Melilla vs San Pablo Burgos Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Jan 2023

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 67-88

19-24 10-19 17-22 21-23

Position#16

Record4-13

FormWLLLL

Points / game76.7

Allowed / game80.6

Melilla

San Pablo Burgos 🏆

Position#3

Record9-8

FormLWLLL

Points / game79.8

Allowed / game77.4

Primera FEBRound 18

Other2022-23

Meetings · Melilla v San Pablo Burgos

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melilla winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

San Pablo Burgos winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melilla

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Almansa

#12

64-70

-6

A26/11

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#14

67-70

-3

H02/12

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

60-77

-17

A07/12

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

63-85

-22

H11/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

63-78

-15

A18/12

Primera FEB

Castello

101-81

101

+20

H20/12

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

80-83 OT

-3

A28/12

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

61-70

-9

H08/01

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

85-92

-7

A13/01

Primera FEB

Palencia

78-89

-11

H20/01

Primera FEB

27-22

18-20

12-15

7-13

18-14

19-22

11-18

19-16

13-20

17-15

14-24

16-18

22-21

19-24

4-14

18-26

13-13

13-19

25-24

12-22

18-22

22-21

37-17

24-21

17-15

16-15

20-21

17-19

18-12

15-23

18-13

10-22

16-19

26-28

22-20

21-25

25-26

13-22

10-21

30-20

151.7Avg total

72.2Scored

79.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	76.7	80.6	157.3	-3.9	24%
Season at home (9)	79.9	79.2	159.1	+0.7	44%
Season away (8)	73.1	82.1	155.2	-9.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	72.2	79.5	151.7	-7.3	10%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	83.0	164.0	-2.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	75.9	82.0	157.9	-6.1	25%
vs Similar (13)	76.0	77.5	153.5	-1.5	23%
vs Weaker (1)	62.0	74.0	136.0	-12.0	0%

This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

San Pablo Burgos Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Castello

67-65

A25/11

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

89-62

+27

H03/12

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

91-82

A06/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

73-63

+10

H10/12

Primera FEB

Palencia

69-84

-15

A16/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

91-95 OT

-4

A20/12

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

85-59

+26

H29/12

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

79-85

-6

A08/01

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

78-86

-8

H14/01

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

81-95

-14

A20/01

Primera FEB

20-24

18-12

13-7

16-22

22-13

28-12

15-22

24-15

25-23

25-21

20-17

21-21

14-9

19-16

18-23

22-15

22-21

22-22

12-23

13-18

25-21

14-27

23-19

19-14

23-14

21-15

20-14

21-16

15-27

32-14

18-20

14-24

20-26

18-21

25-17

15-22

22-16

27-20

14-21

18-38

157.9Avg total

80.3Scored

77.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	79.8	77.4	157.2	+2.5	53%
Season at home (8)	83.2	73.4	156.6	+9.9	75%
Season away (9)	76.8	80.9	157.7	-4.1	33%
Last 10 (10)	80.3	77.6	157.9	+2.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.8	84.0	166.8	-1.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	78.7	85.0	163.7	-6.3	22%
vs Similar (8)	74.6	80.6	155.2	-6.0	12%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	80.5	74.0	154.5	+6.5	69%

This opponent (Melilla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MelillaSan Pablo Burgos

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.1	38.2	-0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	19.3	39.0	+0.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	18.9	37.5	-0.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	18.4	37.1	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.8	37.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	18.6	20.4	38.9	-1.8	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.5	17.4	37.8	+3.1	85%	-
vs Weaker (1)	10.0	22.0	32.0	-12.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.7	38.6	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	18.2	37.6	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	21.4	39.8	-3.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.4	40.2	+1.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.8	41.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.2	22.6	41.8	-3.3	22%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.0	17.8	37.8	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	18.1	18.9	37.0	-0.8	54%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	21.2	39.2	-3.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.4	21.1	39.5	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	21.3	39.0	-3.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	20.9	38.7	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	21.8	40.2	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.6	21.2	38.8	-3.7	38%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.8	21.8	40.5	-3.0	15%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	13.0	29.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	17.9	37.4	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.0	17.6	36.6	+1.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	18.4	38.3	+1.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	18.0	40.4	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.4	41.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.6	19.4	38.0	-0.9	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.1	18.0	35.1	-0.9	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	21.5	16.8	38.3	+4.6	85%	-

MelillaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Almansa

#12

45-42

A26/11

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#14

37-36

H02/12

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

30-35

-5

A07/12

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

41-45

-4

H11/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

26-32

-6

A18/12

Primera FEB

Castello

40-43

-3

H20/12

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

33-30

A28/12

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

33-35

-2

H08/01

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

42-47

-5

A13/01

Primera FEB

Palencia

38-48

-10

H20/01

Primera FEB

75.8Avg total

36.5Scored

39.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	40.3	77.5	-3.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.1	40.4	78.5	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.2	40.3	76.5	-4.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.5	39.3	75.8	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	40.6	77.8	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	36.1	41.6	77.8	-5.5	19%	-
vs Similar (13)	39.2	39.2	78.4	+0.1	46%	-
vs Weaker (1)	26.0	35.0	61.0	-9.0	0%	-

This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

San Pablo BurgosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Castello

38-36

A25/11

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

50-25

+25

H03/12

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

50-44

A06/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

33-25

H10/12

Primera FEB

Palencia

44-43

A16/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

39-48

-9

A20/12

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

44-29

+15

H29/12

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

47-41

A08/01

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

38-47

-9

H14/01

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

49-36

+13

A20/01

Primera FEB

80.6Avg total

43.2Scored

37.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	37.6	76.0	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.4	35.8	74.2	+2.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.3	39.8	78.1	-1.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	37.4	80.6	+5.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	40.2	83.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	37.8	42.0	79.8	-4.2	22%	-
vs Similar (8)	37.1	35.8	72.9	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	39.5	35.8	75.3	+3.8	69%	-

This opponent (Melilla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.0	37.9	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	17.3	36.5	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	20.6	39.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	18.7	36.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	18.4	39.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	19.6	19.7	39.3	-0.1	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.5	18.2	36.8	+0.3	46%	-
vs Weaker (1)	14.0	17.0	31.0	-3.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.3	37.6	-0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	19.2	38.8	+0.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.0	19.4	36.4	-2.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	18.3	36.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.2	38.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.8	21.8	39.6	-4.0	44%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.4	21.2	39.6	-2.9	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	18.8	16.3	35.1	+2.5	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.7	38.5	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	19.5	38.8	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	19.9	38.1	-1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	20.2	37.6	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.4	41.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	20.2	20.7	40.9	-0.5	56%	-
vs Similar (13)	16.8	18.3	35.1	-1.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	22.0	44.0	+0.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.7	41.1	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	19.1	39.6	+1.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	22.5	42.9	-2.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	20.5	38.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	22.8	40.2	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	23.1	21.2	44.3	+1.9	56%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.4	22.6	41.0	-4.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	19.9	19.1	39.0	+0.8	54%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	38.7	76.4	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.5	36.8	75.3	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.0	40.5	77.5	-3.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.7	38.9	73.6	-4.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	39.8	81.6	+2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	39.8	40.4	80.2	-0.6	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	35.3	36.5	71.8	-1.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	36.0	39.0	75.0	-3.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	39.9	78.8	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.1	38.2	78.4	+1.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.4	41.9	79.2	-4.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.1	38.8	74.9	-2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	41.0	78.4	-3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	40.9	43.0	83.9	-2.1	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	36.8	43.9	80.6	-7.1	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	38.7	35.4	74.1	+3.3	69%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Melillatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

San Pablo Burgostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Pablo Burgos: 77.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	18.3	46.0%	51.8%	36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.4	9.7	38.2%	33.7%	29.1
🏀 Free throws	14.6	11.3	77.4%	73.6%	11.3

