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Cruzeiro vs Flamengo Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 80-93
21-22 19-21 26-18 14-32
Position#14
Record4-11
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game85.3
vs
Position#4
Record13-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game73.2
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Dona Salome
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cruzeiro v Flamengo
29 Dec 2026
CRUZ v FLAM
upcoming
21 Dec 2025
CRUZ80
FLAM93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cruzeiro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CruzeiroBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCruzeiro
Date
Competition
Bauru
#10
W
76-75
76
75
+1
73avg 71
H03/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
81-90
81
90
-9
76avg 71
H06/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
77-99
77
99
-22
72avg 71
A12/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
65-79
65
79
-14
60avg 71
A14/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
98-76
98
76
+22
99avg 71
H17/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
86-106
86
106
-20
71avg 71
H20/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
89-102
89
102
-13
80avg 71
H23/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
63-78
63
78
-15
50avg 71
A01/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
76-87
76
87
-11
68avg 71
A03/12
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
89-65
89
65
+24
91avg 71
H16/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-30
18-17
25-16
10-12
20-19
11-26
23-24
27-21
17-24
11-26
32-27
17-22
13-23
15-25
18-18
19-13
25-24
29-18
21-20
23-14
11-29
18-23
26-28
31-26
12-30
34-27
16-23
27-22
15-22
15-29
10-19
23-8
19-32
26-13
13-20
18-22
18-19
22-18
19-14
30-14
165.7Avg total
80.0Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.285.3162.5-8.127%
Season at home (10)80.686.7167.3-6.130%
Season away (5)70.482.4152.8-12.020%
Last 10 (10)80.085.7165.7-5.730%
Last 5 (5)80.687.6168.2-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)76.089.4165.4-13.411%
vs Similar (4)71.883.2155.0-11.525%
vs Weaker (2)93.570.5164.0+23.0100%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Pato
#17
W
101-63
101
63
+38
112avg 81
H09/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
86-72
86
72
+14
81avg 81
A12/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
82-80
82
80
+2
77avg 81
A15/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
83-85
83
85
-2
76avg 81
H20/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
84-72
84
72
+12
78avg 81
H22/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
67-83
67
83
-16
56avg 81
A03/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
91-66
91
66
+25
90avg 81
H06/12
NBB
Nacional
#1
L
63-75
63
75
-12
46avg 81
A14/12
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
84-80
84
80
+4
76avg 81
H15/12
Champions League Americas
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
82-65
82
65
+17
72avg 81
H18/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
24-14
24-17
29-16
32-6
17-19
22-13
15-34
21-15
23-19
25-29
13-17
27-18
15-23
24-19
17-25
25-17
20-22
18-19
21-14
22-22
16-22
15-21
14-18
24-9
23-18
20-19
24-20
16-14
13-16
11-23
23-22
17-19
20-20
26-20
21-21
20-17
23-20
13-20
26-8
156.4Avg total
82.3Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)87.273.2160.4+14.087%
Season at home (7)89.070.6159.6+18.486%
Season away (8)85.675.5161.1+10.188%
Last 10 (10)82.374.1156.4+8.270%
Last 5 (5)77.473.8151.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.382.7159.0-6.333%
vs Similar (11)87.885.7173.5+2.145%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.773.9160.6+12.894%
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.9-7.9Q1: +7.5+7.5Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.9-7.9Q1: +7.5+7.5Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
CruzeiroFlamengo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CruzeiroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H03/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H06/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A12/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A14/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H17/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
29-52
29
52
-23
H20/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
46-57
46
57
-11
H23/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A01/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A03/12
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H16/12
NBB
84.6Avg total
37.2Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)36.945.282.1-8.320%-
Last 30 at home (10)37.745.082.7-7.320%-
Last 30 away (5)35.245.680.8-10.420%-
