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San Pablo Burgos vs Ourense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 106-81
20-25 28-14 28-24 30-18
Position#1
Record15-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Position#10
Record10-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game80.2
SpainPrimera FEBRound 17· Coliseum Burgos
Other2024-25
Meetings · San Pablo Burgos v Ourense
18 Jan 2025
SPB106
OURE81
16 Dec 2023
SPB105
OURE55
22 Apr 2023
SPB96
OURE49
02 Dec 2016
SPB79
OURE60
03 May 2016
SPB74
OURE61
24 Apr 2016
SPB81
OURE64
22 Apr 2016
SPB73
OURE72
04 Mar 2016
SPB76
OURE82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Pablo Burgos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ourense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Pablo BurgosSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBurgos
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
90-68
90
68
+22
79avg 83
H09/11
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
89-90
89
90
-1
85avg 83
A17/11
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
91-81
91
81
+10
86avg 83
H01/12
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
W
72-65
72
65
+7
75avg 83
H07/12
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
W
104-73
104
73
+31
103avg 83
A11/12
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
W
95-68
95
68
+27
86avg 83
H15/12
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
W
89-66
89
66
+23
85avg 83
A20/12
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
88-73
88
73
+15
80avg 83
A29/12
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
W
112-84
112
84
+28
109avg 83
H04/01
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
95-91
95
91
+4
97avg 83
A12/01
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
19-21
24-20
21-11
26-15
17-32
21-26
25-17
30-18
17-12
15-24
29-27
9-12
20-27
16-11
27-15
32-9
23-22
27-23
22-19
28-26
18-17
33-12
16-13
26-20
25-19
20-18
18-9
23-18
23-15
21-24
21-16
30-20
22-25
37-25
23-14
23-21
16-23
32-25
24-22
168.4Avg total
92.5Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)89.275.0164.2+14.294%
Season at home (8)89.172.4161.5+16.8100%
Season away (8)89.277.6166.9+11.688%
Last 10 (10)92.575.9168.4+16.690%
Last 5 (5)95.876.4172.2+19.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)77.080.0157.0-3.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)88.974.0162.9+14.993%
This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OurenseSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOurense
Date
Competition
Castello
#17
L
86-95
86
95
-9
76avg 71
A08/11
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
W
85-81 OT
85
81
+4
83avg 71
H16/11
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
L
86-87
86
87
-1
78avg 71
H01/12
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
81-88 OT
81
88
-7
71avg 71
A08/12
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
W
79-73
79
73
+6
69avg 71
H11/12
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
L
81-114
81
114
-33
64avg 71
A14/12
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
W
94-86
94
86
+8
89avg 71
H20/12
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
W
71-68
71
68
+3
52avg 71
A29/12
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
W
91-87
91
87
+4
88avg 71
A04/01
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
89-90 OT
89
90
-1
80avg 71
H11/01
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
23-20
21-26
18-23
24-17
12-14
13-21
24-21
36-24
16-23
14-21
20-19
22-20
23-17
14-14
15-23
16-18
14-19
19-18
30-18
14-31
21-30
21-26
25-27
22-30
25-16
27-24
20-16
20-16
15-16
19-20
17-16
30-24
18-26
17-18
26-19
28-25
16-24
16-18
21-14
171.2Avg total
84.3Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)85.680.2165.8+5.362%
Season at home (9)89.178.2167.3+10.967%
Season away (7)81.082.9163.9-1.957%
Last 10 (10)84.386.9171.2-2.650%
Last 5 (5)85.289.0174.2-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)79.585.7165.2-6.223%
vs Similar (10)78.876.6155.4+2.260%
vs Weaker (7)89.976.4166.3+13.486%
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.8+7.8Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: +2.0+2.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.8+7.8Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: +2.0+2.0
San Pablo BurgosOurense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Pablo BurgosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H09/11
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A17/11
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H01/12
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H07/12
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
W
55-31
55
31
+24
A11/12
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H15/12
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A20/12
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A29/12
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H04/01
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A12/01
Primera FEB
84.1Avg total
45.3Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.536.781.2+7.880%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.835.879.6+8.188%-
Last 30 away (13)45.437.983.3+7.569%-
Last 10 (10)45.338.884.1+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)46.840.887.6+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)37.035.072.0+2.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)44.836.881.5+8.079%-
This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Castello
#17
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A08/11
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H16/11
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H01/12
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A08/12
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H11/12
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
L
35-61
35
61
-26
A14/12
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H20/12
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A29/12
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A04/01
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H11/01
Primera FEB
85.5Avg total
41.9Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.040.879.8-1.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.540.579.0-2.044%-
Last 30 away (14)39.641.180.8-1.557%-
Last 10 (10)41.943.685.5-1.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.847.689.4-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.743.581.2-5.846%-
vs Similar (10)36.738.975.6-2.240%-
vs Weaker (7)44.938.683.4+6.371%-
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Pablo Burgostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Pablo Burgos: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.818.3
46.0%
51.8%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.7
38.2%
33.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws14.611.3
77.4%
73.6%11.3
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ourensetheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
San Pablo Burgos wins
4
Ourense wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25AEstudiantes95-91
04/01/25HCartagena112-84
29/12/24ATizona Burgos88-73
20/12/24AMoron89-66
15/12/24HCastello95-68
11/12/24AReal Valladolid104-73
07/12/24HAlicante72-65
01/12/24HHestia Menorca91-81
17/11/24AReal Betis89-90
09/11/24HGipuzkoa90-68
Ourenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25HFuenlabrada89-90 OT
04/01/25AReal Valladolid91-87
29/12/24AObradoiro CAB71-68
20/12/24HReal Betis94-86
14/12/24APalencia81-114
11/12/24HZamora79-73
08/12/24AEstudiantes81-88 OT
01/12/24HTizona Burgos86-87
16/11/24HAlicante85-81 OT
08/11/24ACastello86-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Pablo Burgos
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW94%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %94%100%88%
Points / game89.289.189.2
Allowed / game75.072.477.6
Point differential+14.2+16.8+11.6
Avg total164.2161.5166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%88%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ourense
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL62%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayLLLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %62%67%57%
Points / game85.689.181.0
Allowed / game80.278.282.9
Point differential+5.3+10.9-1.9
Avg total165.8167.3163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%33%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %19%22%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Pablo Burgos1615194%89.275.0+14.2
2 Fuenlabrada1715288%84.272.8+11.4
3 Estudiantes1715288%88.879.1+9.8
4 Palencia1712571%86.577.5+9.1
5 Real Betis1712571%83.274.4+8.8
6 Ourense1610662%85.680.2+5.3
7 Obradoiro CAB179853%79.275.0+4.2
8 Tizona Burgos179853%89.689.7-0.1
9 Cartagena178947%79.286.2-7.1
10 Zamora1771041%79.481.8-2.4
11 Castello1771041%81.187.5-6.4
12 Gipuzkoa1761135%74.678.1-3.5
13 Hestia Menorca1761135%73.177.2-4.1
14 Real Valladolid1761135%75.482.2-6.9
15 Oviedo1751229%75.882.0-6.2
16 Estela1751229%72.482.6-10.2
17 Alicante1631319%73.477.9-4.6
18 Moron161156%72.984.2-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Pablo Burgos20282830106
Ourense2514241881
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