They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.1	17.6	48.8%	51.8%	35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	10.2	39.4%	33.7%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	19.6	13.8	70.4%	73.6%	13.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	18.5	48.8%	51.8%	37.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	9.1	36.6%	33.7%	27.4
🏀 Free throws	16.4	12.4	75.6%	73.6%	12.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.1	20.2	52.9%	51.8%	40.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.4	35.3%	33.7%	28.1
🏀 Free throws	18.9	13.9	73.4%	73.6%	13.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melilla wins

San Pablo Burgos wins

Date	Game	Score
08/10/22	San Pablo Burgos v Melilla	74-70
12/05/17	Melilla v San Pablo Burgos	76-91
07/05/17	San Pablo Burgos v Melilla	82-76
05/05/17	San Pablo Burgos v Melilla	79-78
17/02/17	Melilla v San Pablo Burgos	77-66
04/11/16	San Pablo Burgos v Melilla	89-75
05/02/16	Melilla v San Pablo Burgos	66-65
30/10/15	San Pablo Burgos v Melilla	85-81

Melillalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/01/23	H	Palencia	78-89
13/01/23	A	Caceres	85-92
08/01/23	H	Albacete	61-70
28/12/22	A	Estela	80-83 OT
20/12/22	H	Castello	101-81
18/12/22	A	Gipuzkoa	63-78
11/12/22	H	MoraBanc Andorra	63-85
07/12/22	A	Alicante	60-77
02/12/22	H	Oviedo	67-70
26/11/22	A	Almansa	64-70

San Pablo Burgoslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/01/23	A	Leyma Coruna	81-95
14/01/23	H	Estudiantes	78-86
08/01/23	A	Forca Lleida	79-85
29/12/22	H	Iraurgi SB	85-59
20/12/22	A	Ourense	91-95 OT
16/12/22	A	Palencia	69-84
10/12/22	H	Caceres	73-63
06/12/22	A	Albacete	91-82
03/12/22	H	Estela	89-62
25/11/22	A	Castello	67-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melilla

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	24%
Home	LLWLL	44%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	24%	44%	0%
Points / game	76.7	79.9	73.1
Allowed / game	80.6	79.2	82.1
Point differential	-3.9	+0.7	-9.0
Avg total	157.3	159.1	155.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	50% (2)	0% (2)
Overtime %	6%	0%	12%

San Pablo Burgos

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	53%
Home	WWWWL	75%
Away	WLLLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	53%	75%	33%
Points / game	79.8	83.2	76.8
Allowed / game	77.4	73.4	80.9
Point differential	+2.5	+9.9	-4.1
Avg total	157.2	156.6	157.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	50%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	50% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	12%	12%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Palencia	17	16	1	94%	82.6	70.3	+12.3
2	MoraBanc Andorra	17	15	2	88%	81.9	68.7	+13.2
3	Estudiantes	17	13	4	76%	79.4	72.6	+6.8
4	Real Valladolid	17	12	5	71%	76.2	70.5	+5.8
5	Forca Lleida	17	12	5	71%	81.4	77.6	+3.8
6	Alicante	17	11	6	65%	76.3	74.6	+1.7
7	Leyma Coruna	17	10	7	59%	83.5	76.9	+6.6
8	Gipuzkoa	17	10	7	59%	74.3	69.9	+4.4
9	San Pablo Burgos	17	9	8	53%	79.8	77.4	+2.5
10	Estela	17	9	8	53%	72.8	75.2	-2.4
11	Castello	17	6	11	35%	74.7	76.6	-1.9
12	Almansa	17	6	11	35%	74.0	80.9	-6.9
13	Ourense	17	5	12	29%	72.8	80.2	-7.4
14	Oviedo	18	5	13	28%	69.1	77.9	-8.9
15	Melilla	17	4	13	24%	76.7	80.6	-3.9
16	Caceres	17	4	13	24%	72.0	79.5	-7.5
17	Albacete	18	4	14	22%	71.1	76.8	-5.7
18	Iraurgi SB	17	3	14	18%	71.2	82.6	-11.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melilla	19	10	17	21	67
San Pablo Burgos	24	19	22	23	88

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Melilla vs San Pablo Burgos Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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