	44.8	39.5	84.3	+5.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.6	39.1	79.7	+1.6	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	41.1	83.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	37.8	76.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (13)	44.0	42.5	86.5	+1.5	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	41.2	36.8	78.0	+4.5	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	42.3	81.7	-3.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	42.6	84.1	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.2	42.1	79.3	-4.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	44.3	82.4	-6.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	40.6	79.4	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	40.4	44.5	84.9	-4.2	41%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.1	40.8	78.9	-2.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	38.0	35.0	73.0	+3.0	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

San Pablo Burgostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Pablo Burgos: 77.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	18.3	46.0%	51.8%	36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.4	9.7	38.2%	33.7%	29.1
🏀 Free throws	14.6	11.3	77.4%	73.6%	11.3

They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Melillatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.1	17.6	48.8%	51.8%	35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	10.2	39.4%	33.7%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	19.6	13.8	70.4%	73.6%	13.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	18.5	48.8%	51.8%	37.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	9.1	36.6%	33.7%	27.4
🏀 Free throws	16.4	12.4	75.6%	73.6%	12.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.1	20.2	52.9%	51.8%	40.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.4	35.3%	33.7%	28.1
🏀 Free throws	18.9	13.9	73.4%	73.6%	13.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

San Pablo Burgos wins

Melilla wins

Date	Game	Score
17/11/23	Melilla v San Pablo Burgos	79-92
27/01/23	Melilla v San Pablo Burgos	67-88
08/10/22	San Pablo Burgos v Melilla	74-70
12/05/17	Melilla v San Pablo Burgos	76-91
07/05/17	San Pablo Burgos v Melilla	82-76
05/05/17	San Pablo Burgos v Melilla	79-78
17/02/17	Melilla v San Pablo Burgos	77-66
04/11/16	San Pablo Burgos v Melilla	89-75
05/02/16	Melilla v San Pablo Burgos	66-65
30/10/15	San Pablo Burgos v Melilla	85-81

San Pablo Burgoslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/03/24	A	Forca Lleida	72-77
09/03/24	H	Tizona Burgos	104-97 OT
03/03/24	A	Estudiantes	77-57
17/02/24	H	Hestia Menorca	90-69
11/02/24	A	Leyma Coruna	103-104
03/02/24	H	Estela	88-69
21/01/24	A	Clavijo	79-62
12/01/24	H	Real Betis	82-94
06/01/24	A	Tizona Burgos	96-110
30/12/23	H	Estudiantes	87-91

Melillalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/03/24	H	Estela	71-84
08/03/24	A	Real Betis	70-86
03/03/24	H	Caceres	95-79
16/02/24	A	Alicante	66-90
09/02/24	H	Oviedo	84-81
03/02/24	A	Fuenlabrada	74-93
19/01/24	H	Ourense	67-81
12/01/24	A	Leyma Coruna	82-97
07/01/24	H	Gipuzkoa	82-93
29/12/23	H	Castello	76-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Pablo Burgos

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	71%
Home	LLWWW	82%
Away	LWLWL	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	11	13
Win %	71%	82%	62%
Points / game	86.5	89.7	83.8
Allowed / game	77.0	76.9	77.2
Point differential	+9.5	+12.8	+6.6
Avg total	163.5	166.6	160.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	55%	46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	67% (3)	0% (4)
Overtime %	8%	9%	8%

Melilla

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	38%
Home	LLWWL	33%
Away	WLLLL	42%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	38%	33%	42%
Points / game	75.0	77.8	72.2
Allowed / game	80.6	81.3	79.8
Point differential	-5.6	-3.5	-7.7
Avg total	155.6	159.2	152.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	25%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	25% (4)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Leyma Coruna	25	19	6	76%	89.8	82.0	+7.7
2	Estudiantes	25	18	7	72%	84.0	76.0	+8.0
3	San Pablo Burgos	24	17	7	71%	86.5	77.0	+9.5
4	Tizona Burgos	24	17	7	71%	88.8	81.9	+6.8
5	Gipuzkoa	24	17	7	71%	82.2	75.8	+6.3
6	Forca Lleida	24	17	7	71%	80.9	75.9	+5.0
7	Alicante	25	17	8	68%	80.2	74.6	+5.5
8	Real Valladolid	25	16	9	64%	79.5	78.4	+1.1
9	Ourense	25	11	14	44%	72.6	78.6	-6.0
10	Real Betis	24	10	14	42%	80.9	79.0	+1.9
11	Oviedo	24	9	15	38%	79.1	80.5	-1.5
12	Estela	24	9	15	38%	78.0	81.5	-3.4
13	Hestia Menorca	24	9	15	38%	70.8	74.9	-4.1
14	Melilla	24	9	15	38%	75.0	80.6	-5.6
15	Fuenlabrada	25	9	16	36%	76.8	79.7	-2.9
16	Castello	24	6	18	25%	78.3	85.8	-7.5
17	Caceres	24	5	19	21%	74.2	84.4	-10.2
18	Clavijo	24	4	20	17%	66.9	78.2	-11.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
San Pablo Burgos	26	20	24	29	99
Melilla	15	22	17	18	72

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San Pablo Burgos vs Melilla Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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