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Sao Jose vs Cruzeiro Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 98-91
26-27 18-22 22-24 32-18
Position#9
Record13-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Position#14
Record6-14
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game85.2
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Lineu de Moura
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Jose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cruzeiro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Bauru
#10
W
91-84
91
84
+7
94avg 74
A03/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
85-104
85
104
-19
83avg 74
A05/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
87-73
87
73
+14
83avg 74
H10/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
95-64
95
64
+31
100avg 74
H12/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
61-74
61
74
-13
59avg 74
H16/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
79-61
79
61
+18
78avg 74
H19/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
83-98
83
98
-15
77avg 74
A23/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
89-87
89
87
+2
79avg 74
H27/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
92-73
92
73
+19
88avg 74
A29/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
88-81
88
81
+7
81avg 74
H09/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-17
17-25
22-20
20-22
19-24
22-30
26-25
18-25
21-11
30-21
19-18
17-23
31-17
15-13
25-17
24-17
18-18
13-21
21-16
9-19
19-21
23-18
24-14
13-8
21-28
13-27
22-25
27-18
26-27
20-22
24-17
19-21
32-12
17-21
23-21
20-19
23-17
23-22
22-20
20-22
164.9Avg total
85.0Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.277.5158.7+3.865%
Season at home (10)79.572.0151.5+7.580%
Season away (10)83.082.9165.9+0.150%
Last 10 (10)85.079.9164.9+5.170%
Last 5 (5)86.280.0166.2+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.690.2172.8-7.620%
vs Similar (15)78.380.3158.5-2.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)83.269.9153.1+13.3100%
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CruzeiroBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCruzeiro
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
86-106
86
106
-20
71avg 72
H20/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
89-102
89
102
-13
80avg 72
H23/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
63-78
63
78
-15
50avg 72
A01/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
76-87
76
87
-11
68avg 72
A03/12
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
89-65
89
65
+24
91avg 72
H16/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
80-93
80
93
-13
74avg 72
H21/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
79-75
79
75
+4
79avg 72
H23/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
77-85
77
85
-8
70avg 72
A27/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
86-78
86
78
+8
80avg 72
A29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
83-95
83
95
-12
78avg 72
A10/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-29
18-23
26-28
31-26
12-30
34-27
16-23
27-22
15-22
15-29
10-19
23-8
19-32
26-13
13-20
18-22
18-19
22-18
19-14
30-14
21-22
19-21
26-18
14-32
21-17
15-23
23-10
20-25
11-18
24-20
22-21
20-26
19-24
21-12
16-19
30-23
17-23
21-17
27-19
18-36
167.2Avg total
80.8Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.285.2163.4-7.130%
Season at home (12)80.486.2166.7-5.833%
Season away (8)74.883.8158.5-9.025%
Last 10 (10)80.886.4167.2-5.630%
Last 5 (5)81.085.2166.2-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)77.089.8166.8-12.88%
vs Similar (4)71.883.2155.0-11.525%
vs Weaker (4)88.073.5161.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -7.2-7.2Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.3-0.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -7.2-7.2Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.3-0.3
Sao JoseCruzeiro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#10
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A03/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A05/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H10/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H12/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H16/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H19/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A23/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H27/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A29/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H09/01
NBB
84.7Avg total
43.5Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.040.380.3-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.838.779.5+2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)39.241.881.0-2.633%-
Last 10 (10)43.541.284.7+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.443.086.4+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.244.284.4-4.040%-
vs Similar (15)38.441.579.9-3.140%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.336.578.8+5.850%-
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CruzeiroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
29-52
29
52
-23
H20/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
46-57
46
57
-11
H23/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A01/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A03/12
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H16/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H21/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H23/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A27/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A10/01
NBB
81.8Avg total
37.9Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)37.143.880.8-6.620%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.844.482.2-6.717%-
Last 30 away (8)36.142.878.9-6.625%-
Last 10 (10)37.943.981.8-6.020%-
Last 5 (5)37.839.477.2-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)35.345.080.3-9.70%-
vs Similar (4)37.045.082.0-8.025%-
vs Weaker (4)42.538.881.2+3.875%-
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.520.0
54.8%
52.2%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.8
36.6%
32.5%29.4
🏀 Free throws18.314.5
79.2%
72.8%14.5
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cruzeirotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cruzeiro: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.3
49.6%
52.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.4
37.0%
32.5%28.2
🏀 Free throws22.617.8
78.8%
72.8%17.8
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sao Jose
WWWLWLWWLW
Cruzeiro
LWLWLWLLLL
#9
League position
#14
+8.2
Net rating
-2.1
109.1
Offensive rating
106.2
100.9
Defensive rating
108.2
54.8%
Effective FG%
52.0%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
17.6%
Turnover %
17.1%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.6%
3-point %
37.0%
67.8%
Assist %
69.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 106.2Defence100.9 · 108.2Shooting54.8% · 52.0%3-point %36.6% · 37.0%Ball care17.6% · 17.1%Off. rebounds27.4% · 25.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Sao Jose   ■ Cruzeiro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sao Jose wins
0
Cruzeiro wins
DateGameScore
18/10/25Cruzeiro v Sao Jose62-85
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26HPaulistano88-81
29/12/25AOsasco92-73
27/12/25HUniao Corinthians89-87
23/12/25APinheiros83-98
19/12/25HMogi79-61
16/12/25HCaxias do Sul61-74
12/12/25HRio Claro95-64
10/12/25HBrasilia87-73
05/12/25AFranca85-104
03/12/25ABauru91-84
Cruzeirolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26ACorinthians Paulista83-95
29/12/25ACearense86-78
27/12/25AUnifacisa77-85
23/12/25HVasco79-75
21/12/25HFlamengo80-93
16/12/25HBotafogo89-65
03/12/25AUniao Corinthians76-87
01/12/25ACaxias do Sul63-78
23/11/25HPinheiros89-102
20/11/25HPaulistano86-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Jose
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW65%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %65%80%50%
Points / game81.279.583.0
Allowed / game77.572.082.9
Point differential+3.8+7.5+0.1
Avg total158.7151.5165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Cruzeiro
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL30%
HomeLLWLW33%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %30%33%25%
Points / game78.280.474.8
Allowed / game85.286.283.8
Point differential-7.1-5.8-9.0
Avg total163.4166.7158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo2219386%89.376.0+13.3
2 Franca2118386%88.273.6+14.7
3 Pinheiros2117481%87.876.2+11.6
4 Minas2117481%86.778.6+8.1
5 Brasilia2116576%81.272.1+9.1
6 Sao Jose2013765%81.277.5+3.8
7 Corinthians Paulista2214864%83.578.3+5.1
8 Mogi2011955%76.869.3+7.5
9 Paulistano2011955%80.075.9+4.2
10 Unifacisa22121055%81.680.5+1.2
11 Bauru21111052%76.076.5-0.5
12 Uniao Corinthians20101050%78.680.5-1.9
13 Caxias do Sul21101148%72.577.1-4.7
14 Cruzeiro2061430%78.285.2-7.1
15 Pato2151624%72.781.4-8.7
16 Rio Claro2041620%76.088.1-12.1
17 Cearense2141719%77.688.2-10.6
18 Osasco2141719%75.787.3-11.6
19 Botafogo2031715%70.983.3-12.4
20 Vasco2131814%69.379.9-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sao Jose2618223298
Cruzeiro2722241891
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