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Sao Paulo vs Nacional Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 101-81
24-19 16-13 30-23 31-26
Position#1
Record5-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game72.4
vs
Position#11
Record1-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game88.8
EuropeChampions League Americas
Other2021-22
Meetings · Sao Paulo v Nacional
11 Feb 2024
SAO 93
NACI76
17 Dec 2023
SAO 84
NACI89
13 Mar 2022
SAO 101
NACI81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Paulo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nacional winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao PauloLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#11
W
89-73
89
73
+16
A01/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#10
W
86-69
86
69
+17
H02/02
Champions League Americas
Unifacisa
#5
W
88-70
88
70
+18
H05/02
NBB
Cearense
#15
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H07/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#8
W
98-92
98
92
+6
A15/02
NBB
Bauru
#6
L
87-102
87
102
-15
A18/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#12
W
93-53
93
53
+40
H02/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
98-71
98
71
+27
H04/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H07/03
NBB
Quimsa
#10
W
95-73
95
73
+22
H11/03
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
22-16
24-17
20-19
18-23
25-21
21-14
22-11
18-12
27-16
21-22
22-20
12-18
20-21
23-11
18-12
27-15
23-24
24-24
24-29
19-29
29-24
21-17
18-32
25-12
20-8
15-19
33-14
24-19
25-12
31-17
18-23
25-22
20-21
15-12
20-16
27-18
19-17
24-22
25-16
162.3Avg total
88.7Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)90.272.4162.6+17.8100%
Season at home (2)90.571.0161.5+19.5100%
Season away (3)90.073.3163.3+16.7100%
Last 10 (10)88.773.6162.3+15.190%
Last 5 (5)90.674.0164.6+16.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)85.085.7170.7-0.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)85.474.1159.5+11.385%
This opponent (Nacional) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#1
L
73-89
73
89
-16
H01/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#10
W
91-81
91
81
+10
H03/02
Champions League Americas
Bigua
#1
L
88-91
88
91
-3
A05/02
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#8
W
88-81
88
81
+7
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#6
L
86-99
86
99
-13
H12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H15/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#11
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#11
W
92-68
92
68
+24
H26/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#10
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A08/03
Liga Uruguaya
Quimsa
#10
L
72-95
72
95
-23
A12/03
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
16-22
17-24
19-20
23-19
24-19
19-32
25-11
18-28
30-20
21-18
19-25
28-22
15-7
20-30
25-22
20-24
23-22
25-29
18-24
14-24
25-20
18-16
23-21
15-26
35-23
20-14
9-19
22-13
13-23
41-8
16-24
19-21
13-16
15-12
19-24
19-23
13-17
21-19
19-36
165.5Avg total
81.5Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.088.8164.8-12.820%
Season at home (3)79.089.3168.3-10.333%
Season away (2)71.588.0159.5-16.50%
Last 10 (10)81.584.0165.5-2.530%
Last 5 (5)77.879.8157.6-2.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)76.986.4163.3-9.525%
vs Similar (13)79.683.2162.8-3.631%
vs Weaker (5)93.885.8179.6+8.080%
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -3.4-3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -3.4-3.4
Sao PauloNacional
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#11
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A01/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#10
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H02/02
Champions League Americas
Unifacisa
#5
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H05/02
NBB
Cearense
#15
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H07/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#8
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A15/02
NBB
Bauru
#6
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A18/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#12
W
45-20
45
20
+25
H02/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H04/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H07/03
NBB
Quimsa
#10
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H11/03
Champions League Americas
81.7Avg total
44.8Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.836.978.8+4.967%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.936.179.0+6.964%-
Last 30 away (16)40.937.778.6+3.269%-
Last 10 (10)44.836.981.7+7.970%-
Last 5 (5)46.636.483.0+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)45.749.795.3-4.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)41.835.277.0+6.573%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H01/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#10
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H03/02
Champions League Americas
Bigua
#1
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A05/02
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#8
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H15/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#11
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#11
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H26/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#10
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A08/03
Liga Uruguaya
Quimsa
#10
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A12/03
Champions League Americas
81.8Avg total
40.6Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.440.680.0-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.340.880.1-1.444%-
Last 30 away (14)39.640.480.0-0.943%-
Last 10 (10)40.641.281.8-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)37.641.278.8-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.743.481.1-5.833%-
vs Similar (13)39.738.878.5+0.946%-
vs Weaker (5)43.038.681.6+4.460%-
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Sao Paulo wins
0
Nacional wins
DateGameScore
01/02/22Nacional v Sao Paulo73-89
12/12/21Nacional v Sao Paulo73-98
Sao Paulolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/22HQuimsa95-73
07/03/22HPaulistano80-71
04/03/22HUniao Corinthians98-71
02/03/22HCaxias do Sul93-53
18/02/22ABauru87-102
15/02/22APinheiros98-92
07/02/22HCearense73-62
05/02/22HUnifacisa88-70
02/02/22HQuimsa86-69
01/02/22ANacional89-73
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/22AQuimsa72-95
08/03/22ADefensor66-73
26/02/22HUrunday92-68
19/02/22AUrunday79-82
15/02/22HMalvin80-81
12/02/22HAguada86-99
09/02/22AOlimpia Kings88-81
05/02/22ABigua88-91
03/02/22HQuimsa91-81
01/02/22HSao Paulo73-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Paulo
Champions League Americas 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.290.590.0
Allowed / game72.471.073.3
Point differential+17.8+19.5+16.7
Avg total162.6161.5163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nacional
Champions League Americas 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game76.079.071.5
Allowed / game88.889.388.0
Point differential-12.8-10.3-16.5
Avg total164.8168.3159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sao Paulo550100%90.272.4+17.8
2 Flamengo65183%82.365.7+16.7
3 Cangrejeros43175%87.873.2+14.5
4 Minas43175%89.581.8+7.8
5 Bigua43175%82.583.0-0.5
6 Boca Juniors64267%75.372.5+2.8
7 Real Esteli42250%85.081.5+3.5
8 Quimsa62433%78.883.0-4.2
9 Edmonton Stingers41325%70.088.0-18.0
10 Nacional51420%76.088.8-12.8
11 Obras Sanitarias4040%76.083.2-7.2
12 U. De Concepcion6060%64.283.7-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sao Paulo24163031101
Nacional1913232681
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