Last 10 (10)37.247.484.6-10.220%-
Last 5 (5)38.048.486.4-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)34.646.681.1-12.00%-
vs Similar (4)37.045.082.0-8.025%-
vs Weaker (2)47.039.586.5+7.5100%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pato
#17
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H09/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
49-25
49
25
+24
A12/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A15/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H20/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H22/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A03/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H06/12
NBB
Nacional
#1
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A14/12
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H15/12
Champions League Americas
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H18/12
NBB
76.8Avg total
42.2Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.137.879.9+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.638.480.0+3.262%-
Last 30 away (17)42.537.479.8+5.165%-
Last 10 (10)42.234.676.8+7.670%-
Last 5 (5)38.835.474.2+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.733.367.0+0.333%-
vs Similar (11)42.840.082.8+2.855%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.237.180.3+6.175%-
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cruzeirotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cruzeiro: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.418.4
49.2%
52.2%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.8
35.8%
32.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws22.117.3
78.3%
72.8%17.3
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.417.8
53.3%
52.2%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.310.2
32.6%
32.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws21.015.5
73.8%
72.8%15.5
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cruzeiro
WLLLLWLLLW
Flamengo
WWLWLWLWWW
#14
League position
#4
-3.6
Net rating
+11.2
102.9
Offensive rating
106.7
106.4
Defensive rating
95.5
51.0%
Effective FG%
51.2%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.0%
18.8%
Turnover %
16.4%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.8%
3-point %
32.6%
69.1%
Assist %
73.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.9 · 106.7Defence106.4 · 95.5Shooting51.0% · 51.2%3-point %35.8% · 32.6%Ball care18.8% · 16.4%Off. rebounds22.9% · 26.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Cruzeiro   ■ Flamengo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cruzeiro wins
0
Flamengo wins
No previous meetings.
Cruzeirolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/25HBotafogo89-65
03/12/25AUniao Corinthians76-87
01/12/25ACaxias do Sul63-78
23/11/25HPinheiros89-102
20/11/25HPaulistano86-106
17/11/25HOsasco98-76
14/11/25ABrasilia65-79
12/11/25ARio Claro77-99
06/11/25HFranca81-90
03/11/25HBauru76-75
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/25HUniao Corinthians82-65
15/12/25HObras Sanitarias84-80
14/12/25ANacional63-75
06/12/25HCaxias do Sul91-66
03/12/25APinheiros67-83
22/11/25HRio Claro84-72
20/11/25HBrasilia83-85
15/11/25APaulistano82-80
12/11/25AFranca86-72
09/11/25HPato101-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cruzeiro
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW27%
HomeLWLLW30%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %27%30%20%
Points / game77.280.670.4
Allowed / game85.386.782.4
Point differential-8.1-6.1-12.0
Avg total162.5167.3152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Flamengo
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW87%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayWWWWL88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %87%86%88%
Points / game87.289.085.6
Allowed / game73.270.675.5
Point differential+14.0+18.4+10.1
Avg total160.4159.6161.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%86%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1513287%87.273.2+14.0
2 Pinheiros1513287%86.174.1+12.0
3 Minas1513287%86.077.1+8.9
4 Franca1613381%87.273.2+14.0
5 Brasilia1612475%81.972.6+9.3
6 Corinthians Paulista1511473%82.074.9+7.1
7 Sao Jose1610662%79.675.6+3.9
8 Mogi169756%78.068.0+10.0
9 Unifacisa158753%80.578.7+1.7
10 Paulistano179853%79.675.5+4.1
11 Bauru178947%73.575.7-2.2
12 Caxias do Sul157847%72.977.0-4.1
13 Uniao Corinthians157847%76.681.5-4.9
14 Pato1751229%72.680.1-7.5
15 Cruzeiro1541127%77.285.3-8.1
16 Cearense1541127%80.289.2-9.0
17 Rio Claro1741324%77.589.3-11.8
18 Osasco1841422%75.385.7-10.4
19 Botafogo1731418%71.582.9-11.4
20 Vasco1621412%68.179.7-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cruzeiro2119261480
Flamengo2221183293
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